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AXON vs SPIR vs ASTS vs MSA
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Specialty Business Services
Communication Equipment
Security & Protection Services
AXON vs SPIR vs ASTS vs MSA — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense | Specialty Business Services | Communication Equipment | Security & Protection Services |
| Market Cap | $34.40B | $529.86B | $19.12B | $6.67B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.98B | $72M | $71M | $1.92B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $206M | $-25.02B | $-342M | $291M |
| Gross Margin | 59.3% | 40.8% | 53.4% | 46.8% |
| Operating Margin | 1.3% | -121.4% | -405.7% | 22.0% |
| Forward P/E | 55.0x | 10.0x | — | 19.8x |
| Total Debt | $1.91B | $8.76B | $32M | $627M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.20B | $24.81B | $2.34B | $165M |
AXON vs SPIR vs ASTS vs MSA — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Nov 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Axon Enterprise, In… (AXON) | 100 | 339.6 | +239.6% |
| Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) | 100 | 20.5 | -79.5% |
| AST SpaceMobile, In… (ASTS) | 100 | 645.4 | +545.4% |
| MSA Safety Incorpor… (MSA) | 100 | 115.0 | +15.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AXON vs SPIR vs ASTS vs MSA
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AXON is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 22.0% 10Y total return vs ASTS's 5.7%
SPIR is the clearest fit if your priority is value.
- Better valuation composite
ASTS is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if growth exposure is your priority.
- Rev growth 15.1%, EPS growth 30.9%, 3Y rev CAGR 72.5%
- 15.1% revenue growth vs SPIR's -35.2%
- +158.1% vs AXON's -29.1%
MSA carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 12 yrs, beta 0.90, yield 1.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.90, Low D/E 45.9%, current ratio 3.01x
- Beta 0.90, yield 1.2%, current ratio 3.01x
- 15.2% margin vs SPIR's -349.6%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 15.1% revenue growth vs SPIR's -35.2% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 15.2% margin vs SPIR's -349.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.90 vs SPIR's 2.93 | |
| Dividends | 1.2% yield; 12-year raise streak; the other 3 pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +158.1% vs AXON's -29.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 11.4% ROA vs SPIR's -47.3%, ROIC 17.9% vs -0.1% |
AXON vs SPIR vs ASTS vs MSA — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
AXON vs SPIR vs ASTS vs MSA — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
MSA leads in 4 of 6 categories
ASTS leads 1 • AXON leads 0 • SPIR leads 0
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MSA leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AXON is the larger business by revenue, generating $3.0B annually — 42.1x ASTS's $71M. MSA is the more profitable business, keeping 15.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SPIR's -349.6%. On growth, ASTS holds the edge at +27.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.0B | $72M | $71M | $1.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $97M | -$74M | -$237M | $496M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $206M | -$25.0B | -$342M | $291M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $20M | -$16.2B | -$1.1B | $309M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +59.3% | +40.8% | +53.4% | +46.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +1.3% | -121.4% | -4.1% | +22.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +6.9% | -349.6% | -4.8% | +15.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +0.7% | -227.0% | -16.0% | +16.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +33.7% | -26.9% | +27.3% | +10.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +89.8% | +59.5% | -55.6% | +21.2% |
Valuation Metrics
MSA leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 10.0x trailing earnings, SPIR trades at a 96% valuation discount to AXON's 282.7x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, MSA's 15.1x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than AXON's 1664.9x.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $34.4B | $529.9B | $19.1B | $6.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $35.1B | $513.8B | $16.8B | $7.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 282.71x | 10.01x | -48.76x | 24.25x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 54.97x | — | — | 19.76x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — | 1.38x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 1664.88x | — | — | 15.05x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 12.37x | 7405.21x | 269.64x | 3.56x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 13.16x | 4.56x | 5.68x | 4.95x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 458.11x | — | — | 22.56x |
Profitability & Efficiency
MSA leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
MSA delivers a 22.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $22 in annual profit, vs $-88 for SPIR. ASTS carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AXON's 0.59x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), AXON scores 6/9 vs ASTS's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +6.6% | -88.4% | -21.1% | +22.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +3.1% | -47.3% | -12.6% | +11.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -1.3% | -0.1% | -47.1% | +17.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -1.5% | -0.1% | -10.0% | +19.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.59x | 0.08x | 0.01x | 0.46x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $709M | -$16.1B | -$2.3B | $462M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.2B | $24.8B | $2.3B | $165M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.9B | $8.8B | $32M | $627M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.18x | 9.20x | -21.20x | 12.70x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
ASTS leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ASTS five years ago would be worth $78,824 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,035 for SPIR. Over the past 12 months, ASTS leads with a +158.1% total return vs AXON's -29.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ASTS at 134.8% vs MSA's 9.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -24.2% | +106.4% | -21.7% | +6.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -29.1% | +73.1% | +158.1% | +11.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +92.4% | +198.1% | +1194.0% | +31.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +216.8% | -79.6% | +688.2% | +9.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +2200.0% | -78.8% | +568.8% | +294.0% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +24.4% | +43.9% | +134.8% | +9.6% |
Risk & Volatility
MSA leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MSA is the less volatile stock with a 0.90 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SPIR's 2.93 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MSA currently trades 82.3% from its 52-week high vs AXON's 48.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.19x | 2.93x | 2.82x | 0.90x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $885.92 | $23.59 | $129.89 | $208.92 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $339.01 | $6.60 | $22.47 | $151.10 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +48.2% | +68.3% | +50.3% | +82.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 40.5 | 55.5 | 41.8 | 55.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.0M | 1.6M | 14.9M | 209K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: AXON as "Buy", SPIR as "Buy", ASTS as "Buy", MSA as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 70.2% upside for AXON (target: $727) vs 7.0% for SPIR (target: $17). MSA is the only dividend payer here at 1.22% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $726.71 | $17.25 | $103.65 | $235.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 21 | 12 | 7 | 11 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — | — | +1.2% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — | — | 12 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — | — | $2.09 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +1.3% |
MSA leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). ASTS leads in 1 (Total Returns).
AXON vs SPIR vs ASTS vs MSA: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AXON or SPIR or ASTS or MSA a better buy right now?
For growth investors, AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
(ASTS) is the stronger pick with 1505% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -35. 2% for Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) offers the better valuation at 10. 0x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON) a "Buy" — based on 21 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AXON or SPIR or ASTS or MSA?
On trailing P/E, Spire Global, Inc.
(SPIR) is the cheapest at 10. 0x versus Axon Enterprise, Inc. at 282. 7x. On forward P/E, MSA Safety Incorporated is actually cheaper at 19. 8x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AXON or SPIR or ASTS or MSA?
Over the past 5 years, AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
(ASTS) delivered a total return of +688. 2%, compared to -79. 6% for Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AXON returned +22. 0% versus SPIR's -78. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AXON or SPIR or ASTS or MSA?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
90β versus Spire Global, Inc. 's 2. 93β — meaning SPIR is approximately 226% more volatile than MSA relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 59% for Axon Enterprise, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — AXON or SPIR or ASTS or MSA?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
(ASTS) is pulling ahead at 1505% versus -35. 2% for Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Spire Global, Inc. grew EPS 137. 8% year-over-year, compared to -68. 5% for Axon Enterprise, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, ASTS leads at 72. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AXON or SPIR or ASTS or MSA?
Spire Global, Inc.
(SPIR) is the more profitable company, earning 71. 7% net margin versus -482. 2% for AST SpaceMobile, Inc. — meaning it keeps 71. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MSA leads at 21. 4% versus -405. 7% for ASTS. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AXON leads at 59. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AXON or SPIR or ASTS or MSA more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) trades at 19.
8x forward P/E versus 55. 0x for Axon Enterprise, Inc. — 35. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AXON: 70. 2% to $726. 71.
08Which pays a better dividend — AXON or SPIR or ASTS or MSA?
In this comparison, MSA (1.
2% yield) pays a dividend. AXON, SPIR, ASTS do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is AXON or SPIR or ASTS or MSA better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
90), 1. 2% yield, +294. 0% 10Y return). Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) carries a higher beta of 2. 93 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (MSA: +294. 0%, SPIR: -78. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AXON and SPIR and ASTS and MSA?
These companies operate in different sectors (AXON (Industrials) and SPIR (Industrials) and ASTS (Technology) and MSA (Industrials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: AXON is a mid-cap high-growth stock; SPIR is a large-cap deep-value stock; ASTS is a mid-cap high-growth stock; MSA is a small-cap quality compounder stock. MSA pays a dividend while AXON, SPIR, ASTS do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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