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BAER vs ACHR vs JOBY vs AIR
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Aerospace & Defense
Airlines, Airports & Air Services
Aerospace & Defense
BAER vs ACHR vs JOBY vs AIR — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Security & Protection Services | Aerospace & Defense | Airlines, Airports & Air Services | Aerospace & Defense |
| Market Cap | $95M | $4.82B | $10.69B | $4.66B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $116M | $300K | $78M | $3.13B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-12M | $-618M | $-957M | $171M |
| Gross Margin | 38.6% | — | 11.2% | 19.0% |
| Operating Margin | 0.2% | -2431.0% | -10.2% | 8.6% |
| Forward P/E | — | — | — | 24.1x |
| Total Debt | $245M | $42M | $61M | $1.05B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $31M | $1.02B | $241M | $97M |
BAER vs ACHR vs JOBY vs AIR — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Mar 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bridger Aerospace G… (BAER) | 100 | 17.5 | -82.5% |
| Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) | 100 | 64.5 | -35.5% |
| Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) | 100 | 107.1 | +7.1% |
| AAR Corp. (AIR) | 100 | 282.8 | +182.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: BAER vs ACHR vs JOBY vs AIR
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
BAER is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 24.6%, EPS growth 48.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 38.3%
ACHR lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
JOBY is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if growth is your priority.
- 391.8% revenue growth vs ACHR's -13.8%
AIR carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 1.70
- 399.7% 10Y total return vs JOBY's 3.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.70, Low D/E 86.5%, current ratio 2.72x
- Beta 1.70, current ratio 2.72x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 391.8% revenue growth vs ACHR's -13.8% | |
| Quality / Margins | 5.5% margin vs ACHR's -2.1K% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.70 vs ACHR's 2.95 | |
| Dividends | Tie | None of these 4 stocks pay a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +97.7% vs ACHR's -26.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 5.5% ROA vs JOBY's -52.1%, ROIC 6.4% vs -54.7% |
BAER vs ACHR vs JOBY vs AIR — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
BAER vs ACHR vs JOBY vs AIR — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
AIR leads in 4 of 6 categories
BAER leads 1 • ACHR leads 0 • JOBY leads 0
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AIR leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AIR is the larger business by revenue, generating $3.1B annually — 10448.3x ACHR's $300,000. AIR is the more profitable business, keeping 5.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to ACHR's -2060.7%. On growth, AIR holds the edge at +24.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $116M | $300,000 | $78M | $3.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $16M | -$709M | -$759M | $285M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$12M | -$618M | -$957M | $171M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$70M | -$512M | -$661M | $69M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +38.6% | — | +11.2% | +19.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +0.2% | -2431.0% | -10.2% | +8.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -10.0% | -2060.7% | -12.3% | +5.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -60.6% | -1705.7% | -8.5% | +2.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -45.6% | — | — | +24.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -68.3% | +43.5% | -9.1% | +7.9% |
Valuation Metrics
BAER leads this category, winning 3 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, BAER's 10.0x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than AIR's 23.3x.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $95M | $4.8B | $10.7B | $4.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $308M | $3.8B | $10.5B | $5.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -4.02x | -6.55x | -9.62x | 336.51x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — | — | 24.06x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 9.98x | — | — | 23.34x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.77x | 9999.00x | 200.04x | 1.68x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.42x | 1.84x | 6.37x | 3.48x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — | — | 3329.18x |
Profitability & Efficiency
AIR leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AIR delivers a 12.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $12 in annual profit, vs $-74 for JOBY. ACHR carries lower financial leverage with a 0.02x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to BAER's 3.79x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), BAER scores 6/9 vs JOBY's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -21.2% | -37.8% | -74.2% | +12.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -3.8% | -32.9% | -52.1% | +5.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +4.6% | -89.6% | -54.7% | +6.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.3% | -44.3% | -49.8% | +8.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 3.79x | 0.02x | 0.04x | 0.86x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $213M | -$979M | -$180M | $951M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $31M | $1.0B | $241M | $97M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $245M | $42M | $61M | $1.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -0.01x | — | — | 2.46x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AIR leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AIR five years ago would be worth $29,878 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,728 for BAER. Over the past 12 months, AIR leads with a +97.7% total return vs ACHR's -26.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ACHR at 44.7% vs BAER's -29.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -7.1% | -20.3% | -24.3% | +39.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +19.9% | -26.0% | +63.5% | +97.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -64.6% | +202.8% | +148.7% | +124.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -82.7% | -34.3% | +9.9% | +198.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -82.6% | -35.0% | +3.5% | +399.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -29.2% | +44.7% | +35.5% | +30.9% |
Risk & Volatility
AIR leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
AIR is the less volatile stock with a 1.70 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ACHR's 2.95 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. AIR currently trades 92.6% from its 52-week high vs ACHR's 44.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.87x | 2.95x | 2.84x | 1.70x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $3.44 | $14.62 | $20.95 | $127.21 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $1.22 | $4.80 | $6.42 | $58.43 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +49.1% | +44.3% | +51.9% | +92.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 30.6 | 58.3 | 58.9 | 55.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 580K | 27.8M | 24.5M | 450K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: BAER as "Buy", ACHR as "Buy", JOBY as "Hold", AIR as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 195.9% upside for BAER (target: $5) vs 1.9% for AIR (target: $120).
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $5.00 | $12.33 | $15.42 | $120.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 1 | 9 | 8 | 20 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — | — | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.2% |
AIR leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). BAER leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
BAER vs ACHR vs JOBY vs AIR: Key Questions Answered
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is BAER or ACHR or JOBY or AIR a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Joby Aviation, Inc.
(JOBY) is the stronger pick with 391. 8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 19. 9% for AAR Corp. (AIR). AAR Corp. (AIR) offers the better valuation at 336. 5x trailing P/E (24. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (BAER) a "Buy" — based on 1 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — BAER or ACHR or JOBY or AIR?
Over the past 5 years, AAR Corp.
(AIR) delivered a total return of +198. 8%, compared to -82. 7% for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (BAER). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AIR returned +399. 7% versus BAER's -82. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — BAER or ACHR or JOBY or AIR?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), AAR Corp.
(AIR) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 70β versus Archer Aviation Inc. 's 2. 95β — meaning ACHR is approximately 74% more volatile than AIR relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 2% versus 4% for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — BAER or ACHR or JOBY or AIR?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Joby Aviation, Inc.
(JOBY) is pulling ahead at 391. 8% versus 19. 9% for AAR Corp. (AIR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock grew EPS 48. 1% year-over-year, compared to -72. 9% for AAR Corp.. Over a 3-year CAGR, BAER leads at 38. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — BAER or ACHR or JOBY or AIR?
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
Common Stock (BAER) is the more profitable company, earning 3. 4% net margin versus -2060. 7% for Archer Aviation Inc. — meaning it keeps 3. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: BAER leads at 12. 5% versus -2431. 0% for ACHR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — BAER leads at 42. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is BAER or ACHR or JOBY or AIR more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for BAER: 195.
9% to $5. 00.
07Which pays a better dividend — BAER or ACHR or JOBY or AIR?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is BAER or ACHR or JOBY or AIR better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, AAR Corp.
(AIR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (+399. 7% 10Y return). Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) carries a higher beta of 2. 95 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (AIR: +399. 7%, ACHR: -35. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between BAER and ACHR and JOBY and AIR?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: BAER is a small-cap high-growth stock; ACHR is a small-cap quality compounder stock; JOBY is a mid-cap high-growth stock; AIR is a small-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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