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BDTX vs ARVN
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Biotechnology
BDTX vs ARVN — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Biotechnology | Biotechnology |
| Market Cap | $161M | $656M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $70M | $263M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $21M | $-81M |
| Gross Margin | 99.9% | 99.5% |
| Operating Margin | 16.9% | -44.0% |
| Forward P/E | 7.2x | — |
| Total Debt | $15M | $9M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $21M | $143M |
BDTX vs ARVN — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Black Diamond Thera… (BDTX) | 100 | 7.2 | -92.8% |
| Arvinas, Inc. (ARVN) | 100 | 30.8 | -69.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: BDTX vs ARVN
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
BDTX carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure.
- EPS growth 130.7%
- 130.0% revenue growth vs ARVN's -0.3%
- 30.7% margin vs ARVN's -30.8%
ARVN is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and long-term compounding.
- beta 1.15
- -36.1% 10Y total return vs BDTX's -92.9%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.15, Low D/E 2.0%, current ratio 4.92x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 130.0% revenue growth vs ARVN's -0.3% | |
| Quality / Margins | 30.7% margin vs ARVN's -30.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.15 vs BDTX's 2.66, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +91.8% vs ARVN's +47.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 13.8% ROA vs ARVN's -9.3%, ROIC 10.7% vs -22.4% |
BDTX vs ARVN — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
BDTX vs ARVN — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BDTX leads this category, winning 5 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ARVN is the larger business by revenue, generating $263M annually — 3.8x BDTX's $70M. BDTX is the more profitable business, keeping 30.7% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to ARVN's -30.8%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $70M | $263M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $12M | -$111M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $21M | -$81M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $21M | -$276M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +99.9% | +99.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +16.9% | -44.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +30.7% | -30.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +30.5% | -105.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | -84.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +46.4% | -65.1% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — BDTX and ARVN each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $161M | $656M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $155M | $522M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 7.23x | -8.02x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 12.04x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | — | 2.50x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.45x | 1.53x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 5.42x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
BDTX leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
BDTX delivers a 17.8% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $18 in annual profit, vs $-14 for ARVN. ARVN carries lower financial leverage with a 0.02x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to BDTX's 0.13x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), BDTX scores 6/9 vs ARVN's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +17.8% | -14.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +13.8% | -9.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +10.7% | -22.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +10.9% | -16.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.13x | 0.02x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$6M | -$134M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $21M | $143M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $15M | $9M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
BDTX leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ARVN five years ago would be worth $1,625 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,104 for BDTX. Over the past 12 months, BDTX leads with a +91.8% total return vs ARVN's +47.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors BDTX at 13.7% vs ARVN's -25.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +13.3% | -10.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +91.8% | +47.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +46.9% | -58.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -89.0% | -83.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -92.9% | -36.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +13.7% | -25.4% |
Risk & Volatility
ARVN leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ARVN is the less volatile stock with a 1.15 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than BDTX's 2.66 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ARVN currently trades 70.7% from its 52-week high vs BDTX's 57.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.66x | 1.15x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $4.94 | $14.51 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $1.46 | $5.90 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +57.1% | +70.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 56.2 | 47.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 724K | 820K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates BDTX as "Buy" and ARVN as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 183.7% upside for BDTX (target: $8) vs 26.7% for ARVN (target: $13).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $8.00 | $13.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 11 | 26 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +14.0% |
BDTX leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). ARVN leads in 1 (Risk & Volatility). 1 tied.
BDTX vs ARVN: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is BDTX or ARVN a better buy right now?
Black Diamond Therapeutics, Inc.
(BDTX) offers the better valuation at 7. 2x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Black Diamond Therapeutics, Inc. (BDTX) a "Buy" — based on 11 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — BDTX or ARVN?
Over the past 5 years, Arvinas, Inc.
(ARVN) delivered a total return of -83. 8%, compared to -89. 0% for Black Diamond Therapeutics, Inc. (BDTX). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ARVN returned -36. 1% versus BDTX's -92. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — BDTX or ARVN?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Arvinas, Inc.
(ARVN) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 15β versus Black Diamond Therapeutics, Inc. 's 2. 66β — meaning BDTX is approximately 132% more volatile than ARVN relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Arvinas, Inc. (ARVN) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 2% versus 13% for Black Diamond Therapeutics, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — BDTX or ARVN?
On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Black Diamond Therapeutics, Inc.
grew EPS 130. 7% year-over-year, compared to 53. 8% for Arvinas, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — BDTX or ARVN?
Black Diamond Therapeutics, Inc.
(BDTX) is the more profitable company, earning 30. 7% net margin versus -30. 8% for Arvinas, Inc. — meaning it keeps 30. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: BDTX leads at 16. 9% versus -43. 8% for ARVN. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — BDTX leads at 99. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — BDTX or ARVN?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is BDTX or ARVN better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Arvinas, Inc.
(ARVN) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 15)). Black Diamond Therapeutics, Inc. (BDTX) carries a higher beta of 2. 66 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (ARVN: -36. 1%, BDTX: -92. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between BDTX and ARVN?
Both stocks operate in the Healthcare sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: BDTX is a small-cap deep-value stock; ARVN is a small-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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