Insurance - Property & Casualty
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4 / 10Stock Comparison
BOW vs MMC vs AON vs AJG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Insurance - Brokers
Insurance - Brokers
Insurance - Brokers
BOW vs MMC vs AON vs AJG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Insurance - Brokers | Insurance - Brokers | Insurance - Brokers |
| Market Cap | $866M | $85.27B | $67.19B | $51.91B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $584M | $26.45B | $17.49B | $13.94B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $58M | $4.13B | $3.94B | $1.49B |
| Gross Margin | 34.4% | 42.3% | 55.9% | 54.8% |
| Operating Margin | 12.6% | 23.2% | 27.0% | 18.3% |
| Forward P/E | 13.7x | 16.9x | 16.5x | 15.3x |
| Total Debt | $0.00 | $21.86B | $16.53B | $14.00B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $234M | $2.40B | $1.20B | $1.40B |
BOW vs MMC vs AON vs AJG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 24 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bowhead Specialty H… (BOW) | 100 | 98.4 | -1.6% |
| Marsh & McLennan Co… (MMC) | 100 | 90.7 | -9.3% |
| Aon plc (AON) | 100 | 111.3 | +11.3% |
| Arthur J. Gallagher… (AJG) | 100 | 79.7 | -20.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: BOW vs MMC vs AON vs AJG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
BOW is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if growth exposure is your priority.
- Rev growth 29.6%, EPS growth 23.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 43.3%
- 29.6% revenue growth vs MMC's 7.6%
- Lower P/E (13.7x vs 15.3x)
MMC is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and valuation efficiency.
- Dividend streak 19 yrs, beta 0.14, yield 1.8%
- PEG 0.88 vs AJG's 2.35
- Beta 0.14, yield 1.8%, current ratio 1.13x
- 1.8% yield, 19-year raise streak, vs AON's 0.9%, (1 stock pays no dividend)
AON carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for quality and momentum.
- Combined ratio 0.7 vs BOW's 0.9 (lower = better underwriting)
- -12.0% vs AJG's -39.8%
- 7.6% ROA vs AJG's 2.0%, ROIC 13.5% vs 7.0%
AJG is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 372.4% 10Y total return vs AON's 219.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.09, Low D/E 60.0%, current ratio 1.06x
- Beta 0.09 vs BOW's 0.43
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 29.6% revenue growth vs MMC's 7.6% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (13.7x vs 15.3x) | |
| Quality / Margins | Combined ratio 0.7 vs BOW's 0.9 (lower = better underwriting) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.09 vs BOW's 0.43 | |
| Dividends | 1.8% yield, 19-year raise streak, vs AON's 0.9%, (1 stock pays no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -12.0% vs AJG's -39.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 7.6% ROA vs AJG's 2.0%, ROIC 13.5% vs 7.0% |
BOW vs MMC vs AON vs AJG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
BOW vs MMC vs AON vs AJG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
BOW leads in 2 of 6 categories
AON leads 1 • MMC leads 1 • AJG leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AON leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MMC is the larger business by revenue, generating $26.5B annually — 45.3x BOW's $584M. AON is the more profitable business, keeping 22.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to BOW's 10.0%. On growth, AJG holds the edge at +33.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $584M | $26.5B | $17.5B | $13.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $75M | $7.0B | $5.4B | $3.7B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $58M | $4.1B | $3.9B | $1.5B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $342M | $5.1B | $3.5B | $1.8B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +34.4% | +42.3% | +55.9% | +54.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +12.6% | +23.2% | +27.0% | +18.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +10.0% | +15.6% | +22.5% | +10.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +58.6% | +19.3% | +20.0% | +12.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +26.1% | +11.5% | +6.4% | +33.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +41.2% | 0.0% | +27.1% | -48.2% |
Valuation Metrics
BOW leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 16.6x trailing earnings, BOW trades at a 53% valuation discount to AJG's 35.1x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), MMC offers better value at 1.11x vs AJG's 5.42x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $866M | $85.3B | $67.2B | $51.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $632M | $104.7B | $82.5B | $64.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 16.58x | 21.28x | 18.42x | 35.11x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 13.70x | 16.89x | 16.50x | 15.26x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.11x | 1.23x | 5.42x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 9.15x | 15.96x | 15.54x | 17.57x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.57x | 3.49x | 3.91x | 3.72x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.98x | 6.38x | 7.11x | 2.25x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 2.66x | 21.39x | 20.88x | 29.08x |
Profitability & Efficiency
BOW leads this category, winning 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AON delivers a 44.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $44 in annual profit, vs $6 for AJG. AJG carries lower financial leverage with a 0.60x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AON's 1.73x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), AON scores 7/9 vs BOW's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +13.4% | +26.9% | +44.2% | +6.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.6% | +7.0% | +7.6% | +2.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +20.5% | +15.2% | +13.5% | +7.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +3.3% | +17.8% | +16.2% | +7.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 1.62x | 1.73x | 0.60x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$234M | $19.5B | $15.3B | $12.6B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $234M | $2.4B | $1.2B | $1.4B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $0 | $21.9B | $16.5B | $14.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 42.59x | 6.66x | 9.58x | 3.97x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — BOW and AJG each lead in 2 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AJG five years ago would be worth $14,109 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $11,076 for BOW. Over the past 12 months, AON leads with a -12.0% total return vs AJG's -39.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors BOW at 3.5% vs AON's -1.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -3.9% | -3.6% | -8.5% | -20.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -31.8% | -22.0% | -12.0% | -39.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +10.8% | +2.0% | -3.2% | -2.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +10.8% | +36.5% | +26.2% | +41.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +10.8% | +209.8% | +219.8% | +372.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +3.5% | +0.7% | -1.1% | -1.0% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — AON and AJG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
AJG is the less volatile stock with a 0.09 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than BOW's 0.43 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. AON currently trades 82.3% from its 52-week high vs AJG's 57.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.43x | 0.14x | 0.10x | 0.09x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $40.99 | $235.78 | $381.00 | $351.23 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $21.23 | $170.37 | $304.59 | $194.15 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +64.3% | +73.8% | +82.3% | +57.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 57.1 | 37.2 | 37.9 | 27.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 185K | 2.7M | 1.2M | 1.9M |
Analyst Outlook
MMC leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: BOW as "Buy", MMC as "Hold", AON as "Buy", AJG as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 35.9% upside for AJG (target: $274) vs 18.8% for MMC (target: $207). For income investors, MMC offers the higher dividend yield at 1.75% vs AON's 0.93%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $31.33 | $206.75 | $404.40 | $274.38 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 7 | 26 | 38 | 29 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.8% | +0.9% | +1.3% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 19 | 14 | 12 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $3.05 | $2.91 | $2.56 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +1.1% | +1.5% | 0.0% |
BOW leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). AON leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 2 tied.
BOW vs MMC vs AON vs AJG: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is BOW or MMC or AON or AJG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.
(BOW) is the stronger pick with 29. 6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 7. 6% for Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MMC). Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (BOW) offers the better valuation at 16. 6x trailing P/E (13. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (BOW) a "Buy" — based on 7 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — BOW or MMC or AON or AJG?
On trailing P/E, Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.
(BOW) is the cheapest at 16. 6x versus Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. at 35. 1x. On forward P/E, Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. is actually cheaper at 13. 7x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. wins at 0. 88x versus Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. 's 2. 35x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — BOW or MMC or AON or AJG?
Over the past 5 years, Arthur J.
Gallagher & Co. (AJG) delivered a total return of +41. 1%, compared to +10. 8% for Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (BOW). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AJG returned +372. 4% versus BOW's +10. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — BOW or MMC or AON or AJG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Arthur J.
Gallagher & Co. (AJG) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 09β versus Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. 's 0. 43β — meaning BOW is approximately 395% more volatile than AJG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 60% versus 173% for Aon plc — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — BOW or MMC or AON or AJG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.
(BOW) is pulling ahead at 29. 6% versus 7. 6% for Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MMC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Aon plc grew EPS 36. 3% year-over-year, compared to -11. 9% for Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.. Over a 3-year CAGR, BOW leads at 43. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — BOW or MMC or AON or AJG?
Aon plc (AON) is the more profitable company, earning 21.
5% net margin versus 9. 8% for Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. — meaning it keeps 21. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: AON leads at 25. 3% versus 12. 2% for BOW. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AJG leads at 54. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is BOW or MMC or AON or AJG more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MMC) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 88x versus Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. 's 2. 35x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (BOW) trades at 13. 7x forward P/E versus 16. 9x for Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. — 3. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AJG: 35. 9% to $274. 38.
08Which pays a better dividend — BOW or MMC or AON or AJG?
In this comparison, MMC (1.
8% yield), AJG (1. 3% yield), AON (0. 9% yield) pay a dividend. BOW does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is BOW or MMC or AON or AJG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Arthur J.
Gallagher & Co. (AJG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 09), 1. 3% yield, +372. 4% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (AJG: +372. 4%, BOW: +10. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between BOW and MMC and AON and AJG?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: BOW is a small-cap high-growth stock; MMC is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; AON is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; AJG is a mid-cap high-growth stock. MMC, AON, AJG pay a dividend while BOW does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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