Packaged Foods
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CAG vs HRL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaged Foods
CAG vs HRL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods |
| Market Cap | $6.86B | $11.41B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $11.18B | $12.14B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $13M | $489M |
| Gross Margin | 24.6% | 15.5% |
| Operating Margin | 13.1% | 6.0% |
| Forward P/E | 8.4x | 14.1x |
| Total Debt | $8.31B | $2.86B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $68M | $671M |
CAG vs HRL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) | 100 | 41.2 | -58.8% |
| Hormel Foods Corpor… (HRL) | 100 | 42.5 | -57.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: CAG vs HRL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
CAG is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 6 yrs, beta 0.06, yield 9.8%
- Rev growth -4.8%, EPS growth 0.0%, 3Y rev CAGR 0.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.06, Low D/E 93.0%, current ratio 0.71x
HRL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding.
- -23.9% 10Y total return vs CAG's -27.9%
- 1.6% revenue growth vs CAG's -4.8%
- 4.0% margin vs CAG's 0.1%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 1.6% revenue growth vs CAG's -4.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (8.4x vs 14.1x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 4.0% margin vs CAG's 0.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.06 vs HRL's 0.15 | |
| Dividends | 9.8% yield, 6-year raise streak, vs HRL's 5.5% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -24.7% vs CAG's -31.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 3.7% ROA vs CAG's 0.1%, ROIC 5.3% vs 6.0% |
CAG vs HRL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
CAG vs HRL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — CAG and HRL each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
HRL and CAG operate at a comparable scale, with $12.1B and $11.2B in trailing revenue. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 4.0% (HRL) to 0.1% (CAG). On growth, HRL holds the edge at +1.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $11.2B | $12.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.9B | $932M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $13M | $489M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $634M | $578M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +24.6% | +15.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +13.1% | +6.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +0.1% | +4.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +5.7% | +4.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -6.8% | +1.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -3.4% | +6.5% |
Valuation Metrics
CAG leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 6.0x trailing earnings, CAG trades at a 75% valuation discount to HRL's 23.8x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, CAG's 8.6x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than HRL's 13.8x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $6.9B | $11.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $15.1B | $13.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 5.95x | 23.84x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 8.44x | 14.13x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.85x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 8.61x | 13.84x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.59x | 0.94x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.77x | 1.44x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 5.27x | 21.36x |
Profitability & Efficiency
HRL leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
HRL delivers a 4.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $4 in annual profit, vs $0 for CAG. HRL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.36x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CAG's 0.93x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CAG scores 6/9 vs HRL's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +0.2% | +4.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +0.1% | +3.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.0% | +5.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +8.2% | +6.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.93x | 0.36x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $8.2B | $2.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $68M | $671M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $8.3B | $2.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.56x | 6.44x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
HRL leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in HRL five years ago would be worth $5,569 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,565 for CAG. Over the past 12 months, HRL leads with a -24.7% total return vs CAG's -31.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors HRL at -15.9% vs CAG's -21.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -13.0% | -8.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -31.5% | -24.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -50.8% | -40.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -44.3% | -44.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -27.9% | -23.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -21.1% | -15.9% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — CAG and HRL each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CAG is the less volatile stock with a 0.06 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than HRL's 0.15 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. HRL currently trades 65.1% from its 52-week high vs CAG's 61.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.06x | 0.15x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $23.47 | $31.86 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $13.61 | $20.32 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +61.1% | +65.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 36.1 | 39.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 14.1M | 4.2M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — CAG and HRL each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates CAG as "Hold" and HRL as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 31.4% upside for HRL (target: $27) vs 22.3% for CAG (target: $18). For income investors, CAG offers the higher dividend yield at 9.75% vs HRL's 5.54%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $17.55 | $27.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 25 | 29 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +9.8% | +5.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 6 | 34 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.40 | $1.15 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.9% | 0.0% |
HRL leads in 2 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). CAG leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 3 tied.
CAG vs HRL: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is CAG or HRL a better buy right now?
Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) offers the better valuation at 6. 0x trailing P/E (8. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) a "Hold" — based on 25 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — CAG or HRL?
On trailing P/E, Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) is the cheapest at 6. 0x versus Hormel Foods Corporation at 23. 8x. On forward P/E, Conagra Brands, Inc. is actually cheaper at 8. 4x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — CAG or HRL?
Over the past 5 years, Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) delivered a total return of -44.
3%, compared to -44. 3% for Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: HRL returned -23. 9% versus CAG's -27. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — CAG or HRL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 06β versus Hormel Foods Corporation's 0. 15β — meaning HRL is approximately 146% more volatile than CAG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 36% versus 93% for Conagra Brands, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — CAG or HRL?
On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Conagra Brands, Inc.
grew EPS 0. 0% year-over-year, compared to -40. 8% for Hormel Foods Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, CAG leads at 0. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — CAG or HRL?
Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) is the more profitable company, earning 9. 9% net margin versus 4. 0% for Hormel Foods Corporation — meaning it keeps 9. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CAG leads at 11. 8% versus 5. 9% for HRL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CAG leads at 25. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is CAG or HRL more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) trades at 8. 4x forward P/E versus 14. 1x for Hormel Foods Corporation — 5. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for HRL: 31. 4% to $27. 25.
08Which pays a better dividend — CAG or HRL?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) offers the highest yield at 9. 8%, versus 5. 5% for Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL).
09Is CAG or HRL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 06), 9. 8% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (CAG: -27. 9%, HRL: -23. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between CAG and HRL?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: CAG is a small-cap deep-value stock; HRL is a mid-cap income-oriented stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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