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CARR vs AAON
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Construction
CARR vs AAON — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Construction | Construction |
| Market Cap | $56.73B | $8.05B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $21.87B | $1.44B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.32B | $108M |
| Gross Margin | 24.8% | 26.7% |
| Operating Margin | 8.1% | 10.1% |
| Forward P/E | 24.5x | 49.6x |
| Total Debt | $12.67B | $433M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.55B | $13K |
CARR vs AAON — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carrier Global Corp… (CARR) | 100 | 331.7 | +231.7% |
| AAON, Inc. (AAON) | 100 | 272.2 | +172.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: CARR vs AAON
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
CARR is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 6 yrs, beta 1.19, yield 1.3%
- 5.0% 10Y total return vs AAON's 440.9%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.19, Low D/E 89.7%, current ratio 1.20x
AAON carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure.
- Rev growth 20.1%, EPS growth -36.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 17.5%
- 20.1% revenue growth vs CARR's -3.3%
- 7.5% margin vs CARR's 6.0%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 20.1% revenue growth vs CARR's -3.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (24.5x vs 49.6x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 7.5% margin vs CARR's 6.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.19 vs AAON's 1.83 | |
| Dividends | 1.3% yield, 6-year raise streak, vs AAON's 0.4% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +1.3% vs CARR's -1.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 7.3% ROA vs CARR's 3.5%, ROIC 9.4% vs 6.7% |
CARR vs AAON — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
CARR vs AAON — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AAON leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CARR is the larger business by revenue, generating $21.9B annually — 15.2x AAON's $1.4B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 7.5% (AAON) to 6.0% (CARR). On growth, AAON holds the edge at +42.5% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $21.9B | $1.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $3.1B | $226M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.3B | $108M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.7B | -$190M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +24.8% | +26.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +8.1% | +10.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +6.0% | +7.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +7.6% | -13.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +2.4% | +42.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -40.4% | +26.7% |
Valuation Metrics
CARR leads this category, winning 5 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 39.9x trailing earnings, CARR trades at a 48% valuation discount to AAON's 76.2x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, CARR's 21.9x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than AAON's 37.6x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $56.7B | $8.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $67.8B | $8.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 39.94x | 76.20x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 24.46x | 49.65x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 14.02x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 21.92x | 37.58x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.61x | 5.58x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 4.07x | 9.13x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 33.43x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
AAON leads this category, winning 8 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AAON delivers a 12.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $13 in annual profit, vs $9 for CARR. AAON carries lower financial leverage with a 0.48x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CARR's 0.90x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CARR scores 4/9 vs AAON's 2/9, reflecting mixed financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +9.1% | +12.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +3.5% | +7.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.7% | +9.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +7.2% | +12.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 2 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.90x | 0.48x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $11.1B | $433M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.6B | $13,000 |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $12.7B | $433M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 5.76x | 8.26x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CARR leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AAON five years ago would be worth $23,425 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $16,218 for CARR. Over the past 12 months, AAON leads with a +1.3% total return vs CARR's -1.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CARR at 18.2% vs AAON's 15.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +27.8% | +24.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -1.9% | +1.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +65.3% | +53.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +62.2% | +134.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +500.2% | +440.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +18.2% | +15.4% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — CARR and AAON each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CARR is the less volatile stock with a 1.19 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AAON's 1.83 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.19x | 1.83x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $81.09 | $116.04 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $50.24 | $62.00 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +83.7% | +84.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 56.7 | 53.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 6.6M | 836K |
Analyst Outlook
CARR leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates CARR as "Buy" and AAON as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 21.1% upside for AAON (target: $119) vs -0.6% for CARR (target: $68). For income investors, CARR offers the higher dividend yield at 1.34% vs AAON's 0.40%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $67.50 | $119.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 26 | 5 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.3% | +0.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 6 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.91 | $0.39 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +5.1% | +0.4% |
CARR leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). AAON leads in 2 (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). 1 tied.
CARR vs AAON: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is CARR or AAON a better buy right now?
For growth investors, AAON, Inc.
(AAON) is the stronger pick with 20. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -3. 3% for Carrier Global Corporation (CARR). Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) offers the better valuation at 39. 9x trailing P/E (24. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) a "Buy" — based on 26 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — CARR or AAON?
On trailing P/E, Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) is the cheapest at 39.
9x versus AAON, Inc. at 76. 2x. On forward P/E, Carrier Global Corporation is actually cheaper at 24. 5x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — CARR or AAON?
Over the past 5 years, AAON, Inc.
(AAON) delivered a total return of +134. 3%, compared to +62. 2% for Carrier Global Corporation (CARR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CARR returned +500. 2% versus AAON's +440. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — CARR or AAON?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) is the lower-risk stock at 1.
19β versus AAON, Inc. 's 1. 83β — meaning AAON is approximately 53% more volatile than CARR relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, AAON, Inc. (AAON) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 48% versus 90% for Carrier Global Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — CARR or AAON?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), AAON, Inc.
(AAON) is pulling ahead at 20. 1% versus -3. 3% for Carrier Global Corporation (CARR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: AAON, Inc. grew EPS -36. 1% year-over-year, compared to -72. 4% for Carrier Global Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, AAON leads at 17. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — CARR or AAON?
AAON, Inc.
(AAON) is the more profitable company, earning 7. 5% net margin versus 6. 9% for Carrier Global Corporation — meaning it keeps 7. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: AAON leads at 10. 1% versus 9. 9% for CARR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AAON leads at 26. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is CARR or AAON more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) trades at 24.
5x forward P/E versus 49. 6x for AAON, Inc. — 25. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AAON: 21. 1% to $119. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — CARR or AAON?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) offers the highest yield at 1. 3%, versus 0. 4% for AAON, Inc. (AAON).
09Is CARR or AAON better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1.
19), 1. 3% yield, +500. 2% 10Y return). AAON, Inc. (AAON) carries a higher beta of 1. 83 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (CARR: +500. 2%, AAON: +440. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between CARR and AAON?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: CARR is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; AAON is a small-cap high-growth stock. CARR pays a dividend while AAON does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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