Asset Management
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CG vs TPG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Asset Management
CG vs TPG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Asset Management | Asset Management |
| Market Cap | $18.47B | $17.48B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.09B | $4.67B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $662M | $18M |
| Gross Margin | 83.2% | 96.9% |
| Operating Margin | 34.1% | 14.7% |
| Forward P/E | 11.9x | 16.5x |
| Total Debt | $9.50B | $1.72B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $2.10B | $826M |
CG vs TPG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jan 22 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Carlyle Group I… (CG) | 100 | 100.5 | +0.5% |
| TPG Inc. (TPG) | 100 | 135.9 | +35.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: CG vs TPG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
CG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 119.0%, EPS growth 264.9%
- 295.8% 10Y total return vs TPG's 53.9%
- 119.0% NII/revenue growth vs TPG's 77.9%
TPG is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 1.61, yield 17.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.61, Low D/E 41.6%, current ratio 0.15x
- Beta 1.61, yield 17.6%, current ratio 0.15x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 119.0% NII/revenue growth vs TPG's 77.9% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (11.9x vs 16.5x) | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 0.5% vs TPG's 0.8% (lower = leaner) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.61 vs CG's 1.88, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 17.6% yield, 2-year raise streak, vs CG's 2.7% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +30.1% vs TPG's +1.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 0.5% vs TPG's 0.8% |
CG vs TPG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
CG vs TPG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — CG and TPG each lead in 2 of 4 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TPG and CG operate at a comparable scale, with $4.7B and $4.1B in trailing revenue. CG is the more profitable business, keeping 25.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to TPG's 4.0%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.1B | $4.7B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.2B | $611M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $662M | $18M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$2.5B | $972M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +83.2% | +96.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +34.1% | +14.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +25.0% | +4.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -20.5% | +21.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -99.9% | — |
Valuation Metrics
CG leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 18.5x trailing earnings, CG trades at a 51% valuation discount to TPG's 37.7x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, CG's 16.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than TPG's 22.3x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $18.5B | $17.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $25.9B | $18.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 18.52x | 37.69x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 11.94x | 16.47x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 16.40x | 22.34x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 4.52x | 3.75x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.97x | 1.68x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 17.42x |
Profitability & Efficiency
TPG leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CG delivers a 9.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $10 in annual profit, vs $0 for TPG. TPG carries lower financial leverage with a 0.42x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CG's 1.50x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), TPG scores 8/9 vs CG's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +9.7% | +0.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.4% | +0.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.8% | +9.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +6.3% | +7.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 8 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.50x | 0.42x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $7.4B | $896M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $2.1B | $826M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $9.5B | $1.7B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.37x | 6.24x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CG leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in TPG five years ago would be worth $15,394 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $13,092 for CG. Over the past 12 months, CG leads with a +30.1% total return vs TPG's +1.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CG at 27.6% vs TPG's 24.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -15.1% | -29.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +30.1% | +1.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +107.8% | +91.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +30.9% | +53.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +295.8% | +53.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +27.6% | +24.2% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — CG and TPG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
TPG is the less volatile stock with a 1.61 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CG's 1.88 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CG currently trades 73.4% from its 52-week high vs TPG's 64.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.88x | 1.61x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $69.85 | $70.38 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $39.48 | $36.95 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +73.4% | +64.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 52.4 | 59.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 3.1M | 3.3M |
Analyst Outlook
TPG leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates CG as "Buy" and TPG as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 42.5% upside for TPG (target: $65) vs 31.3% for CG (target: $67). For income investors, TPG offers the higher dividend yield at 17.63% vs CG's 2.66%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $67.33 | $65.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 25 | 17 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.7% | +17.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.37 | $8.04 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +3.0% | 0.0% |
CG leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). TPG leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Analyst Outlook). 2 tied.
CG vs TPG: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is CG or TPG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, The Carlyle Group Inc.
(CG) is the stronger pick with 119. 0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 77. 9% for TPG Inc. (TPG). The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) offers the better valuation at 18. 5x trailing P/E (11. 9x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) a "Buy" — based on 25 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — CG or TPG?
On trailing P/E, The Carlyle Group Inc.
(CG) is the cheapest at 18. 5x versus TPG Inc. at 37. 7x. On forward P/E, The Carlyle Group Inc. is actually cheaper at 11. 9x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — CG or TPG?
Over the past 5 years, TPG Inc.
(TPG) delivered a total return of +53. 9%, compared to +30. 9% for The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CG returned +295. 8% versus TPG's +53. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — CG or TPG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), TPG Inc.
(TPG) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 61β versus The Carlyle Group Inc. 's 1. 88β — meaning CG is approximately 17% more volatile than TPG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, TPG Inc. (TPG) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 42% versus 150% for The Carlyle Group Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — CG or TPG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), The Carlyle Group Inc.
(CG) is pulling ahead at 119. 0% versus 77. 9% for TPG Inc. (TPG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: TPG Inc. grew EPS 1779% year-over-year, compared to 264. 9% for The Carlyle Group Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — CG or TPG?
The Carlyle Group Inc.
(CG) is the more profitable company, earning 25. 0% net margin versus 4. 0% for TPG Inc. — meaning it keeps 25. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CG leads at 34. 1% versus 14. 7% for TPG. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TPG leads at 96. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is CG or TPG more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, The Carlyle Group Inc.
(CG) trades at 11. 9x forward P/E versus 16. 5x for TPG Inc. — 4. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for TPG: 42. 5% to $65. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — CG or TPG?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
TPG Inc. (TPG) offers the highest yield at 17. 6%, versus 2. 7% for The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG).
09Is CG or TPG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, TPG Inc.
(TPG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (17. 6% yield). The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) carries a higher beta of 1. 88 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (TPG: +53. 9%, CG: +295. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between CG and TPG?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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