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CLW vs SON vs GPK vs PKG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaging & Containers
Packaging & Containers
Packaging & Containers
CLW vs SON vs GPK vs PKG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Paper, Lumber & Forest Products | Packaging & Containers | Packaging & Containers | Packaging & Containers |
| Market Cap | $221M | $5.10B | $3.27B | $19.93B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.54B | $7.49B | $8.65B | $8.99B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-27M | $1.04B | $274M | $773M |
| Gross Margin | 5.1% | 20.9% | 13.4% | 21.0% |
| Operating Margin | -0.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 13.6% |
| Forward P/E | — | 8.8x | 13.0x | 21.7x |
| Total Debt | $422M | $4.85B | $5.57B | $4.36B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $31K | $378M | $261M | $529M |
CLW vs SON vs GPK vs PKG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clearwater Paper Co… (CLW) | 100 | 47.2 | -52.8% |
| Sonoco Products Com… (SON) | 100 | 99.8 | -0.2% |
| Graphic Packaging H… (GPK) | 100 | 76.3 | -23.7% |
| Packaging Corporati… (PKG) | 100 | 220.3 | +120.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: CLW vs SON vs GPK vs PKG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
CLW plays a supporting role in this comparison — it may shine differently against other peers.
SON carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 30 yrs, beta 0.53, yield 4.0%
- Rev growth 41.7%, EPS growth 141.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 8.7%
- PEG 0.62 vs PKG's 1.79
- Beta 0.53, yield 4.0%, current ratio 1.05x
GPK lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
PKG is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night is your priority.
- 299.8% 10Y total return vs SON's 48.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.76, Low D/E 94.9%, current ratio 3.17x
- +26.9% vs GPK's -47.5%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 41.7% revenue growth vs GPK's -2.2% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (8.8x vs 21.7x), PEG 0.62 vs 1.79 | |
| Quality / Margins | 13.8% margin vs CLW's -1.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.53 vs CLW's 1.31 | |
| Dividends | 4.0% yield, 30-year raise streak, vs PKG's 2.2%, (1 stock pays no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +26.9% vs GPK's -47.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 9.0% ROA vs CLW's -1.7%, ROIC 6.2% vs 1.2% |
CLW vs SON vs GPK vs PKG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
CLW vs SON vs GPK vs PKG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
PKG leads in 2 of 6 categories
CLW leads 2 • SON leads 1 • GPK leads 0 • 1 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PKG leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PKG is the larger business by revenue, generating $9.0B annually — 5.8x CLW's $1.5B. SON is the more profitable business, keeping 13.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to CLW's -1.8%. On growth, PKG holds the edge at +10.1% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.5B | $7.5B | $8.7B | $9.0B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $69M | $1.2B | $1.1B | $1.9B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$27M | $1.0B | $274M | $773M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$54M | $266M | $293M | $729M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +5.1% | +20.9% | +13.4% | +21.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -0.1% | +8.7% | +7.5% | +13.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -1.8% | +13.8% | +3.2% | +8.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -3.5% | +3.6% | +3.4% | +8.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -4.7% | -1.9% | +1.7% | +10.1% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -110.5% | +23.6% | -133.3% | -53.9% |
Valuation Metrics
CLW leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 7.5x trailing earnings, GPK trades at a 71% valuation discount to PKG's 26.0x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), GPK offers better value at 0.38x vs PKG's 2.15x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $221M | $5.1B | $3.3B | $19.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $642M | $9.6B | $8.6B | $23.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -11.04x | 12.99x | 7.46x | 26.04x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 8.84x | 12.97x | 21.68x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.92x | 0.38x | 2.15x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 5.76x | 7.77x | 6.10x | 12.46x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.14x | 0.68x | 0.38x | 2.22x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.27x | 1.42x | 0.98x | 4.35x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 12.99x | — | 27.36x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CLW leads this category, winning 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
SON delivers a 30.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $30 in annual profit, vs $-3 for CLW. CLW carries lower financial leverage with a 0.51x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GPK's 1.67x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CLW scores 7/9 vs PKG's 3/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -3.3% | +30.0% | +8.4% | +16.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -1.7% | +9.0% | +2.3% | +7.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +1.2% | +6.2% | +7.7% | +12.6% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +1.4% | +8.3% | +9.3% | +14.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.51x | 1.34x | 1.67x | 0.95x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $422M | $4.5B | $5.3B | $3.8B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $30,700 | $378M | $261M | $529M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $422M | $4.9B | $5.6B | $4.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -4.32x | 4.60x | 5.47x | 13.99x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
PKG leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in PKG five years ago would be worth $16,155 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $4,369 for CLW. Over the past 12 months, PKG leads with a +26.9% total return vs GPK's -47.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors PKG at 20.6% vs CLW's -25.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -22.7% | +17.7% | -26.4% | +6.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -47.4% | +21.9% | -47.5% | +26.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -58.2% | -3.2% | -52.6% | +75.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -56.3% | -9.7% | -33.2% | +61.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -77.2% | +48.6% | +12.8% | +299.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -25.2% | -1.1% | -22.0% | +20.6% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — SON and PKG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SON is the less volatile stock with a 0.53 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CLW's 1.31 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. PKG currently trades 89.5% from its 52-week high vs CLW's 44.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.31x | 0.53x | 0.88x | 0.76x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $30.96 | $58.43 | $23.76 | $249.51 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $11.73 | $38.65 | $8.79 | $178.32 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +44.2% | +88.5% | +46.5% | +89.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 49.7 | 50.8 | 68.8 | 62.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 198K | 1.1M | 7.0M | 918K |
Analyst Outlook
SON leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: CLW as "Buy", SON as "Buy", GPK as "Buy", PKG as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 14.1% upside for GPK (target: $13) vs 9.7% for PKG (target: $245). For income investors, SON offers the higher dividend yield at 4.04% vs PKG's 2.25%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $15.50 | $59.00 | $12.60 | $245.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 10 | 21 | 27 | 26 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +4.0% | +3.9% | +2.2% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 30 | 3 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $2.09 | $0.43 | $5.02 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +7.8% | +0.2% | +5.6% | +0.8% |
PKG leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). CLW leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). 1 tied.
CLW vs SON vs GPK vs PKG: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is CLW or SON or GPK or PKG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Sonoco Products Company (SON) is the stronger pick with 41.
7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -2. 2% for Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK). Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) offers the better valuation at 7. 5x trailing P/E (13. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) a "Buy" — based on 10 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — CLW or SON or GPK or PKG?
On trailing P/E, Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) is the cheapest at 7.
5x versus Packaging Corporation of America at 26. 0x. On forward P/E, Sonoco Products Company is actually cheaper at 8. 8x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Sonoco Products Company wins at 0. 62x versus Packaging Corporation of America's 1. 79x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — CLW or SON or GPK or PKG?
Over the past 5 years, Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) delivered a total return of +61.
6%, compared to -56. 3% for Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: PKG returned +299. 8% versus CLW's -77. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — CLW or SON or GPK or PKG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Sonoco Products Company (SON) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
53β versus Clearwater Paper Corporation's 1. 31β — meaning CLW is approximately 148% more volatile than SON relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 51% versus 167% for Graphic Packaging Holding Company — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — CLW or SON or GPK or PKG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Sonoco Products Company (SON) is pulling ahead at 41.
7% versus -2. 2% for Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Sonoco Products Company grew EPS 141. 2% year-over-year, compared to -110. 6% for Clearwater Paper Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, SON leads at 8. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — CLW or SON or GPK or PKG?
Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) is the more profitable company, earning 8.
6% net margin versus -1. 3% for Clearwater Paper Corporation — meaning it keeps 8. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: PKG leads at 14. 0% versus 1. 2% for CLW. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — PKG leads at 21. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is CLW or SON or GPK or PKG more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Sonoco Products Company (SON) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 62x versus Packaging Corporation of America's 1. 79x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Sonoco Products Company (SON) trades at 8. 8x forward P/E versus 21. 7x for Packaging Corporation of America — 12. 8x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for GPK: 14. 1% to $12. 60.
08Which pays a better dividend — CLW or SON or GPK or PKG?
In this comparison, SON (4.
0% yield), GPK (3. 9% yield), PKG (2. 2% yield) pay a dividend. CLW does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is CLW or SON or GPK or PKG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Sonoco Products Company (SON) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
53), 4. 0% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (SON: +48. 6%, CLW: -77. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between CLW and SON and GPK and PKG?
These companies operate in different sectors (CLW (Basic Materials) and SON (Consumer Cyclical) and GPK (Consumer Cyclical) and PKG (Consumer Cyclical)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: CLW is a small-cap quality compounder stock; SON is a small-cap high-growth stock; GPK is a small-cap deep-value stock; PKG is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. SON, GPK, PKG pay a dividend while CLW does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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