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COE vs TAL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Education & Training Services
COE vs TAL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Software - Application | Education & Training Services |
| Market Cap | $2M | $750M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $81M | $2.66B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-11M | $171M |
| Gross Margin | 75.3% | 54.4% |
| Operating Margin | -11.2% | 2.7% |
| Forward P/E | 417.0x | 17.6x |
| Total Debt | $3M | $333M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $28M | $1.77B |
COE vs TAL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51Talk Online Educa… (COE) | 100 | 22.8 | -77.2% |
| TAL Education Group (TAL) | 100 | 19.6 | -80.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: COE vs TAL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
COE has the current edge in this matchup, primarily because of its strength in income & stability and growth exposure.
- beta 0.91
- Rev growth 87.0%, EPS growth 50.0%, 3Y rev CAGR 300.7%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.91, current ratio 0.70x
TAL is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 23.9% 10Y total return vs COE's -68.9%
- Lower P/E (17.6x vs 417.0x)
- 6.5% margin vs COE's -13.4%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 87.0% revenue growth vs TAL's 51.2% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (17.6x vs 417.0x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 6.5% margin vs COE's -13.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.91 vs TAL's 0.99 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +19.8% vs TAL's +17.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 3.1% ROA vs COE's -21.0% |
COE vs TAL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
COE vs TAL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TAL leads this category, winning 3 of 4 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TAL is the larger business by revenue, generating $2.7B annually — 32.7x COE's $81M. TAL is the more profitable business, keeping 6.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to COE's -13.4%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $81M | $2.7B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$9M | $72M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$11M | $171M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $0 | $441M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +75.3% | +54.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -11.2% | +2.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -13.4% | +6.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +10.9% | +16.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | +38.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | -21.4% |
Valuation Metrics
COE leads this category, winning 3 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2M | $750M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | -$23M | -$688M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -0.33x | 8.80x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 416.96x | 17.63x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | -16.89x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.04x | 0.33x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | 0.20x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 0.41x | 2.62x |
Profitability & Efficiency
TAL leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | +4.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -21.0% | +3.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | — | -0.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | — | -0.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 0.09x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$25M | -$1.6B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $28M | $1.8B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $3M | $333M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
COE leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in COE five years ago would be worth $3,078 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,046 for TAL. Over the past 12 months, COE leads with a +19.8% total return vs TAL's +17.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors COE at 57.0% vs TAL's 25.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -24.5% | -3.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +19.8% | +17.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +286.9% | +97.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -69.2% | -79.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -68.9% | +23.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +57.0% | +25.5% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — COE and TAL each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
COE is the less volatile stock with a 0.91 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than TAL's 0.99 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. TAL currently trades 82.9% from its 52-week high vs COE's 42.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.91x | 0.99x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $56.13 | $13.37 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $15.32 | $9.07 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +42.0% | +82.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 50.0 | 51.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 9K | 3.3M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates COE as "Buy" and TAL as "Hold".
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $18.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 2 | 28 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +1.8% |
TAL leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). COE leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). 1 tied.
COE vs TAL: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is COE or TAL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, 51Talk Online Education Group (COE) is the stronger pick with 87.
0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 51. 2% for TAL Education Group (TAL). TAL Education Group (TAL) offers the better valuation at 8. 8x trailing P/E (17. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate 51Talk Online Education Group (COE) a "Buy" — based on 2 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — COE or TAL?
On forward P/E, TAL Education Group is actually cheaper at 17.
6x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — COE or TAL?
Over the past 5 years, 51Talk Online Education Group (COE) delivered a total return of -69.
2%, compared to -79. 5% for TAL Education Group (TAL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: TAL returned +23. 9% versus COE's -68. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — COE or TAL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), 51Talk Online Education Group (COE) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
91β versus TAL Education Group's 0. 99β — meaning TAL is approximately 9% more volatile than COE relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — COE or TAL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), 51Talk Online Education Group (COE) is pulling ahead at 87.
0% versus 51. 2% for TAL Education Group (TAL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: TAL Education Group grew EPS 24. 7% year-over-year, compared to 50. 0% for 51Talk Online Education Group. Over a 3-year CAGR, COE leads at 300. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — COE or TAL?
TAL Education Group (TAL) is the more profitable company, earning 3.
8% net margin versus -14. 3% for 51Talk Online Education Group — meaning it keeps 3. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TAL leads at -0. 3% versus -15. 9% for COE. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — COE leads at 78. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is COE or TAL more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, TAL Education Group (TAL) trades at 17.
6x forward P/E versus 417. 0x for 51Talk Online Education Group — 399. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis.
08Which pays a better dividend — COE or TAL?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is COE or TAL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, 51Talk Online Education Group (COE) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
91)). Both have compounded well over 10 years (COE: -68. 9%, TAL: +23. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between COE and TAL?
These companies operate in different sectors (COE (Technology) and TAL (Consumer Defensive)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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