Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
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CSAN vs GGB
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Steel
CSAN vs GGB — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Steel |
| Market Cap | $4.09B | $9.53B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $42.57B | $69.86B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-13.22B | $1.39B |
| Gross Margin | 32.0% | 11.4% |
| Operating Margin | 8.0% | 8.4% |
| Forward P/E | 1.4x | 1.9x |
| Total Debt | $72.97B | $15.57B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $16.90B | $5.93B |
CSAN vs GGB — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Mar 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cosan S.A. (CSAN) | 100 | 25.9 | -74.1% |
| Gerdau S.A. (GGB) | 100 | 112.1 | +12.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: CSAN vs GGB
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
CSAN is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 1.44, yield 17.9%
- Rev growth 11.4%, EPS growth -10.0%, 3Y rev CAGR 19.0%
- 11.4% revenue growth vs GGB's 4.2%
GGB carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 331.7% 10Y total return vs CSAN's -64.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.31, Low D/E 28.9%, current ratio 2.89x
- Beta 1.31, yield 2.7%, current ratio 2.89x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 11.4% revenue growth vs GGB's 4.2% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (1.4x vs 1.9x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 2.0% margin vs CSAN's -31.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.31 vs CSAN's 1.44, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 17.9% yield, 2-year raise streak, vs GGB's 2.7% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +93.9% vs CSAN's -20.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 1.6% ROA vs CSAN's -10.2%, ROIC 6.8% vs 7.2% |
CSAN vs GGB — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
CSAN vs GGB — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GGB leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GGB is the larger business by revenue, generating $69.9B annually — 1.6x CSAN's $42.6B. GGB is the more profitable business, keeping 2.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to CSAN's -31.0%. On growth, GGB holds the edge at +0.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $42.6B | $69.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $7.2B | $9.5B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$13.2B | $1.4B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $2.7B | $1.2B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +32.0% | +11.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +8.0% | +8.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -31.0% | +2.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +6.2% | +1.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -8.4% | +0.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -5.0% | -144.6% |
Valuation Metrics
CSAN leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, GGB's 6.0x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than CSAN's 6.1x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $4.1B | $9.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $15.4B | $11.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -1.99x | 34.10x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 1.40x | 1.86x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 6.08x | 5.97x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.46x | 0.68x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.49x | 0.88x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 3.86x | 36.11x |
Profitability & Efficiency
GGB leads this category, winning 7 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
GGB delivers a 2.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $3 in annual profit, vs $-38 for CSAN. GGB carries lower financial leverage with a 0.29x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CSAN's 1.85x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -37.9% | +2.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -10.2% | +1.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +7.2% | +6.8% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +7.5% | +7.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.85x | 0.29x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $56.1B | $9.6B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $16.9B | $5.9B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $73.0B | $15.6B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.03x | 3.47x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
GGB leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in GGB five years ago would be worth $11,451 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,368 for CSAN. Over the past 12 months, GGB leads with a +93.9% total return vs CSAN's -20.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors GGB at 8.4% vs CSAN's -26.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +6.5% | +26.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -20.4% | +93.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -59.7% | +27.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -66.3% | +14.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -64.0% | +331.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -26.2% | +8.4% |
Risk & Volatility
GGB leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
GGB is the less volatile stock with a 1.31 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CSAN's 1.44 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. GGB currently trades 95.4% from its 52-week high vs CSAN's 67.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.44x | 1.31x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $6.25 | $4.98 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $3.71 | $2.49 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +67.0% | +95.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 53.1 | 79.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.0M | 18.4M |
Analyst Outlook
CSAN leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates CSAN as "Hold" and GGB as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 19.5% upside for CSAN (target: $5) vs 10.5% for GGB (target: $5). For income investors, CSAN offers the higher dividend yield at 17.86% vs GGB's 2.72%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $5.00 | $5.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 2 | 10 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +17.9% | +2.7% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 2 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $3.70 | $0.64 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +2.0% | +2.5% |
GGB leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). CSAN leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook).
CSAN vs GGB: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is CSAN or GGB a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Cosan S.
A. (CSAN) is the stronger pick with 11. 4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 4. 2% for Gerdau S. A. (GGB). Gerdau S. A. (GGB) offers the better valuation at 34. 1x trailing P/E (1. 9x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Gerdau S. A. (GGB) a "Buy" — based on 10 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — CSAN or GGB?
On forward P/E, Cosan S.
A. is actually cheaper at 1. 4x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — CSAN or GGB?
Over the past 5 years, Gerdau S.
A. (GGB) delivered a total return of +14. 5%, compared to -66. 3% for Cosan S. A. (CSAN). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: GGB returned +331. 7% versus CSAN's -64. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — CSAN or GGB?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Gerdau S.
A. (GGB) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 31β versus Cosan S. A. 's 1. 44β — meaning CSAN is approximately 10% more volatile than GGB relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Gerdau S. A. (GGB) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 29% versus 185% for Cosan S. A. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — CSAN or GGB?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Cosan S.
A. (CSAN) is pulling ahead at 11. 4% versus 4. 2% for Gerdau S. A. (GGB). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Gerdau S. A. grew EPS -68. 3% year-over-year, compared to -998. 3% for Cosan S. A.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CSAN leads at 19. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — CSAN or GGB?
Gerdau S.
A. (GGB) is the more profitable company, earning 2. 0% net margin versus -21. 4% for Cosan S. A. — meaning it keeps 2. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CSAN leads at 21. 1% versus 8. 4% for GGB. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CSAN leads at 31. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is CSAN or GGB more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Cosan S.
A. (CSAN) trades at 1. 4x forward P/E versus 1. 9x for Gerdau S. A. — 0. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CSAN: 19. 5% to $5. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — CSAN or GGB?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Cosan S. A. (CSAN) offers the highest yield at 17. 9%, versus 2. 7% for Gerdau S. A. (GGB).
09Is CSAN or GGB better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Gerdau S.
A. (GGB) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (2. 7% yield, +331. 7% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (GGB: +331. 7%, CSAN: -64. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between CSAN and GGB?
These companies operate in different sectors (CSAN (Energy) and GGB (Basic Materials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: CSAN is a small-cap income-oriented stock; GGB is a small-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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