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GGBGerdau S.A.
$4.38$8.7B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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GGB logo

Gerdau S.A.

GGB
NYSE · Steel & Aluminum
$4.38
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$8.66B
P/E17.5x
52W High$5.48
Volume14.99M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Cyclical Margin Recovery Faces Unproven Structural Durability

Gerdau's 2026Q3 gross margin of 17.9% and net margin of 8.3% signal a meaningful operating recovery from the 10.9% gross margin posted in 2025Q4, yet the earnings series remains volatile, with diluted EPS swinging from -$0.66 to $0.79 across adjacent quarters and suggesting the rebound may be cyclical rather than…

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

GGB price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
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Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

2/12 Beats

EPS beat 2 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

In Line

P/E is in line with peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 59 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 59)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 26
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Gross margin widened from 10.9% in 2025Q4 to 17.9% in 2026Q3 on revenue of roughly $18.7B, but revenue growth has been uneven and EPS has been distorted by volatile quarterly results, so the margin recovery should be viewed as provisional until it persists through a full cycle.

Analyst Consensus+39.3% target
Buy(10 analysts)
7 Buy1 Hold2 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong earnings growth forecast

Gerdau is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 31.3% and 3.9% per annum respectively, with EPS expected to grow by 27.6% per annum.

Attractive valuation metrics

Gerdau trades at a forward P/E of 7 with a 3.14% dividend yield, indicating potential undervaluation relative to earnings.

North American market strength

In Q1 2026, 75% of Gerdau's adjusted EBITDA came from North America, highlighting regional operational strength.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
GGB+18.49%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
GGB+26.90%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
GGB+22.78%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+68.45%
5-Year Return
GGB+71.59%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+56.53%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
17.5x
Forward P/EExpansion
1.5x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
4.9x
FCF YieldCash Flow
8.2%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
17.5x
1.1x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
4.9x
1.4x
100th· High
Price/FCF
12.2x
1.2x
100th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$3.53-19.4%
Base (Fair)$6.85+56.4%
Bull$11.06+152.5%
$3.53 Bear$6.85 Base$11.06 Bull
Current Market Price: $4.38
Trades at a 36.1% discount to Base DCF ($6.85)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$69.86B+4.2% YoY
Net income FY25
$1.39B-69.6% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$1.13B-79.1% YoY
Operating margin FY25
8%-1.5 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)6.5%
Avg ROIC 5Y15.9%
ROE (TTM)5%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate2/12 (17%)
Revenue Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 26, 2026
$0.15-16.7%
vs $0.18
$3.8B+3.3%
vs $3.6B
Q3 2026
Aug 4, 2026
$0.15+0.0%
vs $0.15
$3.4B+0.3%
vs $3.4B
Q2 2026
Apr 27, 2026
$0.10-33.3%
vs $0.15
$3.3B-0.6%
vs $3.4B
Q1 2026
Feb 23, 2026
-$0.12-209.3%
vs $0.11
$3.3B+4.5%
vs $3.2B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Seeking Alpha·Oct 31, 2026
Gerdau Q3: Competitive Advantages Overcome Challenges

Gerdau remains a buy, supported by robust North American operations and diversified geographic exposure. GGB trades at 4.2x EV/EBITDA, with a conservative upside to 5x and a sector average at 7.8x. Healthy cash generation, disciplined investments, and a solid balance sheet underpin my positive outlook.

Seeking Alpha·Oct 27, 2026
Gerdau S.A. (GGB) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Gerdau S.A. ( GGB ) Q3 2026 Earnings Call October 27, 2026 11:00 AM EDT Company Participants Mariana Dutra - General Manager of IR Gustavo Da Cunha - Chief Executive Officer & Director Rafael Japur - Executive VP & Investor Relations Officer Conference Call Participants Leonardo Correa - Banco BTG Pactual S.A.

MarketBeat·Oct 27, 2026
What Gerdau (GGB) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

Gerdau NYSE: GGB reported third-quarter 2026 EBITDA of BRL 3.8 billion and an EBITDA margin of 20.2%, its highest margin since the second quarter of 2023, as strong North American demand and operating performance offset continued pressure in Brazil.

PRNewsWire·Oct 26, 2026
Gerdau S.A. - Consolidated Information

SÃO PAULO, Oct. 26, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- 3Q26 Highlights Adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) reached R$3.8 billion in 3Q26, up 10% from 2Q26, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 20.2%, both marking the highest levels since the second quarter of 2023. North America Segment was once again the key highlight of the quarter, accounting for more than 76% of consolidated EBITDA.

Filtered for Gerdau S.A.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark GGB against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Gerdau S.A. (GGB)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
GGB logoGGBGerdau S.A.Current
$4.38$8.66B17.504.23%3.86%5.04%2.65%
NUE logoNUENucor Corporation
$244.97$55.79B15.445.73%9.26%15.63%0.91%
STLD logoSTLDSteel Dynamics, Inc.
$222.90$32.15B16.343.63%8.82%21.07%0.88%
CLF logoCLFCleveland-Cliffs Inc.
$11.46$6.54B-14.16-3%-2.36%-7.84%—
RS logoRSReliance Steel & Aluminum Co.
$417.00$21.29B19.333.32%6.38%15.05%1.16%
CMC logoCMCCommercial Metals Company
$62.28$6.89B10.5920.46%6.98%14.62%1.21%

Compare GGB vs Peers

Gerdau S.A. (GGB) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs NUE

Most directly comparable listed peer for GGB.

Scale Benchmark

vs CAT

Larger-name benchmark to compare GGB against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs NUE, STLD, CLF, RS

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GGB Frequently Asked Questions

Gerdau S.A. (GGB) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Gerdau S.A.'s revenue?

Gerdau S.A. (GGB) reported $70.25B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $69.86B in fiscal year 2025. That is 2967% more than the $2.28B of fiscal year 1998.

How fast is Gerdau S.A. growing?

Gerdau S.A. (GGB) grew revenue by 0.8% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is GGB profitable?

Yes. Gerdau S.A. (GGB) earned $2.71B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 3.9% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does GGB pay dividends?

Yes. Gerdau S.A. (GGB) pays a dividend that yields 2.65% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is GGB's return on equity?

Gerdau S.A. (GGB) had a return on equity (ROE) of 5.0% over the trailing twelve months. That is below the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Gerdau S.A.'s free cash flow?

Gerdau S.A. (GGB) generated $3.91B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in GGB back in 1998?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 28+ years of data

See returns →