Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
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EPM vs PED
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
EPM vs PED — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production |
| Market Cap | $165M | $68M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $86M | $33M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $3M | $10M |
| Gross Margin | 22.8% | 14.4% |
| Operating Margin | 4.1% | -12.4% |
| Forward P/E | 50.5x | 3.7x |
| Total Debt | $38M | $228K |
| Cash & Equiv. | $3M | $4M |
EPM vs PED — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evolution Petroleum… (EPM) | 100 | 193.0 | +93.0% |
| PEDEVCO Corp. (PED) | 100 | 90.9 | -9.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: EPM vs PED
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
EPM is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 66.1% 10Y total return vs PED's -65.0%
- 10.4% yield; 4-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend
PED carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and sleep-well-at-night.
- Rev growth 28.5%, EPS growth 65.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 35.6%
- Lower volatility, beta -0.82, Low D/E 0.2%, current ratio 1.91x
- Beta -0.82, current ratio 1.91x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 28.5% revenue growth vs EPM's -0.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (3.7x vs 50.5x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 28.8% margin vs EPM's 3.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (0.2% vs 52.3%) | |
| Dividends | 10.4% yield; 4-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +34.2% vs EPM's +26.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 6.9% ROA vs EPM's 1.8%, ROIC 3.5% vs 2.8% |
EPM vs PED — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
EPM vs PED — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
EPM leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
EPM is the larger business by revenue, generating $86M annually — 2.6x PED's $33M. PED is the more profitable business, keeping 28.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to EPM's 3.6%. On growth, EPM holds the edge at +2.0% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $86M | $33M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $26M | $12M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $3M | $10M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $13M | $17M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +22.8% | +14.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +4.1% | -12.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +3.6% | +28.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +15.3% | +51.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +2.0% | -23.1% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +152.2% | -110.7% |
Valuation Metrics
PED leads this category, winning 5 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 3.7x trailing earnings, PED trades at a 97% valuation discount to EPM's 141.9x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, PED's 3.1x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than EPM's 7.6x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $165M | $68M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $200M | $64M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 141.87x | 3.69x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 50.48x | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 7.64x | 3.10x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.92x | 1.72x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.19x | 0.54x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 14.45x | 5.40x |
Profitability & Efficiency
PED leads this category, winning 8 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
PED delivers a 8.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $8 in annual profit, vs $5 for EPM. PED carries lower financial leverage with a 0.00x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to EPM's 0.52x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), PED scores 6/9 vs EPM's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +4.6% | +8.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.8% | +6.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +2.8% | +3.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +2.9% | +4.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.52x | 0.00x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $35M | -$4M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $3M | $4M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $38M | $228,000 |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.40x | -32.41x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
EPM leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in EPM five years ago would be worth $19,194 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,467 for PED. Over the past 12 months, PED leads with a +34.2% total return vs EPM's +26.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors EPM at -1.6% vs PED's -5.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +32.7% | +32.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +26.6% | +34.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -4.8% | -15.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +91.9% | -45.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +66.1% | -65.0% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -1.6% | -5.4% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — EPM and PED each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
PED is the less volatile stock with a -0.82 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than EPM's 0.38 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. EPM currently trades 82.6% from its 52-week high vs PED's 78.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.38x | -0.82x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $5.70 | $18.89 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $3.19 | $0.58 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +82.6% | +78.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 66.3 | 57.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 402K | 47K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates EPM as "Buy" and PED as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 9.3% upside for EPM (target: $5) vs -83.7% for PED (target: $2). EPM is the only dividend payer here at 10.42% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $5.15 | $2.40 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 9 | 2 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +10.4% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 4 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.49 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.3% | 0.0% |
EPM leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). PED leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). 1 tied.
EPM vs PED: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is EPM or PED a better buy right now?
For growth investors, PEDEVCO Corp.
(PED) is the stronger pick with 28. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -0. 0% for Evolution Petroleum Corporation (EPM). PEDEVCO Corp. (PED) offers the better valuation at 3. 7x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Evolution Petroleum Corporation (EPM) a "Buy" — based on 9 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — EPM or PED?
On trailing P/E, PEDEVCO Corp.
(PED) is the cheapest at 3. 7x versus Evolution Petroleum Corporation at 141. 9x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — EPM or PED?
Over the past 5 years, Evolution Petroleum Corporation (EPM) delivered a total return of +91.
9%, compared to -45. 3% for PEDEVCO Corp. (PED). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: EPM returned +69. 4% versus PED's -67. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — EPM or PED?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), PEDEVCO Corp.
(PED) is the lower-risk stock at -0. 82β versus Evolution Petroleum Corporation's 0. 38β — meaning EPM is approximately -146% more volatile than PED relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, PEDEVCO Corp. (PED) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 0% versus 52% for Evolution Petroleum Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — EPM or PED?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), PEDEVCO Corp.
(PED) is pulling ahead at 28. 5% versus -0. 0% for Evolution Petroleum Corporation (EPM). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: PEDEVCO Corp. grew EPS 65. 7% year-over-year, compared to -72. 3% for Evolution Petroleum Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, PED leads at 35. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — EPM or PED?
PEDEVCO Corp.
(PED) is the more profitable company, earning 45. 0% net margin versus 1. 7% for Evolution Petroleum Corporation — meaning it keeps 45. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: PED leads at 11. 9% versus 4. 9% for EPM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — PED leads at 28. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is EPM or PED more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for EPM: 9.
3% to $5. 15.
08Which pays a better dividend — EPM or PED?
In this comparison, EPM (10.
4% yield) pays a dividend. PED does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is EPM or PED better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, PEDEVCO Corp.
(PED) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0. 82)). Both have compounded well over 10 years (PED: -67. 1%, EPM: +69. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between EPM and PED?
Both stocks operate in the Energy sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: EPM is a small-cap income-oriented stock; PED is a small-cap high-growth stock. EPM pays a dividend while PED does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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