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EVLV vs AXON
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Aerospace & Defense
EVLV vs AXON — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Security & Protection Services | Aerospace & Defense |
| Market Cap | $1.25B | $34.40B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $146M | $2.98B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-33M | $206M |
| Gross Margin | 51.6% | 59.3% |
| Operating Margin | -33.2% | 1.3% |
| Forward P/E | — | 55.0x |
| Total Debt | $42M | $1.91B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $49M | $1.20B |
EVLV vs AXON — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Sep 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evolv Technologies … (EVLV) | 100 | 73.2 | -26.8% |
| Axon Enterprise, In… (AXON) | 100 | 470.7 | +370.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: EVLV vs AXON
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
EVLV is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 40.5%, EPS growth 41.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 40.4%
- 40.5% revenue growth vs AXON's 33.5%
- +76.2% vs AXON's -29.1%
AXON carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- beta 1.19
- 22.0% 10Y total return vs EVLV's -26.7%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.19, Low D/E 58.9%, current ratio 2.53x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 40.5% revenue growth vs AXON's 33.5% | |
| Quality / Margins | 6.9% margin vs EVLV's -22.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.19 vs EVLV's 1.23 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +76.2% vs AXON's -29.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 3.1% ROA vs EVLV's -11.6%, ROIC -1.3% vs -30.7% |
EVLV vs AXON — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
EVLV vs AXON — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AXON leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AXON is the larger business by revenue, generating $3.0B annually — 20.4x EVLV's $146M. AXON is the more profitable business, keeping 6.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to EVLV's -22.7%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $146M | $3.0B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$24M | $97M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$33M | $206M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$20M | $20M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +51.6% | +59.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -33.2% | +1.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -22.7% | +6.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -14.0% | +0.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +32.3% | +33.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +158.1% | +89.8% |
Valuation Metrics
EVLV leads this category, winning 3 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.3B | $34.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.2B | $35.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -35.67x | 282.71x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 54.97x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 1664.88x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 8.58x | 12.37x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 10.06x | 13.16x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 458.11x |
Profitability & Efficiency
AXON leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AXON delivers a 6.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $7 in annual profit, vs $-30 for EVLV. EVLV carries lower financial leverage with a 0.35x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AXON's 0.59x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), AXON scores 6/9 vs EVLV's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -30.4% | +6.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -11.6% | +3.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -30.7% | -1.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -25.4% | -1.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.35x | 0.59x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$7M | $709M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $49M | $1.2B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $42M | $1.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -29.58x | 1.18x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AXON leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AXON five years ago would be worth $31,683 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $7,207 for EVLV. Over the past 12 months, EVLV leads with a +76.2% total return vs AXON's -29.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AXON at 24.4% vs EVLV's 21.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +6.5% | -24.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +76.2% | -29.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +78.8% | +92.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -27.9% | +216.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -26.7% | +2200.0% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +21.4% | +24.4% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — EVLV and AXON each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
AXON is the less volatile stock with a 1.19 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than EVLV's 1.23 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. EVLV currently trades 80.1% from its 52-week high vs AXON's 48.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.23x | 1.19x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $8.91 | $885.92 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $4.00 | $339.01 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +80.1% | +48.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 66.0 | 40.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.9M | 1.0M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates EVLV as "Buy" and AXON as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 70.2% upside for AXON (target: $727) vs 40.2% for EVLV (target: $10).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $10.00 | $726.71 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 7 | 21 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
AXON leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). EVLV leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
EVLV vs AXON: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is EVLV or AXON a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc.
(EVLV) is the stronger pick with 40. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 33. 5% for Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON). Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON) offers the better valuation at 282. 7x trailing P/E (55. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. (EVLV) a "Buy" — based on 7 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — EVLV or AXON?
Over the past 5 years, Axon Enterprise, Inc.
(AXON) delivered a total return of +216. 8%, compared to -27. 9% for Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. (EVLV). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AXON returned +22. 0% versus EVLV's -26. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — EVLV or AXON?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Axon Enterprise, Inc.
(AXON) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 19β versus Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. 's 1. 23β — meaning EVLV is approximately 3% more volatile than AXON relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. (EVLV) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 35% versus 59% for Axon Enterprise, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — EVLV or AXON?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc.
(EVLV) is pulling ahead at 40. 5% versus 33. 5% for Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. grew EPS 41. 2% year-over-year, compared to -68. 5% for Axon Enterprise, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, EVLV leads at 40. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — EVLV or AXON?
Axon Enterprise, Inc.
(AXON) is the more profitable company, earning 4. 5% net margin versus -22. 7% for Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 4. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: AXON leads at -2. 2% versus -30. 7% for EVLV. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AXON leads at 59. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is EVLV or AXON more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AXON: 70.
2% to $726. 71.
07Which pays a better dividend — EVLV or AXON?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is EVLV or AXON better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Axon Enterprise, Inc.
(AXON) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 19)). Both have compounded well over 10 years (AXON: +22. 0%, EVLV: -26. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between EVLV and AXON?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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