Real Estate - Development
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4 / 10Stock Comparison
FOR vs WELL vs VTR vs LGIH
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
REIT - Healthcare Facilities
REIT - Healthcare Facilities
Residential Construction
FOR vs WELL vs VTR vs LGIH — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Real Estate - Development | REIT - Healthcare Facilities | REIT - Healthcare Facilities | Residential Construction |
| Market Cap | $1.39B | $149.25B | $41.15B | $1.07B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.71B | $11.63B | $6.13B | $1.67B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $167M | $1.43B | $260M | $71M |
| Gross Margin | 21.3% | 39.1% | -4.3% | 20.3% |
| Operating Margin | 12.3% | 4.4% | 13.4% | 4.7% |
| Forward P/E | 9.2x | 78.4x | 118.0x | 16.6x |
| Total Debt | $817M | $21.38B | $13.22B | $1.66B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $379M | $5.03B | $741M | $61M |
FOR vs WELL vs VTR vs LGIH — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forestar Group Inc. (FOR) | 100 | 179.7 | +79.7% |
| Welltower Inc. (WELL) | 100 | 420.4 | +320.4% |
| Ventas, Inc. (VTR) | 100 | 247.6 | +147.6% |
| LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH) | 100 | 55.5 | -44.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FOR vs WELL vs VTR vs LGIH
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FOR is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if value and efficiency is your priority.
- Lower P/E (9.2x vs 16.6x)
- 5.3% ROA vs VTR's 1.0%, ROIC 7.8% vs 2.5%
WELL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 35.8%, EPS growth -11.5%, 3Y rev CAGR 22.7%
- 223.1% 10Y total return vs FOR's 118.1%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.13, Low D/E 49.5%, current ratio 5.34x
- 35.8% FFO/revenue growth vs LGIH's -22.6%
VTR is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and defensive.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.01, yield 2.1%
- Beta 0.01, yield 2.1%, current ratio 0.96x
- Beta 0.01 vs LGIH's 1.70
LGIH lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 35.8% FFO/revenue growth vs LGIH's -22.6% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (9.2x vs 16.6x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 12.3% margin vs LGIH's 4.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.01 vs LGIH's 1.70 | |
| Dividends | 1.3% yield, 2-year raise streak, vs VTR's 2.1%, (2 stocks pay no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +42.7% vs LGIH's -14.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 5.3% ROA vs VTR's 1.0%, ROIC 7.8% vs 2.5% |
FOR vs WELL vs VTR vs LGIH — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
FOR vs WELL vs VTR vs LGIH — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
WELL leads in 2 of 6 categories
FOR leads 2 • VTR leads 1 • LGIH leads 0 • 1 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
WELL leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
WELL is the larger business by revenue, generating $11.6B annually — 6.9x LGIH's $1.7B. WELL is the more profitable business, keeping 12.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to LGIH's 4.2%. On growth, WELL holds the edge at +40.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.7B | $11.6B | $6.1B | $1.7B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $213M | $2.8B | $2.3B | $82M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $167M | $1.4B | $260M | $71M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $266M | $2.5B | $1.4B | -$69M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +21.3% | +39.1% | -4.3% | +20.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +12.3% | +4.4% | +13.4% | +4.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +9.8% | +12.3% | +4.2% | +4.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +15.5% | +21.9% | +22.4% | -4.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +6.6% | +40.3% | +22.0% | -9.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +1.6% | +22.5% | 0.0% | -47.1% |
Valuation Metrics
FOR leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 8.3x trailing earnings, FOR trades at a 95% valuation discount to VTR's 160.3x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, FOR's 8.6x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than WELL's 66.4x.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.4B | $149.2B | $41.1B | $1.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.8B | $165.6B | $53.6B | $2.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 8.29x | 153.25x | 160.26x | 14.84x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 9.22x | 78.42x | 118.01x | 16.56x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.39x | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 8.59x | 66.40x | 24.31x | 31.71x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.83x | 13.99x | 7.05x | 0.63x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.78x | 3.35x | 3.18x | 0.51x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 52.41x | 31.25x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
FOR leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
FOR delivers a 9.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $9 in annual profit, vs $2 for VTR. FOR carries lower financial leverage with a 0.46x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to VTR's 1.05x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), WELL scores 7/9 vs FOR's 1/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +9.5% | +3.5% | +2.1% | +3.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +5.3% | +2.3% | +1.0% | +1.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +7.8% | +0.5% | +2.5% | +1.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +8.2% | +0.6% | +3.2% | +2.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.46x | 0.49x | 1.05x | 0.79x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $438M | $16.3B | $12.5B | $1.6B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $379M | $5.0B | $741M | $61M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $817M | $21.4B | $13.2B | $1.7B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | 0.26x | 1.40x | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
WELL leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in WELL five years ago would be worth $30,234 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,525 for LGIH. Over the past 12 months, WELL leads with a +42.7% total return vs LGIH's -14.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors WELL at 42.5% vs LGIH's -26.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +12.1% | +14.3% | +12.6% | +11.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +39.4% | +42.7% | +33.9% | -14.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +37.4% | +189.5% | +94.2% | -60.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +8.0% | +202.3% | +74.8% | -74.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +118.1% | +223.1% | +65.0% | +56.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +11.2% | +42.5% | +24.8% | -26.4% |
Risk & Volatility
VTR leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
VTR is the less volatile stock with a 0.01 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than LGIH's 1.70 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. VTR currently trades 97.8% from its 52-week high vs LGIH's 66.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.14x | 0.13x | 0.01x | 1.70x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $30.74 | $219.59 | $88.50 | $69.50 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $18.50 | $142.65 | $61.76 | $33.59 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +88.7% | +97.0% | +97.8% | +66.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 52.5 | 60.2 | 56.2 | 56.3 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 134K | 2.6M | 3.4M | 490K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — WELL and VTR each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: FOR as "Buy", WELL as "Buy", VTR as "Buy", LGIH as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 91.8% upside for LGIH (target: $89) vs 4.1% for FOR (target: $28). For income investors, VTR offers the higher dividend yield at 2.15% vs WELL's 1.30%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $28.38 | $226.50 | $90.80 | $88.80 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 12 | 34 | 32 | 13 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.3% | +2.1% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $2.76 | $1.86 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
WELL leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). FOR leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). 1 tied.
FOR vs WELL vs VTR vs LGIH: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FOR or WELL or VTR or LGIH a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Welltower Inc.
(WELL) is the stronger pick with 35. 8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -22. 6% for LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH). Forestar Group Inc. (FOR) offers the better valuation at 8. 3x trailing P/E (9. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Forestar Group Inc. (FOR) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — FOR or WELL or VTR or LGIH?
On trailing P/E, Forestar Group Inc.
(FOR) is the cheapest at 8. 3x versus Ventas, Inc. at 160. 3x. On forward P/E, Forestar Group Inc. is actually cheaper at 9. 2x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — FOR or WELL or VTR or LGIH?
Over the past 5 years, Welltower Inc.
(WELL) delivered a total return of +202. 3%, compared to -74. 8% for LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: WELL returned +223. 1% versus LGIH's +56. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — FOR or WELL or VTR or LGIH?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Ventas, Inc.
(VTR) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 01β versus LGI Homes, Inc. 's 1. 70β — meaning LGIH is approximately 17747% more volatile than VTR relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Forestar Group Inc. (FOR) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 46% versus 105% for Ventas, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — FOR or WELL or VTR or LGIH?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Welltower Inc.
(WELL) is pulling ahead at 35. 8% versus -22. 6% for LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Ventas, Inc. grew EPS 184. 2% year-over-year, compared to -62. 4% for LGI Homes, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, WELL leads at 22. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — FOR or WELL or VTR or LGIH?
Forestar Group Inc.
(FOR) is the more profitable company, earning 10. 1% net margin versus 4. 3% for LGI Homes, Inc. — meaning it keeps 10. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: VTR leads at 14. 2% versus 3. 3% for WELL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — WELL leads at 39. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is FOR or WELL or VTR or LGIH more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Forestar Group Inc.
(FOR) trades at 9. 2x forward P/E versus 118. 0x for Ventas, Inc. — 108. 8x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for LGIH: 91. 8% to $88. 80.
08Which pays a better dividend — FOR or WELL or VTR or LGIH?
In this comparison, VTR (2.
1% yield), WELL (1. 3% yield) pay a dividend. FOR, LGIH do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is FOR or WELL or VTR or LGIH better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Ventas, Inc.
(VTR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 01), 2. 1% yield). LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH) carries a higher beta of 1. 70 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (VTR: +65. 0%, LGIH: +56. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between FOR and WELL and VTR and LGIH?
These companies operate in different sectors (FOR (Real Estate) and WELL (Real Estate) and VTR (Real Estate) and LGIH (Consumer Cyclical)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: FOR is a small-cap deep-value stock; WELL is a mid-cap high-growth stock; VTR is a mid-cap high-growth stock; LGIH is a small-cap deep-value stock. WELL, VTR pay a dividend while FOR, LGIH do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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