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FOSL vs GIII
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Apparel - Manufacturers
FOSL vs GIII — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Luxury Goods | Apparel - Manufacturers |
| Market Cap | $262M | $1.32B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.00B | $2.96B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-78M | $67M |
| Gross Margin | 56.1% | 38.7% |
| Operating Margin | 2.3% | 5.3% |
| Forward P/E | — | 10.8x |
| Total Debt | $282M | $12M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $96M | $407M |
FOSL vs GIII — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) | 100 | 147.2 | +47.2% |
| G-III Apparel Group… (GIII) | 100 | 303.0 | +203.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FOSL vs GIII
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FOSL is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 2.46
- +259.2% vs GIII's +21.0%
GIII carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth -7.0%, EPS growth -64.0%, 3Y rev CAGR -2.9%
- -27.0% 10Y total return vs FOSL's -88.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.08, Low D/E 0.7%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -7.0% revenue growth vs FOSL's -12.3% | |
| Quality / Margins | 2.3% margin vs FOSL's -7.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.08 vs FOSL's 2.46, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +259.2% vs GIII's +21.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 2.6% ROA vs FOSL's -13.5%, ROIC 7.5% vs 5.7% |
FOSL vs GIII — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
FOSL vs GIII — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GIII leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GIII is the larger business by revenue, generating $3.0B annually — 2.9x FOSL's $1.0B. GIII is the more profitable business, keeping 2.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to FOSL's -7.8%. On growth, GIII holds the edge at -8.1% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.0B | $3.0B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $26M | $186M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$78M | $67M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$60M | $44M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +56.1% | +38.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +2.3% | +5.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -7.8% | +2.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -6.0% | +1.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -18.0% | -8.1% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +6.3% | -169.7% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — FOSL and GIII each lead in 2 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, GIII's 5.0x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than FOSL's 12.5x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $262M | $1.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $448M | $926M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -3.10x | 20.73x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 10.79x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.80x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 12.46x | 4.99x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.26x | 0.45x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.80x | 0.79x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
GIII leads this category, winning 8 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
GIII delivers a 3.9% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $4 in annual profit, vs $-71 for FOSL. GIII carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to FOSL's 3.25x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), FOSL scores 4/9 vs GIII's 3/9, reflecting mixed financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -71.0% | +3.9% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -13.5% | +2.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.7% | +7.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.6% | +6.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 3.25x | 0.01x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $186M | -$395M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $96M | $407M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $282M | $12M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.11x | 275.62x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
GIII leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in GIII five years ago would be worth $9,133 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,665 for FOSL. Over the past 12 months, FOSL leads with a +259.2% total return vs GIII's +21.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors GIII at 24.8% vs FOSL's 12.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +17.5% | +6.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +259.2% | +21.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +42.5% | +94.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -63.3% | -8.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -88.6% | -27.0% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +12.5% | +24.8% |
Risk & Volatility
GIII leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
GIII is the less volatile stock with a 1.08 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FOSL's 2.46 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. GIII currently trades 89.9% from its 52-week high vs FOSL's 78.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.46x | 1.08x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $5.75 | $34.83 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $1.15 | $20.33 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +78.2% | +89.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 42.4 | 62.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 730K | 522K |
Analyst Outlook
FOSL leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates FOSL as "Hold" and GIII as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 55.9% upside for FOSL (target: $7) vs 7.8% for GIII (target: $34).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $7.00 | $33.75 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 36 | 29 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
GIII leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). FOSL leads in 1 (Analyst Outlook). 1 tied.
FOSL vs GIII: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FOSL or GIII a better buy right now?
For growth investors, G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.
(GIII) is the stronger pick with -7. 0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -12. 3% for Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL). G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. (GIII) offers the better valuation at 20. 7x trailing P/E (10. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. (GIII) a "Buy" — based on 29 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — FOSL or GIII?
Over the past 5 years, G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.
(GIII) delivered a total return of -8. 7%, compared to -63. 3% for Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: GIII returned -27. 0% versus FOSL's -88. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — FOSL or GIII?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.
(GIII) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 08β versus Fossil Group, Inc. 's 2. 46β — meaning FOSL is approximately 128% more volatile than GIII relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. (GIII) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 3% for Fossil Group, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — FOSL or GIII?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.
(GIII) is pulling ahead at -7. 0% versus -12. 3% for Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Fossil Group, Inc. grew EPS 25. 3% year-over-year, compared to -64. 0% for G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.. Over a 3-year CAGR, GIII leads at -2. 9% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — FOSL or GIII?
G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.
(GIII) is the more profitable company, earning 2. 3% net margin versus -7. 8% for Fossil Group, Inc. — meaning it keeps 2. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: GIII leads at 5. 3% versus 2. 3% for FOSL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — FOSL leads at 56. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is FOSL or GIII more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for FOSL: 55.
9% to $7. 00.
07Which pays a better dividend — FOSL or GIII?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is FOSL or GIII better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.
(GIII) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 08)). Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) carries a higher beta of 2. 46 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (GIII: -27. 0%, FOSL: -88. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between FOSL and GIII?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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