Integrated Freight & Logistics
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FWRD vs FDX
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Integrated Freight & Logistics
FWRD vs FDX — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Integrated Freight & Logistics |
| Market Cap | $547M | $88.39B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.46B | $91.93B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-91M | $4.48B |
| Gross Margin | 23.1% | 24.4% |
| Operating Margin | 2.1% | 6.5% |
| Forward P/E | — | 19.0x |
| Total Debt | $2.16B | $37.42B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $106M | $5.50B |
FWRD vs FDX — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward Air Corpora… (FWRD) | 100 | 34.9 | -65.1% |
| FedEx Corporation (FDX) | 100 | 287.9 | +187.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FWRD vs FDX
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FWRD is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 8 yrs, beta 2.28
- Rev growth 0.8%, EPS growth 88.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 14.1%
- 0.8% revenue growth vs FDX's 0.3%
FDX carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 153.4% 10Y total return vs FWRD's -47.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.03, current ratio 1.19x
- Beta 1.03, yield 1.5%, current ratio 1.19x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 0.8% revenue growth vs FDX's 0.3% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 4.9% margin vs FWRD's -3.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.03 vs FWRD's 2.28, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.5% yield; 4-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +77.1% vs FWRD's +0.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 5.0% ROA vs FWRD's -3.3%, ROIC 7.7% vs 1.2% |
FWRD vs FDX — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
FWRD vs FDX — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FDX leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FDX is the larger business by revenue, generating $91.9B annually — 37.3x FWRD's $2.5B. FDX is the more profitable business, keeping 4.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to FWRD's -3.7%. On growth, FDX holds the edge at +8.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.5B | $91.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $206M | $10.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$91M | $4.5B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $38M | $4.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +23.1% | +24.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +2.1% | +6.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -3.7% | +4.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +1.6% | +4.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -5.1% | +8.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +35.1% | +15.7% |
Valuation Metrics
FDX leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, FDX's 11.6x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than FWRD's 13.8x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $547M | $88.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $2.6B | $120.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -4.98x | 22.36x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 19.01x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.80x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 13.75x | 11.63x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.22x | 1.01x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.32x | 3.25x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 35.82x | 29.65x |
Profitability & Efficiency
FDX leads this category, winning 6 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
FDX delivers a 15.8% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $16 in annual profit, vs $-53 for FWRD. FDX carries lower financial leverage with a 1.33x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to FWRD's 13.36x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -52.6% | +15.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -3.3% | +5.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +1.2% | +7.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +1.5% | +8.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 13.36x | 1.33x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.1B | $31.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $106M | $5.5B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.2B | $37.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.32x | 16.50x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
FDX leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in FDX five years ago would be worth $12,707 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,978 for FWRD. Over the past 12 months, FDX leads with a +77.1% total return vs FWRD's +0.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors FDX at 19.4% vs FWRD's -42.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -31.0% | +28.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +0.6% | +77.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -81.3% | +70.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -80.2% | +27.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -47.3% | +153.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -42.8% | +19.4% |
Risk & Volatility
FDX leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
FDX is the less volatile stock with a 1.03 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FWRD's 2.28 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. FDX currently trades 93.0% from its 52-week high vs FWRD's 53.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.28x | 1.03x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $32.47 | $404.03 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $14.81 | $213.56 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +53.4% | +93.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 42.4 | 50.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 733K | 1.8M |
Analyst Outlook
FWRD leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates FWRD as "Hold" and FDX as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 113.5% upside for FWRD (target: $37) vs -3.1% for FDX (target: $364). FDX is the only dividend payer here at 1.47% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $37.00 | $364.19 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 21 | 49 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 8 | 4 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $5.51 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.2% | +3.4% |
FDX leads in 5 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). FWRD leads in 1 (Analyst Outlook).
FWRD vs FDX: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FWRD or FDX a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) is the stronger pick with 0.
8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 0. 3% for FedEx Corporation (FDX). FedEx Corporation (FDX) offers the better valuation at 22. 4x trailing P/E (19. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate FedEx Corporation (FDX) a "Buy" — based on 49 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — FWRD or FDX?
Over the past 5 years, FedEx Corporation (FDX) delivered a total return of +27.
1%, compared to -80. 2% for Forward Air Corporation (FWRD). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: FDX returned +153. 4% versus FWRD's -47. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — FWRD or FDX?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), FedEx Corporation (FDX) is the lower-risk stock at 1.
03β versus Forward Air Corporation's 2. 28β — meaning FWRD is approximately 123% more volatile than FDX relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, FedEx Corporation (FDX) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 133% versus 13% for Forward Air Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — FWRD or FDX?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) is pulling ahead at 0.
8% versus 0. 3% for FedEx Corporation (FDX). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Forward Air Corporation grew EPS 88. 3% year-over-year, compared to -2. 3% for FedEx Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, FWRD leads at 14. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — FWRD or FDX?
FedEx Corporation (FDX) is the more profitable company, earning 4.
7% net margin versus -4. 3% for Forward Air Corporation — meaning it keeps 4. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: FDX leads at 6. 9% versus 1. 5% for FWRD. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — FDX leads at 21. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is FWRD or FDX more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for FWRD: 113.
5% to $37. 00.
07Which pays a better dividend — FWRD or FDX?
In this comparison, FDX (1.
5% yield) pays a dividend. FWRD does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is FWRD or FDX better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, FedEx Corporation (FDX) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1.
03), 1. 5% yield, +153. 4% 10Y return). Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) carries a higher beta of 2. 28 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (FDX: +153. 4%, FWRD: -47. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between FWRD and FDX?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
FDX pays a dividend while FWRD does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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