GEO vs ABM

For growth investors, The GEO Group, Inc.

(GEO) is the stronger pick with 8. 6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 4. 6% for ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM). The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) offers the better valuation at 11. 7x trailing P/E (18. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.

On trailing P/E, The GEO Group, Inc.

(GEO) is the cheapest at 11. 7x versus ABM Industries Incorporated at 15. 7x. On forward P/E, ABM Industries Incorporated is actually cheaper at 10. 3x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: ABM Industries Incorporated wins at 0. 04x versus The GEO Group, Inc. 's 1. 31x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.

Over the past 5 years, The GEO Group, Inc.

(GEO) delivered a total return of +269. 6%, compared to -14. 1% for ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ABM returned +48. 7% versus GEO's +36. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.

By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM) is the lower-risk stock at 0.

72β versus The GEO Group, Inc. 's 1. 01β — meaning GEO is approximately 40% more volatile than ABM relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 95% versus 115% for The GEO Group, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.

By revenue growth (latest reported year), The GEO Group, Inc.

(GEO) is pulling ahead at 8. 6% versus 4. 6% for ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: The GEO Group, Inc. grew EPS 727. 3% year-over-year, compared to 102. 3% for ABM Industries Incorporated. Over a 3-year CAGR, ABM leads at 3. 9% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.

The GEO Group, Inc.

(GEO) is the more profitable company, earning 9. 7% net margin versus 1. 9% for ABM Industries Incorporated — meaning it keeps 9. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: GEO leads at 9. 8% versus 3. 7% for ABM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — GEO leads at 25. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.

The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.

By this metric, ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 04x versus The GEO Group, Inc. 's 1. 31x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM) trades at 10. 3x forward P/E versus 18. 5x for The GEO Group, Inc. — 8. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for ABM: 22. 7% to $50. 00.

In this comparison, ABM (2.

6% yield) pays a dividend. GEO does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.

For long-horizon retirement investors, ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.

72), 2. 6% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (ABM: +48. 7%, GEO: +36. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.

Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.

ABM pays a dividend while GEO does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.