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GEOThe GEO Group, Inc.
$30.62$4.1B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
GEO logo

The GEO Group, Inc.

GEO
NYSE · Security Services
$30.62
At close - Sep 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$4.09B
P/E16.8x
52W High$33.15
Volume2.34M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Accelerating Revenue Growth Masks ISAP Concentration Risk

GEO is experiencing accelerating revenue growth, with 2026Q2 revenue up 15.1% year-over-year to $732.1M, driven by policy tailwinds and positive operating leverage as operating income grew 41.3%. However, the company's reliance on the ISAP contract and elevate...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsMixed
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

GEO price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

5/12 Beats

EPS beat 5 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-8% Peers

P/E is 8% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 93 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 93% of market)

04

Mixed Trend

Mixed

Price < 50DMA but > 200DMA

Next CatalystConfirmed earnings · Nov 5

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
GEO+92.22%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.39%
1-Year Return
GEO+43.82%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.77%
3-Year Return
GEO+306.64%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+86.10%
5-Year Return
GEO+330.66%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+77.58%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
16.8x
Forward P/E
24.2x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
14.8x
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
16.8x
13.4x
80th· High
EV/EBITDA
14.8x
8.2x
100th· High
Price/FCF
N/A
6.5x
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$13.07-57.3%
Base (Fair)$31.23-1.7%
Bull$47.70+55.8%
$13.07 Bear$31.23 Base$47.70 Bull
Current Market Price: $30.62
Trades at a 2.0% discount to Base DCF ($31.23)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$2.63B+8.6% YoY
Net income
$254M+695.8% YoY
Free cash flow
-$125M-176.4% YoY
Operating margin
9.8%-3.0 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)6.2%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)17.9%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate5/12 (42%)
Revenue Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 6, 2026
$0.37+28.7%
vs $0.29
$732M+1.5%
vs $721M
Q2 2026
May 6, 2026
$0.29+52.6%
vs $0.19
$705M+2.4%
vs $689M
Q1 2026
Feb 12, 2026
$0.25+0.0%
vs $0.25
$708M+6.1%
vs $667M
Q4 2025
Nov 6, 2025
$0.25+13.6%
vs $0.22
$682M+2.3%
vs $667M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Defense World·2d ago
Financial Review: Safe and Green Development (NASDAQ:RENX) versus Geo Group (NYSE:GEO)

Geo Group (NYSE: GEO - Get Free Report) and Safe and Green Development (NASDAQ: RENX - Get Free Report) are both industrials companies, but which is the superior stock? We will contrast the two companies based on the strength of their analyst recommendations, profitability, valuation, risk, earnings, institutional ownership and dividends. Insider and Institutional Ownership 76.1% of

GuruFocus·Sep 11, 2026
Eutelsat and Grupo W Com Expand Long-Term Partnership to Advance Next-Gen Television Services in Mexico

Eutelsat (ISIN: FR0010221234 - Euronext Paris / London Stock Exchange: ETL) today announced the extension and expansion of its long-standing partnership with St

Zacks Investment Research·Sep 9, 2026
Geo Group (GEO) Is a Great Choice for 'Trend' Investors, Here's Why

Geo Group (GEO) could be a great choice for investors looking to make a profit from fundamentally strong stocks that are currently on the move. It is one of the several stocks that made it through our "Recent Price Strength" screen.

Zacks Investment Research·Sep 2, 2026
Best Momentum Stocks to Buy for September 2nd

OSCR, LQDT and GEO made it to the Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) momentum stocks list on September 2, 2026.

Filtered for The GEO Group, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark GEO against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
GEO logoGEOThe GEO Group, Inc.Current
$30.62$4.09B16.828.58%9.67%17.93%—
CXW logoCXWCoreCivic, Inc.
$32.28$3.19B29.8912.72%5.15%8.96%—
ACHC logoACHCAcadia Healthcare Company, Inc.
$28.51$2.65B-2.345.04%-33.44%-46.01%—
UHS logoUHSUniversal Health Services, Inc.
$181.39$10.98B7.859.71%8.42%20.37%—
G logoGGenpact Limited
$33.85$5.74B10.816.56%11.1%22.91%—
ABM logoABMABM Industries Incorporated
$49.69$2.91B19.194.62%1.82%9.44%—

Compare GEO vs Peers

The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs CXW

Most directly comparable listed peer for GEO.

Scale Benchmark

vs CTAS

Larger-name benchmark to compare GEO against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs CXW, ACHC, UHS, G

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

GEO SEC Filings & Documents

The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 6, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 6, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 4, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 25, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 28, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 7, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 6, 2025·SEC

Get notified when GEO posts new earnings or crosses analyst targets

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GEO Frequently Asked Questions

The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is The GEO Group, Inc.'s revenue?

The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) reported $2.83B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 1952% increase from $137.8M in 1996.

How fast is The GEO Group, Inc. growing?

The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) grew revenue by 8.6% over the past year. This is steady growth.

Is GEO profitable?

Yes, The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) is profitable, generating $291.5M in net income for fiscal year 2025 (9.7% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is GEO's return on equity?

The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) has a return on equity (ROE) of 17.9%. This is reasonable for most industries.

What is The GEO Group, Inc.'s free cash flow?

The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) generated $161.2M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in GEO back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →