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GEO
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GEOThe GEO Group, Inc.
$27.80$3.7B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
GEO logo

The GEO Group, Inc.

GEO
NYSE · Security & Safety
$27.80
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$3.71B
P/E22.0x
52W High$33.17
Volume5.21M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Accelerating Revenue Growth Masks ISAP Concentration Risk

GEO is experiencing accelerating revenue growth, with 2026Q2 revenue up 15.1% year-over-year to $732.1M, driven by policy tailwinds and positive operating leverage as operating income grew 41.3%.

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsMixed
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

GEO price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

6/12 Beats

EPS beat 6 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+49% Peers

P/E is 49% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 88 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 88% of market)

04

Mixed Trend

Mixed

Price < 50DMA but > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Feb 5

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
GEO+74.51%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
GEO+80.40%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
GEO+210.61%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+89.80%
5-Year Return
GEO+194.49%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+75.10%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
22.0x
Forward P/EExpansion
20.6x
EV/EBITDA80th %ile
10.5x
FCF YieldCash Flow
5.8%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
22.0x
13.4x
80th· High
EV/EBITDA
10.5x
8.2x
80th· High
Price/FCF
17.1x
6.5x
75th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$14.12-49.2%
Base (Fair)$32.71+17.7%
Bull$50.60+82.0%
$14.12 Bear$32.71 Base$50.60 Bull
Current Market Price: $27.80
Trades at a 15.0% discount to Base DCF ($32.71)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$2.63B+8.6% YoY
Net income FY25
$254M+695.8% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
-$125M-176.4% YoY
Operating margin FY25
9.8%-3.0 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)6.2%
Avg ROIC 5Y7.4%
ROE (TTM)11%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
Revenue Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Nov 5, 2026
$0.39+12.5%
vs $0.35
$761M-1.3%
vs $771M
Q3 2026
Aug 6, 2026
$0.37+28.7%
vs $0.29
$732M+1.5%
vs $721M
Q2 2026
May 6, 2026
$0.29+52.6%
vs $0.19
$705M+2.4%
vs $689M
Q1 2026
Feb 12, 2026
$0.25+0.0%
vs $0.25
$708M+6.1%
vs $667M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
MarketBeat·1d ago
What Geo Group (GEO) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

Geo Group NYSE: GEO reported record third-quarter revenue and adjusted EBITDA, boosted by immigration detention contracts and increased transportation services, and raised its 2026 earnings outlook.

Seeking Alpha·2d ago
The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

The GEO Group, Inc. ( GEO ) Q3 2026 Earnings Call November 5, 2026 1:00 PM EST Company Participants Pablo Paez - Executive Vice President of Corporate Relations George Zoley - Founder, Chairman & CEO Shayn March - Senior VP & CFO Conference Call Participants Joseph Gomes - NOBLE Capital Markets, Inc., Research Division Gregory Gibas - Northland Capital Markets, Research Division Brendan Michael McCarthy - Sidoti & Company, LLC Presentation Operator Good day, and welcome to the GEO Group Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note this event is being recorded.

Zacks Investment Research·2d ago
4 Stocks With Solid Net Profit Margins to Maximize Portfolio Returns

Here we present four stocks, VNCE, ASX, OBT and GEO, with solid net profit margins that can contribute to making a strong portfolio.

Zacks Investment Research·2d ago
Geo Group (GEO) Surpasses Q3 Earnings Estimates

Geo Group (GEO) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.39 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.35 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.25 per share a year ago.

Filtered for The GEO Group, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark GEO against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
GEO logoGEOThe GEO Group, Inc.Current
$27.80$3.71B22.008.58%5.74%10.97%—
CXW logoCXWCoreCivic, Inc.
$28.67$2.84B1.8412.72%54.6%88.73%0%
ACHC logoACHCAcadia Healthcare Company, Inc.
$37.00$3.44B-3.015.04%-33.07%-51.55%—
UHS logoUHSUniversal Health Services, Inc.
$195.50$11.83B7.919.71%7.96%19.27%0.41%
G logoGGenpact Limited
$42.27$7.17B12.186.56%11.01%22.77%1.58%
ABM logoABMABM Industries Incorporated
$52.90$3.1B18.854.62%1.82%9.44%1.98%

Compare GEO vs Peers

The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs CXW

Most directly comparable listed peer for GEO.

Scale Benchmark

vs CTAS

Larger-name benchmark to compare GEO against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs CXW, ACHC, UHS, G

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

GEO SEC Filings & Documents

The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 6, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 6, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 4, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 25, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 28, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 7, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 6, 2025·SEC

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GEO Frequently Asked Questions

The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is The GEO Group, Inc.'s revenue?

The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) reported $2.91B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $2.63B in fiscal year 2025. That is 1810% more than the $137.8M of fiscal year 1996.

How fast is The GEO Group, Inc. growing?

The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) grew revenue by 14.8% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is GEO profitable?

Yes. The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) earned $166.8M in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 5.7% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is GEO's return on equity?

The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) had a return on equity (ROE) of 11.0% over the trailing twelve months. That is in line with the market's typical 10-15%.

What is The GEO Group, Inc.'s free cash flow?

The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) generated $217.2M in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in GEO back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →