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GEO vs CTAS vs ARMK vs ABM
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Specialty Business Services
Specialty Business Services
Specialty Business Services
GEO vs CTAS vs ARMK vs ABM — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Security & Protection Services | Specialty Business Services | Specialty Business Services | Specialty Business Services |
| Market Cap | $2.82B | $68.52B | $11.84B | $2.39B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.73B | $10.79B | $18.79B | $8.87B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $273M | $1.90B | $317M | $158M |
| Gross Margin | 40.4% | 50.2% | 7.0% | 11.5% |
| Operating Margin | 10.5% | 23.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% |
| Forward P/E | 18.5x | 34.8x | 20.3x | 10.3x |
| Total Debt | $1.73B | $2.65B | $5.72B | $1.69B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $69M | $264M | $639M | $104M |
GEO vs CTAS vs ARMK vs ABM — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) | 100 | 177.1 | +77.1% |
| Cintas Corporation (CTAS) | 100 | 274.3 | +174.3% |
| Aramark (ARMK) | 100 | 241.1 | +141.1% |
| ABM Industries Inco… (ABM) | 100 | 132.6 | +32.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GEO vs CTAS vs ARMK vs ABM
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
GEO is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 8.6%, EPS growth 7.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 3.5%
- 8.6% revenue growth vs ABM's 4.6%
CTAS carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 6.9% 10Y total return vs ARMK's 97.1%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.51, Low D/E 56.7%, current ratio 2.09x
- Beta 0.51, yield 0.9%, current ratio 2.09x
- 17.6% margin vs ARMK's 1.7%
ARMK is the clearest fit if your priority is momentum.
- +19.0% vs GEO's -22.3%
ABM is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and valuation efficiency is your priority.
- Dividend streak 36 yrs, beta 0.72, yield 2.6%
- PEG 0.04 vs CTAS's 2.08
- Lower P/E (10.3x vs 20.3x)
- 2.6% yield, 36-year raise streak, vs CTAS's 0.9%, (1 stock pays no dividend)
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 8.6% revenue growth vs ABM's 4.6% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (10.3x vs 20.3x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 17.6% margin vs ARMK's 1.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.51 vs GEO's 1.01, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 2.6% yield, 36-year raise streak, vs CTAS's 0.9%, (1 stock pays no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +19.0% vs GEO's -22.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 18.7% ROA vs ARMK's 2.4%, ROIC 25.8% vs 7.3% |
GEO vs CTAS vs ARMK vs ABM — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
GEO vs CTAS vs ARMK vs ABM — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
CTAS leads in 2 of 6 categories
ABM leads 2 • GEO leads 1 • ARMK leads 0 • 1 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CTAS leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ARMK is the larger business by revenue, generating $18.8B annually — 6.9x GEO's $2.7B. CTAS is the more profitable business, keeping 17.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to ARMK's 1.7%. On growth, GEO holds the edge at +16.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.7B | $10.8B | $18.8B | $8.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $418M | $2.9B | $1.3B | $431M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $273M | $1.9B | $317M | $158M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$31M | $1.8B | $257M | $327M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +40.4% | +50.2% | +7.0% | +11.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +10.5% | +23.0% | +4.2% | +3.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +10.0% | +17.6% | +1.7% | +1.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -1.1% | +16.5% | +1.4% | +3.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +16.6% | +9.3% | +6.1% | +6.1% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +107.1% | +11.0% | -7.7% | -7.2% |
Valuation Metrics
ABM leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 11.7x trailing earnings, GEO trades at a 70% valuation discount to CTAS's 38.6x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), ABM offers better value at 0.05x vs CTAS's 2.31x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.8B | $68.5B | $11.8B | $2.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $4.5B | $70.9B | $16.9B | $4.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 11.66x | 38.65x | 36.93x | 15.74x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 18.55x | 34.75x | 20.26x | 10.30x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.83x | 2.31x | — | 0.05x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 11.52x | 24.85x | 13.35x | 9.23x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.07x | 6.63x | 0.64x | 0.27x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.97x | 14.89x | 3.81x | 1.43x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 39.00x | 26.06x | 15.40x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CTAS leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CTAS delivers a 42.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $43 in annual profit, vs $9 for ABM. CTAS carries lower financial leverage with a 0.57x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ARMK's 1.81x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CTAS scores 9/9 vs ABM's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +18.5% | +42.6% | +9.8% | +8.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +7.2% | +18.7% | +2.4% | +3.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.2% | +25.8% | +7.3% | +7.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +7.6% | +29.8% | +8.7% | +8.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.15x | 0.57x | 1.81x | 0.95x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.7B | $2.4B | $5.1B | $1.6B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $69M | $264M | $639M | $104M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.7B | $2.7B | $5.7B | $1.7B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.12x | 24.61x | 2.20x | 3.25x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
GEO leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in GEO five years ago would be worth $36,962 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $8,586 for ABM. Over the past 12 months, ARMK leads with a +19.0% total return vs GEO's -22.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors GEO at 37.0% vs ABM's 1.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +33.2% | -7.8% | +23.5% | -3.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -22.3% | -20.1% | +19.0% | -16.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +157.2% | +51.7% | +87.4% | +3.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +269.6% | +95.8% | +70.5% | -14.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +36.1% | +685.0% | +97.1% | +48.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +37.0% | +14.9% | +23.3% | +1.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — CTAS and ARMK each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CTAS is the less volatile stock with a 0.51 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than GEO's 1.01 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ARMK currently trades 96.1% from its 52-week high vs GEO's 70.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.01x | 0.51x | 0.71x | 0.72x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $30.25 | $229.24 | $46.88 | $52.94 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $12.51 | $165.46 | $35.07 | $36.96 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +70.1% | +74.2% | +96.1% | +77.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 76.9 | 37.7 | 62.0 | 54.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.1M | 2.2M | 2.2M | 512K |
Analyst Outlook
ABM leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: GEO as "Buy", CTAS as "Hold", ARMK as "Buy", ABM as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 31.4% upside for CTAS (target: $223) vs 4.7% for ARMK (target: $47). For income investors, ABM offers the higher dividend yield at 2.57% vs CTAS's 0.88%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $24.50 | $223.40 | $47.20 | $50.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 12 | 30 | 24 | 11 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.9% | +0.9% | +2.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 3 | 1 | 36 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $1.49 | $0.41 | $1.05 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +3.2% | +1.4% | +1.2% | +5.1% |
CTAS leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). ABM leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook). 1 tied.
GEO vs CTAS vs ARMK vs ABM: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GEO or CTAS or ARMK or ABM a better buy right now?
For growth investors, The GEO Group, Inc.
(GEO) is the stronger pick with 8. 6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 4. 6% for ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM). The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) offers the better valuation at 11. 7x trailing P/E (18. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — GEO or CTAS or ARMK or ABM?
On trailing P/E, The GEO Group, Inc.
(GEO) is the cheapest at 11. 7x versus Cintas Corporation at 38. 6x. On forward P/E, ABM Industries Incorporated is actually cheaper at 10. 3x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: ABM Industries Incorporated wins at 0. 04x versus Cintas Corporation's 2. 08x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — GEO or CTAS or ARMK or ABM?
Over the past 5 years, The GEO Group, Inc.
(GEO) delivered a total return of +269. 6%, compared to -14. 1% for ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CTAS returned +685. 0% versus GEO's +36. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — GEO or CTAS or ARMK or ABM?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Cintas Corporation (CTAS) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
51β versus The GEO Group, Inc. 's 1. 01β — meaning GEO is approximately 99% more volatile than CTAS relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Cintas Corporation (CTAS) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 57% versus 181% for Aramark — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — GEO or CTAS or ARMK or ABM?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), The GEO Group, Inc.
(GEO) is pulling ahead at 8. 6% versus 4. 6% for ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: The GEO Group, Inc. grew EPS 727. 3% year-over-year, compared to 16. 1% for Cintas Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, ARMK leads at 10. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — GEO or CTAS or ARMK or ABM?
Cintas Corporation (CTAS) is the more profitable company, earning 17.
5% net margin versus 1. 8% for Aramark — meaning it keeps 17. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CTAS leads at 22. 8% versus 3. 7% for ABM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CTAS leads at 50. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is GEO or CTAS or ARMK or ABM more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 04x versus Cintas Corporation's 2. 08x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM) trades at 10. 3x forward P/E versus 34. 8x for Cintas Corporation — 24. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CTAS: 31. 4% to $223. 40.
08Which pays a better dividend — GEO or CTAS or ARMK or ABM?
In this comparison, ABM (2.
6% yield), ARMK (0. 9% yield), CTAS (0. 9% yield) pay a dividend. GEO does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is GEO or CTAS or ARMK or ABM better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Cintas Corporation (CTAS) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
51), 0. 9% yield, +685. 0% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (CTAS: +685. 0%, GEO: +36. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between GEO and CTAS and ARMK and ABM?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: GEO is a small-cap deep-value stock; CTAS is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; ARMK is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; ABM is a small-cap deep-value stock. CTAS, ARMK, ABM pay a dividend while GEO does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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