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GEO vs UHS
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Medical - Care Facilities
GEO vs UHS — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Security & Protection Services | Medical - Care Facilities |
| Market Cap | $2.82B | $10.68B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.73B | $17.76B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $273M | $1.52B |
| Gross Margin | 40.4% | 67.6% |
| Operating Margin | 10.5% | 11.5% |
| Forward P/E | 18.5x | 7.3x |
| Total Debt | $1.73B | $5.51B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $69M | $138M |
GEO vs UHS — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) | 100 | 177.1 | +77.1% |
| Universal Health Se… (UHS) | 100 | 161.7 | +61.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GEO vs UHS
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
GEO is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 36.1% 10Y total return vs UHS's 30.8%
- 10.0% margin vs UHS's 8.6%
UHS carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.60, yield 0.5%
- Rev growth 9.7%, EPS growth 37.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 9.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.60, Low D/E 74.3%, current ratio 1.05x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 9.7% revenue growth vs GEO's 8.6% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (7.3x vs 18.5x), PEG 0.46 vs 1.31 | |
| Quality / Margins | 10.0% margin vs UHS's 8.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.60 vs GEO's 1.01, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 0.5% yield; 1-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -8.2% vs GEO's -22.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 9.8% ROA vs GEO's 7.2%, ROIC 12.3% vs 6.2% |
GEO vs UHS — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
GEO vs UHS — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — GEO and UHS each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
UHS is the larger business by revenue, generating $17.8B annually — 6.5x GEO's $2.7B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 10.0% (GEO) to 8.6% (UHS). On growth, GEO holds the edge at +16.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.7B | $17.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $418M | $2.7B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $273M | $1.5B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$31M | $894M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +40.4% | +67.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +10.5% | +11.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +10.0% | +8.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -1.1% | +5.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +16.6% | +9.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +107.1% | +17.7% |
Valuation Metrics
UHS leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 7.4x trailing earnings, UHS trades at a 37% valuation discount to GEO's 11.7x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), UHS offers better value at 0.46x vs GEO's 0.83x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.8B | $10.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $4.5B | $16.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 11.66x | 7.38x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 18.55x | 7.30x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.83x | 0.46x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 11.52x | 6.14x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.07x | 0.61x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.97x | 1.48x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 12.57x |
Profitability & Efficiency
UHS leads this category, winning 6 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
UHS delivers a 20.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $21 in annual profit, vs $19 for GEO. UHS carries lower financial leverage with a 0.74x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GEO's 1.15x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +18.5% | +20.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +7.2% | +9.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.2% | +12.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +7.6% | +16.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.15x | 0.74x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.7B | $5.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $69M | $138M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.7B | $5.5B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.12x | 10.92x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
GEO leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in GEO five years ago would be worth $36,962 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $11,248 for UHS. Over the past 12 months, UHS leads with a -8.2% total return vs GEO's -22.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors GEO at 37.0% vs UHS's 6.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +33.2% | -22.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -22.3% | -8.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +157.2% | +20.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +269.6% | +12.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +36.1% | +30.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +37.0% | +6.5% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — GEO and UHS each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
UHS is the less volatile stock with a 0.60 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than GEO's 1.01 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.01x | 0.60x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $30.25 | $246.33 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $12.51 | $152.33 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +70.1% | +69.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 76.9 | 39.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.1M | 793K |
Analyst Outlook
UHS leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates GEO as "Buy" and UHS as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 35.7% upside for UHS (target: $232) vs 15.5% for GEO (target: $25). UHS is the only dividend payer here at 0.47% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $24.50 | $231.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 12 | 43 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.80 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +3.2% | +9.1% |
UHS leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). GEO leads in 1 (Total Returns). 2 tied.
GEO vs UHS: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GEO or UHS a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Universal Health Services, Inc.
(UHS) is the stronger pick with 9. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 8. 6% for The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO). Universal Health Services, Inc. (UHS) offers the better valuation at 7. 4x trailing P/E (7. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — GEO or UHS?
On trailing P/E, Universal Health Services, Inc.
(UHS) is the cheapest at 7. 4x versus The GEO Group, Inc. at 11. 7x. On forward P/E, Universal Health Services, Inc. is actually cheaper at 7. 3x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Universal Health Services, Inc. wins at 0. 46x versus The GEO Group, Inc. 's 1. 31x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — GEO or UHS?
Over the past 5 years, The GEO Group, Inc.
(GEO) delivered a total return of +269. 6%, compared to +12. 5% for Universal Health Services, Inc. (UHS). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: GEO returned +36. 1% versus UHS's +30. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — GEO or UHS?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Universal Health Services, Inc.
(UHS) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 60β versus The GEO Group, Inc. 's 1. 01β — meaning GEO is approximately 68% more volatile than UHS relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Universal Health Services, Inc. (UHS) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 74% versus 115% for The GEO Group, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — GEO or UHS?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Universal Health Services, Inc.
(UHS) is pulling ahead at 9. 7% versus 8. 6% for The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: The GEO Group, Inc. grew EPS 727. 3% year-over-year, compared to 37. 3% for Universal Health Services, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, UHS leads at 9. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — GEO or UHS?
The GEO Group, Inc.
(GEO) is the more profitable company, earning 9. 7% net margin versus 8. 6% for Universal Health Services, Inc. — meaning it keeps 9. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: UHS leads at 11. 5% versus 9. 8% for GEO. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — UHS leads at 90. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is GEO or UHS more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Universal Health Services, Inc. (UHS) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 46x versus The GEO Group, Inc. 's 1. 31x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Universal Health Services, Inc. (UHS) trades at 7. 3x forward P/E versus 18. 5x for The GEO Group, Inc. — 11. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for UHS: 35. 7% to $231. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — GEO or UHS?
In this comparison, UHS (0.
5% yield) pays a dividend. GEO does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is GEO or UHS better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Universal Health Services, Inc.
(UHS) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 60)). Both have compounded well over 10 years (UHS: +30. 8%, GEO: +36. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between GEO and UHS?
These companies operate in different sectors (GEO (Industrials) and UHS (Healthcare)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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