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GFAI vs SPIR
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Specialty Business Services
GFAI vs SPIR — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Security & Protection Services | Specialty Business Services |
| Market Cap | $11M | $601.52B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $72M | $72M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-24M | $-25.02B |
| Gross Margin | 15.1% | 40.8% |
| Operating Margin | -27.4% | -121.4% |
| Forward P/E | — | 11.4x |
| Total Debt | $3M | $8.76B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $22M | $24.81B |
GFAI vs SPIR — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jan 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guardforce AI Co., … (GFAI) | 100 | 0.5 | -99.5% |
| Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) | 100 | 22.3 | -77.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GFAI vs SPIR
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
GFAI carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- beta 2.31
- Rev growth 0.2%, EPS growth 88.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 1.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 2.31, Low D/E 8.1%, current ratio 4.92x
SPIR is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- -75.9% 10Y total return vs GFAI's -99.5%
- +93.2% vs GFAI's -52.0%
- -47.3% ROA vs GFAI's -50.2%, ROIC -0.1% vs -41.6%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 0.2% revenue growth vs SPIR's -35.2% | |
| Quality / Margins | -32.9% margin vs SPIR's -349.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 2.31 vs SPIR's 2.93 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +93.2% vs GFAI's -52.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -47.3% ROA vs GFAI's -50.2%, ROIC -0.1% vs -41.6% |
GFAI vs SPIR — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GFAI leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GFAI and SPIR operate at a comparable scale, with $72M and $72M in trailing revenue. GFAI is the more profitable business, keeping -32.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SPIR's -349.6%. On growth, GFAI holds the edge at +3.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $72M | $72M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$12M | -$74M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$24M | -$25.0B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$6M | -$16.2B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +15.1% | +40.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -27.4% | -121.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -32.9% | -349.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -8.8% | -227.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +3.6% | -26.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +38.9% | +59.5% |
Valuation Metrics
GFAI leads this category, winning 3 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $11M | $601.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | -$8M | $585.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -0.94x | 11.37x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.30x | 8406.65x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.17x | 5.18x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
SPIR leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
GFAI delivers a -69.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-70 in annual profit, vs $-88 for SPIR. SPIR carries lower financial leverage with a 0.08x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GFAI's 0.08x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), GFAI scores 6/9 vs SPIR's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -69.7% | -88.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -50.2% | -47.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -41.6% | -0.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -19.1% | -0.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.08x | 0.08x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$19M | -$16.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $22M | $24.8B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $3M | $8.8B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -167.24x | 9.20x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SPIR leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SPIR five years ago would be worth $2,311 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $49 for GFAI. Over the past 12 months, SPIR leads with a +93.2% total return vs GFAI's -52.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SPIR at 50.1% vs GFAI's -59.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -22.2% | +134.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -52.0% | +93.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -93.5% | +238.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -99.5% | -76.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -99.5% | -75.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -59.7% | +50.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — GFAI and SPIR each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
GFAI is the less volatile stock with a 2.31 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SPIR's 2.93 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SPIR currently trades 77.6% from its 52-week high vs GFAI's 33.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.31x | 2.93x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $1.50 | $23.59 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $0.38 | $6.60 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +33.2% | +77.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 51.2 | 48.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 405K | 1.6M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $17.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 12 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
GFAI leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). SPIR leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). 1 tied.
GFAI vs SPIR: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GFAI or SPIR a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Guardforce AI Co.
, Limited (GFAI) is the stronger pick with 0. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -35. 2% for Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) offers the better valuation at 11. 4x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — GFAI or SPIR?
Over the past 5 years, Spire Global, Inc.
(SPIR) delivered a total return of -76. 9%, compared to -99. 5% for Guardforce AI Co. , Limited (GFAI). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SPIR returned -75. 9% versus GFAI's -99. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — GFAI or SPIR?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Guardforce AI Co.
, Limited (GFAI) is the lower-risk stock at 2. 31β versus Spire Global, Inc. 's 2. 93β — meaning SPIR is approximately 27% more volatile than GFAI relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 8% versus 8% for Guardforce AI Co. , Limited — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — GFAI or SPIR?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Guardforce AI Co.
, Limited (GFAI) is pulling ahead at 0. 2% versus -35. 2% for Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Spire Global, Inc. grew EPS 137. 8% year-over-year, compared to 88. 3% for Guardforce AI Co. , Limited. Over a 3-year CAGR, GFAI leads at 1. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — GFAI or SPIR?
Spire Global, Inc.
(SPIR) is the more profitable company, earning 71. 7% net margin versus -16. 1% for Guardforce AI Co. , Limited — meaning it keeps 71. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: GFAI leads at -18. 5% versus -121. 4% for SPIR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SPIR leads at 40. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — GFAI or SPIR?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is GFAI or SPIR better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Spire Global, Inc.
(SPIR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding. Guardforce AI Co. , Limited (GFAI) carries a higher beta of 2. 31 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (SPIR: -75. 9%, GFAI: -99. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between GFAI and SPIR?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: GFAI is a small-cap quality compounder stock; SPIR is a large-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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