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GO vs TGT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Discount Stores
GO vs TGT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Grocery Stores | Discount Stores |
| Market Cap | $789M | $57.36B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.69B | $106.25B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-225M | $4.04B |
| Gross Margin | 30.3% | 27.3% |
| Operating Margin | -4.7% | 5.3% |
| Forward P/E | 16.1x | 15.7x |
| Total Debt | $1.81B | $5.59B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $70M | $5.49B |
GO vs TGT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grocery Outlet Hold… (GO) | 100 | 21.8 | -78.2% |
| Target Corporation (TGT) | 100 | 102.9 | +2.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GO vs TGT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
GO is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.62
- Rev growth 7.3%, EPS growth -6.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 9.4%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.62, current ratio 1.37x
TGT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding.
- 99.5% 10Y total return vs GO's -71.8%
- Lower P/E (15.7x vs 16.1x)
- 3.8% margin vs GO's -4.8%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 7.3% revenue growth vs TGT's -1.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (15.7x vs 16.1x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 3.8% margin vs GO's -4.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.62 vs TGT's 0.95 | |
| Dividends | 3.6% yield; 22-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +36.6% vs GO's -47.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 6.9% ROA vs GO's -6.9%, ROIC 16.7% vs -6.0% |
GO vs TGT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
GO vs TGT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TGT leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TGT is the larger business by revenue, generating $106.2B annually — 22.7x GO's $4.7B. TGT is the more profitable business, keeping 3.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to GO's -4.8%. On growth, GO holds the edge at +10.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.7B | $106.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$91M | $8.7B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$225M | $4.0B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$9M | $2.9B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +30.3% | +27.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -4.7% | +5.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -4.8% | +3.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -0.2% | +2.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +10.7% | +3.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -112.5% | +23.7% |
Valuation Metrics
GO leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $789M | $57.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $2.5B | $57.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -3.50x | 15.49x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 16.12x | 15.74x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 7.26x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.17x | 0.55x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.80x | 3.55x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 33.16x | 20.23x |
Profitability & Efficiency
TGT leads this category, winning 8 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
TGT delivers a 26.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $26 in annual profit, vs $-20 for GO. TGT carries lower financial leverage with a 0.35x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GO's 1.84x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), TGT scores 6/9 vs GO's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -19.8% | +26.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -6.9% | +6.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -6.0% | +16.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -8.0% | +13.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.84x | 0.35x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.7B | $104M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $70M | $5.5B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.8B | $5.6B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -6.45x | 12.40x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
TGT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in TGT five years ago would be worth $6,838 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,903 for GO. Over the past 12 months, TGT leads with a +36.6% total return vs GO's -47.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors TGT at -3.8% vs GO's -35.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -20.9% | +26.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -47.6% | +36.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -73.4% | -11.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -81.0% | -31.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -71.8% | +99.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -35.7% | -3.8% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — GO and TGT each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
GO is the less volatile stock with a 0.62 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than TGT's 0.95 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. TGT currently trades 94.6% from its 52-week high vs GO's 41.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.62x | 0.95x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $19.41 | $133.07 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $5.66 | $83.44 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +41.4% | +94.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 55.7 | 61.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 4.0M | 4.5M |
Analyst Outlook
TGT leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates GO as "Hold" and TGT as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 50.2% upside for GO (target: $12) vs -8.4% for TGT (target: $115). TGT is the only dividend payer here at 3.58% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $12.08 | $115.31 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 23 | 59 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +3.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 22 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $4.51 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.7% |
TGT leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). GO leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
GO vs TGT: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GO or TGT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
(GO) is the stronger pick with 7. 3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -1. 7% for Target Corporation (TGT). Target Corporation (TGT) offers the better valuation at 15. 5x trailing P/E (15. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) a "Hold" — based on 23 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — GO or TGT?
On forward P/E, Target Corporation is actually cheaper at 15.
7x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — GO or TGT?
Over the past 5 years, Target Corporation (TGT) delivered a total return of -31.
6%, compared to -81. 0% for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: TGT returned +99. 5% versus GO's -71. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — GO or TGT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
(GO) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 62β versus Target Corporation's 0. 95β — meaning TGT is approximately 53% more volatile than GO relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Target Corporation (TGT) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 35% versus 184% for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — GO or TGT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
(GO) is pulling ahead at 7. 3% versus -1. 7% for Target Corporation (TGT). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Target Corporation grew EPS -8. 2% year-over-year, compared to -675. 0% for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.. Over a 3-year CAGR, GO leads at 9. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — GO or TGT?
Target Corporation (TGT) is the more profitable company, earning 3.
5% net margin versus -4. 8% for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. — meaning it keeps 3. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TGT leads at 4. 9% versus -4. 7% for GO. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — GO leads at 30. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is GO or TGT more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Target Corporation (TGT) trades at 15.
7x forward P/E versus 16. 1x for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. — 0. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for GO: 50. 2% to $12. 08.
08Which pays a better dividend — GO or TGT?
In this comparison, TGT (3.
6% yield) pays a dividend. GO does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is GO or TGT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Target Corporation (TGT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
95), 3. 6% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (TGT: +99. 5%, GO: -71. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between GO and TGT?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: GO is a small-cap quality compounder stock; TGT is a mid-cap deep-value stock. TGT pays a dividend while GO does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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