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GPRE vs DE vs AGCO vs ADM vs BG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Agricultural - Machinery
Agricultural - Machinery
Agricultural Farm Products
Agricultural Farm Products
GPRE vs DE vs AGCO vs ADM vs BG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Chemicals - Specialty | Agricultural - Machinery | Agricultural - Machinery | Agricultural Farm Products | Agricultural Farm Products |
| Market Cap | $1.15B | $157.32B | $8.53B | $37.36B | $24.02B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.94B | $45.88B | $10.37B | $80.61B | $80.54B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-15M | $4.08B | $771M | $1.08B | $686M |
| Gross Margin | 1.8% | 34.7% | 24.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% |
| Operating Margin | 1.2% | 17.0% | 6.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% |
| Forward P/E | 46.6x | 32.5x | 20.4x | 18.6x | 14.4x |
| Total Debt | $508M | $63.94B | $2.69B | $8.41B | $16.95B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $182M | $8.28B | $862M | $1.01B | $1.14B |
GPRE vs DE vs AGCO vs ADM vs BG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) | 100 | 192.5 | +92.5% |
| Deere & Company (DE) | 100 | 381.5 | +281.5% |
| AGCO Corporation (AGCO) | 100 | 213.2 | +113.2% |
| Archer-Daniels-Midl… (ADM) | 100 | 197.2 | +97.2% |
| Bunge Global S.A. (BG) | 100 | 317.3 | +217.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GPRE vs DE vs AGCO vs ADM vs BG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
GPRE ranks third and is worth considering specifically for momentum.
- +336.6% vs DE's +24.2%
DE is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 6.7% 10Y total return vs AGCO's 178.0%
- 8.9% margin vs GPRE's -0.8%
AGCO has the current edge in this matchup, primarily because of its strength in valuation efficiency.
- PEG 1.77 vs DE's 1.99
- Lower P/E (20.4x vs 32.5x), PEG 1.77 vs 1.99
- 6.3% ROA vs GPRE's -1.0%, ROIC 8.3% vs -5.2%
ADM is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and sleep-well-at-night is your priority.
- Dividend streak 31 yrs, beta 0.12, yield 2.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.12, Low D/E 36.5%, current ratio 11.20x
- Beta 0.12, yield 2.6%, current ratio 11.20x
- Beta 0.12 vs GPRE's 1.22, lower leverage
BG is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 32.4%, EPS growth -38.4%, 3Y rev CAGR 1.5%
- 32.4% revenue growth vs GPRE's -14.9%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 32.4% revenue growth vs GPRE's -14.9% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (20.4x vs 32.5x), PEG 1.77 vs 1.99 | |
| Quality / Margins | 8.9% margin vs GPRE's -0.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.12 vs GPRE's 1.22, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 2.6% yield, 31-year raise streak, vs DE's 1.1%, (1 stock pays no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +336.6% vs DE's +24.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 6.3% ROA vs GPRE's -1.0%, ROIC 8.3% vs -5.2% |
GPRE vs DE vs AGCO vs ADM vs BG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
GPRE vs DE vs AGCO vs ADM vs BG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 5 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
DE leads in 2 of 6 categories
ADM leads 2 • BG leads 1 • AGCO leads 1 • GPRE leads 0
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
DE leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ADM is the larger business by revenue, generating $80.6B annually — 41.6x GPRE's $1.9B. DE is the more profitable business, keeping 8.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to GPRE's -0.8%. On growth, BG holds the edge at +87.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.9B | $45.9B | $10.4B | $80.6B | $80.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $122M | $9.5B | $963M | $3.0B | $2.8B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$15M | $4.1B | $771M | $1.1B | $686M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $90M | $5.5B | $546M | $4.8B | $112M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +1.8% | +34.7% | +24.9% | +5.8% | +5.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +1.2% | +17.0% | +6.9% | +1.5% | +2.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -0.8% | +8.9% | +7.4% | +1.3% | +0.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +4.7% | +12.0% | +5.3% | +6.0% | +0.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -25.9% | +16.3% | +14.3% | +1.6% | +87.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +134.2% | -24.1% | +4.4% | +1.6% | -76.4% |
Valuation Metrics
BG leads this category, winning 3 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 12.1x trailing earnings, AGCO trades at a 65% valuation discount to ADM's 34.8x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), AGCO offers better value at 1.05x vs DE's 1.92x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.1B | $157.3B | $8.5B | $37.4B | $24.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.5B | $213.0B | $10.3B | $44.8B | $39.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -9.14x | 31.37x | 12.08x | 34.77x | 25.16x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 46.62x | 32.53x | 20.37x | 18.63x | 14.38x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.92x | 1.05x | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 103.82x | 20.01x | 10.08x | 17.18x | 22.60x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.55x | 3.52x | 0.85x | 0.47x | 0.34x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.44x | 6.06x | 1.92x | 1.63x | 1.18x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 17.84x | 48.69x | 11.52x | 8.89x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
AGCO leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AGCO delivers a 16.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $17 in annual profit, vs $-2 for GPRE. ADM carries lower financial leverage with a 0.37x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to DE's 2.46x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), AGCO scores 8/9 vs BG's 2/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -2.0% | +15.5% | +16.7% | +4.7% | +4.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -1.0% | +3.9% | +6.3% | +2.2% | +1.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -5.2% | +7.7% | +8.3% | +3.3% | +3.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -6.2% | +11.4% | +9.0% | +4.2% | +4.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 2 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.66x | 2.46x | 0.59x | 0.37x | 0.97x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $326M | $55.7B | $1.8B | $7.4B | $15.8B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $182M | $8.3B | $862M | $1.0B | $1.1B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $508M | $63.9B | $2.7B | $8.4B | $17.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -0.08x | 2.74x | 10.36x | 3.03x | 3.10x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
DE leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in DE five years ago would be worth $15,406 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,149 for GPRE. Over the past 12 months, GPRE leads with a +336.6% total return vs DE's +24.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors DE at 16.3% vs GPRE's -19.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +60.1% | +24.7% | +11.5% | +32.2% | +34.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +336.6% | +24.2% | +25.9% | +66.2% | +66.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -46.8% | +57.4% | +1.4% | +10.7% | +46.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -48.5% | +54.1% | -9.6% | +29.2% | +49.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +21.3% | +671.0% | +178.0% | +147.4% | +140.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -19.0% | +16.3% | +0.5% | +3.4% | +13.5% |
Risk & Volatility
ADM leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ADM is the less volatile stock with a 0.12 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than GPRE's 1.22 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ADM currently trades 94.8% from its 52-week high vs AGCO's 81.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.22x | 0.56x | 1.10x | 0.12x | 0.25x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $18.94 | $674.19 | $143.78 | $81.75 | $133.93 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $3.39 | $433.00 | $93.30 | $46.81 | $71.60 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +86.9% | +86.1% | +81.9% | +94.8% | +92.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 54.3 | 54.0 | 52.5 | 68.4 | 51.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.5M | 1.2M | 696K | 3.8M | 1.7M |
Analyst Outlook
ADM leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: GPRE as "Buy", DE as "Hold", AGCO as "Buy", ADM as "Hold", BG as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 17.3% upside for DE (target: $681) vs -22.6% for ADM (target: $60). For income investors, ADM offers the higher dividend yield at 2.63% vs AGCO's 0.99%.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold | Buy | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $13.80 | $680.54 | $127.29 | $60.00 | $133.67 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 20 | 46 | 29 | 36 | 25 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.1% | +1.0% | +2.6% | +2.2% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 8 | 0 | 31 | 5 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $6.33 | $1.16 | $2.04 | $2.76 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +2.6% | +0.7% | +2.9% | 0.0% | +2.3% |
DE leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). ADM leads in 2 (Risk & Volatility, Analyst Outlook).
GPRE vs DE vs AGCO vs ADM vs BG: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GPRE or DE or AGCO or ADM or BG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Bunge Global S.
A. (BG) is the stronger pick with 32. 4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -14. 9% for Green Plains Inc. (GPRE). AGCO Corporation (AGCO) offers the better valuation at 12. 1x trailing P/E (20. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) a "Buy" — based on 20 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — GPRE or DE or AGCO or ADM or BG?
On trailing P/E, AGCO Corporation (AGCO) is the cheapest at 12.
1x versus Archer-Daniels-Midland Company at 34. 8x. On forward P/E, Bunge Global S. A. is actually cheaper at 14. 4x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: AGCO Corporation wins at 1. 77x versus Deere & Company's 1. 99x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — GPRE or DE or AGCO or ADM or BG?
Over the past 5 years, Deere & Company (DE) delivered a total return of +54.
1%, compared to -48. 5% for Green Plains Inc. (GPRE). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: DE returned +671. 0% versus GPRE's +21. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — GPRE or DE or AGCO or ADM or BG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
12β versus Green Plains Inc. 's 1. 22β — meaning GPRE is approximately 957% more volatile than ADM relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 37% versus 2% for Deere & Company — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — GPRE or DE or AGCO or ADM or BG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Bunge Global S.
A. (BG) is pulling ahead at 32. 4% versus -14. 9% for Green Plains Inc. (GPRE). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: AGCO Corporation grew EPS 271. 4% year-over-year, compared to -39. 5% for Green Plains Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, BG leads at 1. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — GPRE or DE or AGCO or ADM or BG?
Deere & Company (DE) is the more profitable company, earning 11.
3% net margin versus -5. 8% for Green Plains Inc. — meaning it keeps 11. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: DE leads at 18. 8% versus -4. 0% for GPRE. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — DE leads at 36. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is GPRE or DE or AGCO or ADM or BG more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, AGCO Corporation (AGCO) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 77x versus Deere & Company's 1. 99x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, Bunge Global S. A. (BG) trades at 14. 4x forward P/E versus 46. 6x for Green Plains Inc. — 32. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for DE: 17. 3% to $680. 54.
08Which pays a better dividend — GPRE or DE or AGCO or ADM or BG?
In this comparison, ADM (2.
6% yield), BG (2. 2% yield), DE (1. 1% yield), AGCO (1. 0% yield) pay a dividend. GPRE does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is GPRE or DE or AGCO or ADM or BG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
12), 2. 6% yield, +147. 4% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (ADM: +147. 4%, GPRE: +21. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between GPRE and DE and AGCO and ADM and BG?
These companies operate in different sectors (GPRE (Basic Materials) and DE (Industrials) and AGCO (Industrials) and ADM (Consumer Defensive) and BG (Consumer Defensive)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: GPRE is a small-cap quality compounder stock; DE is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; AGCO is a small-cap deep-value stock; ADM is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; BG is a mid-cap high-growth stock. DE, AGCO, ADM, BG pay a dividend while GPRE does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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