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GRMN vs FOSL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Luxury Goods
GRMN vs FOSL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Hardware, Equipment & Parts | Luxury Goods |
| Market Cap | $46.83B | $260M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $7.46B | $1.00B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.74B | $-78M |
| Gross Margin | 59.1% | 56.1% |
| Operating Margin | 26.5% | 2.3% |
| Forward P/E | 25.5x | — |
| Total Debt | $165M | $282M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $2.28B | $96M |
GRMN vs FOSL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Garmin Ltd. (GRMN) | 100 | 269.3 | +169.3% |
| Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) | 100 | 146.2 | +46.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GRMN vs FOSL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
GRMN carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 1.30, yield 1.4%
- Rev growth 15.1%, EPS growth 17.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 14.2%
- 5.6% 10Y total return vs FOSL's -88.8%
FOSL is the clearest fit if your priority is momentum.
- +284.5% vs GRMN's +31.7%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 15.1% revenue growth vs FOSL's -12.3% | |
| Quality / Margins | 23.3% margin vs FOSL's -7.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.30 vs FOSL's 2.46, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.4% yield; 2-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +284.5% vs GRMN's +31.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 16.2% ROA vs FOSL's -13.5%, ROIC 22.0% vs 5.7% |
GRMN vs FOSL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
GRMN vs FOSL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GRMN leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GRMN is the larger business by revenue, generating $7.5B annually — 7.4x FOSL's $1.0B. GRMN is the more profitable business, keeping 23.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to FOSL's -7.8%. On growth, GRMN holds the edge at +14.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $7.5B | $1.0B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2.2B | $26M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.7B | -$78M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.5B | -$60M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +59.1% | +56.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +26.5% | +2.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +23.3% | -7.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +19.4% | -6.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +14.2% | -18.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +21.5% | +6.3% |
Valuation Metrics
FOSL leads this category, winning 4 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, FOSL's 12.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than GRMN's 21.7x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $46.8B | $260M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $44.7B | $447M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 28.27x | -3.08x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 25.55x | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 2.64x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 21.66x | 12.41x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 6.46x | 0.26x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 5.24x | 2.78x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 34.36x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
GRMN leads this category, winning 8 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
GRMN delivers a 19.9% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $20 in annual profit, vs $-71 for FOSL. GRMN carries lower financial leverage with a 0.02x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to FOSL's 3.25x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), GRMN scores 7/9 vs FOSL's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +19.9% | -71.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +16.2% | -13.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +22.0% | +5.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +21.6% | +5.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.02x | 3.25x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$2.1B | $186M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $2.3B | $96M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $165M | $282M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | 0.11x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
GRMN leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in GRMN five years ago would be worth $18,250 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,698 for FOSL. Over the past 12 months, FOSL leads with a +284.5% total return vs GRMN's +31.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors GRMN at 34.6% vs FOSL's 12.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +20.4% | +16.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +31.7% | +284.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +143.7% | +41.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +82.5% | -63.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +558.3% | -88.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +34.6% | +12.3% |
Risk & Volatility
GRMN leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
GRMN is the less volatile stock with a 1.30 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FOSL's 2.46 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. GRMN currently trades 88.8% from its 52-week high vs FOSL's 77.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.30x | 2.46x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $273.32 | $5.75 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $184.47 | $1.12 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +88.8% | +77.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 35.2 | 36.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 738K | 734K |
Analyst Outlook
GRMN leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates GRMN as "Hold" and FOSL as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 57.0% upside for FOSL (target: $7) vs 10.8% for GRMN (target: $269). GRMN is the only dividend payer here at 1.41% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $269.00 | $7.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 28 | 36 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.4% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 2 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $3.43 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.5% | 0.0% |
GRMN leads in 5 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). FOSL leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
GRMN vs FOSL: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GRMN or FOSL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Garmin Ltd.
(GRMN) is the stronger pick with 15. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -12. 3% for Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL). Garmin Ltd. (GRMN) offers the better valuation at 28. 3x trailing P/E (25. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Garmin Ltd. (GRMN) a "Hold" — based on 28 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — GRMN or FOSL?
Over the past 5 years, Garmin Ltd.
(GRMN) delivered a total return of +82. 5%, compared to -63. 0% for Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: GRMN returned +558. 3% versus FOSL's -88. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — GRMN or FOSL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Garmin Ltd.
(GRMN) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 30β versus Fossil Group, Inc. 's 2. 46β — meaning FOSL is approximately 89% more volatile than GRMN relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Garmin Ltd. (GRMN) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 2% versus 3% for Fossil Group, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — GRMN or FOSL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Garmin Ltd.
(GRMN) is pulling ahead at 15. 1% versus -12. 3% for Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Fossil Group, Inc. grew EPS 25. 3% year-over-year, compared to 17. 7% for Garmin Ltd.. Over a 3-year CAGR, GRMN leads at 14. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — GRMN or FOSL?
Garmin Ltd.
(GRMN) is the more profitable company, earning 23. 0% net margin versus -7. 8% for Fossil Group, Inc. — meaning it keeps 23. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: GRMN leads at 25. 9% versus 2. 3% for FOSL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — GRMN leads at 58. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is GRMN or FOSL more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for FOSL: 57.
0% to $7. 00.
07Which pays a better dividend — GRMN or FOSL?
In this comparison, GRMN (1.
4% yield) pays a dividend. FOSL does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is GRMN or FOSL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Garmin Ltd.
(GRMN) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (1. 4% yield, +558. 3% 10Y return). Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) carries a higher beta of 2. 46 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (GRMN: +558. 3%, FOSL: -88. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between GRMN and FOSL?
These companies operate in different sectors (GRMN (Technology) and FOSL (Consumer Cyclical)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: GRMN is a mid-cap high-growth stock; FOSL is a small-cap quality compounder stock. GRMN pays a dividend while FOSL does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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