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HBM vs ERO
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Copper
HBM vs ERO — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Copper | Copper |
| Market Cap | $8.87B | $2.69B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.22B | $791M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $570M | $265M |
| Gross Margin | 32.5% | 43.9% |
| Operating Margin | 41.4% | 34.3% |
| Forward P/E | 14.3x | 6.3x |
| Total Debt | $1.09B | $631M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $568M | $105M |
HBM vs ERO — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) | 100 | 827.8 | +727.8% |
| Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) | 100 | 220.5 | +120.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: HBM vs ERO
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
HBM is the clearest fit if your priority is dividends and momentum.
- 0.1% yield; the other pay no meaningful dividend
- +201.8% vs ERO's +103.1%
ERO carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- beta 1.40
- Rev growth 70.0%, EPS growth 490.9%, 3Y rev CAGR 23.3%
- 5.6% 10Y total return vs HBM's 465.3%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 70.0% revenue growth vs HBM's 8.9% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (6.3x vs 14.3x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 33.5% margin vs HBM's 25.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.40 vs HBM's 1.91 | |
| Dividends | 0.1% yield; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +201.8% vs ERO's +103.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 14.6% ROA vs HBM's 9.8%, ROIC 15.5% vs 12.0% |
HBM vs ERO — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ERO leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
HBM is the larger business by revenue, generating $2.2B annually — 2.8x ERO's $791M. ERO is the more profitable business, keeping 33.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to HBM's 25.8%. On growth, ERO holds the edge at +165.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.2B | $791M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.4B | $407M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $570M | $265M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $215M | $107M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +32.5% | +43.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +41.4% | +34.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +25.8% | +33.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +9.7% | +13.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +26.0% | +165.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +5.1% | +2.6% |
Valuation Metrics
ERO leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 10.0x trailing earnings, ERO trades at a 35% valuation discount to HBM's 15.3x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, ERO's 7.8x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than HBM's 9.2x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $8.9B | $2.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $9.4B | $3.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 15.31x | 10.01x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 14.35x | 6.33x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.28x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 9.19x | 7.84x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 4.03x | 3.37x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.75x | 2.87x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 44.82x | 29.52x |
Profitability & Efficiency
ERO leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ERO delivers a 31.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $31 in annual profit, vs $19 for HBM. HBM carries lower financial leverage with a 0.34x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ERO's 0.67x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ERO scores 8/9 vs HBM's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +19.2% | +31.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +9.8% | +14.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +12.0% | +15.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +11.3% | +18.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 8 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.34x | 0.67x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $524M | $526M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $568M | $105M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.1B | $631M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 13.44x | 18.35x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
HBM leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in HBM five years ago would be worth $27,616 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $11,734 for ERO. Over the past 12 months, HBM leads with a +201.8% total return vs ERO's +103.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors HBM at 62.8% vs ERO's 7.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +11.2% | -11.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +201.8% | +103.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +331.5% | +25.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +176.2% | +17.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +465.3% | +564.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +62.8% | +7.9% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — HBM and ERO each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ERO is the less volatile stock with a 1.40 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than HBM's 1.91 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. HBM currently trades 77.8% from its 52-week high vs ERO's 64.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.91x | 1.40x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $28.74 | $39.80 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $7.36 | $12.56 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +77.8% | +64.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 42.0 | 32.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 5.4M | 1.1M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates HBM as "Buy" and ERO as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 22.0% upside for ERO (target: $32) vs -53.7% for HBM (target: $10).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $10.34 | $31.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 20 | 3 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.1% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.01 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
ERO leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). HBM leads in 1 (Total Returns). 1 tied.
HBM vs ERO: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is HBM or ERO a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Ero Copper Corp.
(ERO) is the stronger pick with 70. 0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 8. 9% for Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM). Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) offers the better valuation at 10. 0x trailing P/E (6. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) a "Buy" — based on 20 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — HBM or ERO?
On trailing P/E, Ero Copper Corp.
(ERO) is the cheapest at 10. 0x versus Hudbay Minerals Inc. at 15. 3x. On forward P/E, Ero Copper Corp. is actually cheaper at 6. 3x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — HBM or ERO?
Over the past 5 years, Hudbay Minerals Inc.
(HBM) delivered a total return of +176. 2%, compared to +17. 3% for Ero Copper Corp. (ERO). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ERO returned +564. 4% versus HBM's +465. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — HBM or ERO?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Ero Copper Corp.
(ERO) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 40β versus Hudbay Minerals Inc. 's 1. 91β — meaning HBM is approximately 36% more volatile than ERO relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 34% versus 67% for Ero Copper Corp. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — HBM or ERO?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Ero Copper Corp.
(ERO) is pulling ahead at 70. 0% versus 8. 9% for Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Hudbay Minerals Inc. grew EPS 630. 0% year-over-year, compared to 490. 9% for Ero Copper Corp.. Over a 3-year CAGR, ERO leads at 23. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — HBM or ERO?
Ero Copper Corp.
(ERO) is the more profitable company, earning 33. 6% net margin versus 26. 3% for Hudbay Minerals Inc. — meaning it keeps 33. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ERO leads at 33. 8% versus 25. 5% for HBM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ERO leads at 43. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is HBM or ERO more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Ero Copper Corp.
(ERO) trades at 6. 3x forward P/E versus 14. 3x for Hudbay Minerals Inc. — 8. 0x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for ERO: 22. 0% to $31. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — HBM or ERO?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is HBM or ERO better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Ero Copper Corp.
(ERO) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (+564. 4% 10Y return). Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) carries a higher beta of 1. 91 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (ERO: +564. 4%, HBM: +465. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between HBM and ERO?
Both stocks operate in the Basic Materials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: HBM is a small-cap deep-value stock; ERO is a small-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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