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HGV vs HLT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Travel Lodging
HGV vs HLT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Gambling, Resorts & Casinos | Travel Lodging |
| Market Cap | $3.95B | $73.19B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $5.18B | $12.28B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $199M | $1.54B |
| Gross Margin | 56.8% | 44.3% |
| Operating Margin | 12.1% | 23.1% |
| Forward P/E | 11.4x | 35.5x |
| Total Debt | $7.35B | $15.67B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $571M | $970M |
HGV vs HLT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hilton Grand Vacati… (HGV) | 100 | 225.7 | +125.7% |
| Hilton Worldwide Ho… (HLT) | 100 | 405.4 | +305.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: HGV vs HLT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
HGV is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 1.71
- Lower P/E (11.4x vs 35.5x)
HLT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 7.7%, EPS growth -0.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 11.1%
- 6.2% 10Y total return vs HGV's 88.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.94, current ratio 10.81x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 7.7% revenue growth vs HGV's 1.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (11.4x vs 35.5x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 12.6% margin vs HGV's 3.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.94 vs HGV's 1.71 | |
| Dividends | 0.2% yield; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +36.1% vs HGV's +28.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 9.4% ROA vs HGV's 1.7%, ROIC 24.7% vs 5.0% |
HGV vs HLT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
HGV vs HLT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — HGV and HLT each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
HLT is the larger business by revenue, generating $12.3B annually — 2.4x HGV's $5.2B. HLT is the more profitable business, keeping 12.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to HGV's 3.8%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $5.2B | $12.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $905M | $3.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $199M | $1.5B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $328M | $2.2B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +56.8% | +44.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +12.1% | +23.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +3.8% | +12.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +6.3% | +17.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +11.9% | +9.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +5.4% | +35.0% |
Valuation Metrics
HGV leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 52.5x trailing earnings, HLT trades at a 4% valuation discount to HGV's 54.6x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, HGV's 12.9x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than HLT's 30.6x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $3.9B | $73.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $10.7B | $87.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 54.62x | 52.53x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 11.35x | 35.50x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 12.86x | 30.62x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.78x | 6.08x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.09x | — |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 17.17x | 36.09x |
Profitability & Efficiency
HLT leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +13.3% | — |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.7% | +9.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.0% | +24.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.5% | +19.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 5.10x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $6.8B | $14.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $571M | $970M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $7.3B | $15.7B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.34x | 4.42x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
HLT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in HLT five years ago would be worth $26,820 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $11,273 for HGV. Over the past 12 months, HLT leads with a +36.1% total return vs HGV's +28.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors HLT at 30.5% vs HGV's 4.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +6.9% | +9.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +28.6% | +36.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +14.7% | +122.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +12.7% | +168.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +88.0% | +621.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +4.7% | +30.5% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — HGV and HLT each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
HLT is the less volatile stock with a 0.94 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than HGV's 1.71 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.71x | 0.94x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $52.08 | $344.75 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $36.79 | $235.99 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +93.3% | +93.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 54.2 | 44.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 767K | 1.6M |
Analyst Outlook
HGV leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates HGV as "Hold" and HLT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 5.3% upside for HLT (target: $338) vs 3.7% for HGV (target: $50). HLT is the only dividend payer here at 0.19% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $50.40 | $338.45 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 16 | 49 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.2% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.60 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +15.2% | +4.4% |
HGV leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook). HLT leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). 2 tied.
HGV vs HLT: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is HGV or HLT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
(HLT) is the stronger pick with 7. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 3% for Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV). Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) offers the better valuation at 52. 5x trailing P/E (35. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) a "Buy" — based on 49 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — HGV or HLT?
On trailing P/E, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
(HLT) is the cheapest at 52. 5x versus Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. at 54. 6x. On forward P/E, Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. is actually cheaper at 11. 4x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — HGV or HLT?
Over the past 5 years, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
(HLT) delivered a total return of +168. 2%, compared to +12. 7% for Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: HLT returned +621. 9% versus HGV's +88. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — HGV or HLT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
(HLT) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 94β versus Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. 's 1. 71β — meaning HGV is approximately 81% more volatile than HLT relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — HGV or HLT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
(HLT) is pulling ahead at 7. 7% versus 1. 3% for Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. grew EPS 93. 5% year-over-year, compared to -0. 3% for Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, HLT leads at 11. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — HGV or HLT?
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
(HLT) is the more profitable company, earning 12. 1% net margin versus 1. 6% for Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. — meaning it keeps 12. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: HLT leads at 22. 4% versus 11. 1% for HGV. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — HGV leads at 56. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is HGV or HLT more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.
(HGV) trades at 11. 4x forward P/E versus 35. 5x for Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. — 24. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for HLT: 5. 3% to $338. 45.
08Which pays a better dividend — HGV or HLT?
In this comparison, HLT (0.
2% yield) pays a dividend. HGV does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is HGV or HLT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
(HLT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 94), +621. 9% 10Y return). Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) carries a higher beta of 1. 71 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (HLT: +621. 9%, HGV: +88. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between HGV and HLT?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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