Biotechnology
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HRTX vs MDGL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Biotechnology
HRTX vs MDGL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Biotechnology | Biotechnology |
| Market Cap | $228M | $11.76B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $155M | $1.13B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-20M | $-309M |
| Gross Margin | 73.3% | 93.1% |
| Operating Margin | -1.6% | -27.7% |
| Total Debt | $141M | $354M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $29M | $199M |
HRTX vs MDGL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heron Therapeutics,… (HRTX) | 100 | 6.6 | -93.4% |
| Madrigal Pharmaceut… (MDGL) | 100 | 439.6 | +339.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: HRTX vs MDGL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
HRTX is the clearest fit if your priority is quality and efficiency.
- -13.0% margin vs MDGL's -27.3%
- -7.9% ROA vs MDGL's -25.4%, ROIC -1.6% vs -29.4%
MDGL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.59
- Rev growth 432.1%, EPS growth 41.3%
- 37.3% 10Y total return vs HRTX's -93.0%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 432.1% revenue growth vs HRTX's 7.4% | |
| Quality / Margins | -13.0% margin vs MDGL's -27.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.59 vs HRTX's 1.81, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +70.3% vs HRTX's -44.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -7.9% ROA vs MDGL's -25.4%, ROIC -1.6% vs -29.4% |
HRTX vs MDGL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
HRTX vs MDGL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — HRTX and MDGL each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MDGL is the larger business by revenue, generating $1.1B annually — 7.3x HRTX's $155M. HRTX is the more profitable business, keeping -13.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MDGL's -27.3%. On growth, MDGL holds the edge at +126.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $155M | $1.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $401,000 | -$312M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$20M | -$309M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$28M | -$272M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +73.3% | +93.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -1.6% | -27.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -13.0% | -27.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -18.0% | -24.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -0.5% | +126.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -183.7% | +2.1% |
Valuation Metrics
HRTX leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $228M | $11.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $340M | $11.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -10.08x | -39.69x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.47x | 12.27x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 14.07x | 18.99x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
HRTX leads this category, winning 6 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
MDGL delivers a -50.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-50 in annual profit, vs $-141 for HRTX. MDGL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.59x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to HRTX's 9.81x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -140.9% | -50.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -7.9% | -25.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -1.6% | -29.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -1.7% | -32.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 9.81x | 0.59x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $112M | $156M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $29M | $199M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $141M | $354M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -2.97x | -25.80x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MDGL leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MDGL five years ago would be worth $38,678 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $689 for HRTX. Over the past 12 months, MDGL leads with a +70.3% total return vs HRTX's -44.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MDGL at 18.2% vs HRTX's -20.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -4.0% | -14.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -44.2% | +70.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -50.4% | +65.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -93.1% | +286.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -93.0% | +3734.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -20.8% | +18.2% |
Risk & Volatility
MDGL leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MDGL is the less volatile stock with a 0.59 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than HRTX's 1.81 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MDGL currently trades 82.9% from its 52-week high vs HRTX's 52.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.81x | 0.59x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $2.32 | $615.00 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $0.74 | $265.00 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +52.2% | +82.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 64.2 | 58.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.0M | 310K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates HRTX as "Buy" and MDGL as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 451.2% upside for HRTX (target: $7) vs 38.2% for MDGL (target: $705).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $6.67 | $705.10 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 19 | 23 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
HRTX leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). MDGL leads in 2 (Total Returns, Risk & Volatility). 1 tied.
HRTX vs MDGL: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is HRTX or MDGL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
(MDGL) is the stronger pick with 432. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 7. 4% for Heron Therapeutics, Inc. (HRTX). Analysts rate Heron Therapeutics, Inc. (HRTX) a "Buy" — based on 19 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — HRTX or MDGL?
Over the past 5 years, Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
(MDGL) delivered a total return of +286. 8%, compared to -93. 1% for Heron Therapeutics, Inc. (HRTX). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MDGL returned +37. 3% versus HRTX's -93. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — HRTX or MDGL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
(MDGL) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 59β versus Heron Therapeutics, Inc. 's 1. 81β — meaning HRTX is approximately 208% more volatile than MDGL relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (MDGL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 59% versus 10% for Heron Therapeutics, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — HRTX or MDGL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
(MDGL) is pulling ahead at 432. 1% versus 7. 4% for Heron Therapeutics, Inc. (HRTX). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. grew EPS 41. 3% year-over-year, compared to -34. 7% for Heron Therapeutics, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — HRTX or MDGL?
Heron Therapeutics, Inc.
(HRTX) is the more profitable company, earning -13. 0% net margin versus -30. 1% for Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — meaning it keeps -13. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: HRTX leads at -1. 6% versus -31. 3% for MDGL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MDGL leads at 94. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — HRTX or MDGL?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is HRTX or MDGL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
(MDGL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 59)). Heron Therapeutics, Inc. (HRTX) carries a higher beta of 1. 81 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (MDGL: +37. 3%, HRTX: -93. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between HRTX and MDGL?
Both stocks operate in the Healthcare sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: HRTX is a small-cap quality compounder stock; MDGL is a mid-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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