Integrated Freight & Logistics
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HUBG vs HTLD
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Trucking
HUBG vs HTLD — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Trucking |
| Market Cap | $2.61B | $1.01B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $3.73B | $806M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $105M | $-52M |
| Gross Margin | 48.7% | -0.9% |
| Operating Margin | 3.8% | -7.7% |
| Forward P/E | 26.2x | — |
| Total Debt | $509M | $161M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $98M | $18M |
HUBG vs HTLD — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) | 100 | 183.9 | +83.9% |
| Heartland Express, … (HTLD) | 100 | 59.3 | -40.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: HUBG vs HTLD
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
HUBG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 1.21, yield 1.2%
- Rev growth -6.1%, EPS growth -35.1%, 3Y rev CAGR -2.3%
- 122.3% 10Y total return vs HTLD's -19.6%
HTLD is the clearest fit if your priority is momentum.
- +72.8% vs HUBG's +37.5%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -6.1% revenue growth vs HTLD's -23.1% | |
| Quality / Margins | 2.8% margin vs HTLD's -6.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.21 vs HTLD's 1.37 | |
| Dividends | 1.2% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs HTLD's 0.6% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +72.8% vs HUBG's +37.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 3.7% ROA vs HTLD's -4.1%, ROIC 5.1% vs -4.8% |
HUBG vs HTLD — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
HUBG vs HTLD — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
HUBG leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
HUBG is the larger business by revenue, generating $3.7B annually — 4.6x HTLD's $806M. HUBG is the more profitable business, keeping 2.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to HTLD's -6.5%. On growth, HUBG holds the edge at -5.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.7B | $806M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $331M | $97M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $105M | -$52M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $113M | -$67M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +48.7% | -0.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +3.8% | -7.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +2.8% | -6.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +3.0% | -8.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -5.3% | -26.1% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +20.5% | -9.6% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — HUBG and HTLD each lead in 2 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, HUBG's 9.1x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than HTLD's 11.8x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.6B | $1.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $3.0B | $1.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 25.30x | -19.37x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 26.22x | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 20.74x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 9.06x | 11.80x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.66x | 1.25x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.55x | 1.34x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 18.15x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
HUBG leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
HUBG delivers a 6.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $6 in annual profit, vs $-7 for HTLD. HTLD carries lower financial leverage with a 0.21x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to HUBG's 0.30x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), HUBG scores 7/9 vs HTLD's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +6.1% | -6.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +3.7% | -4.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.1% | -4.8% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +6.1% | -5.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.30x | 0.21x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $410M | $143M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $98M | $18M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $509M | $161M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 11.77x | -4.93x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
HUBG leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in HUBG five years ago would be worth $12,118 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $7,237 for HTLD. Over the past 12 months, HTLD leads with a +72.8% total return vs HUBG's +37.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors HUBG at 6.3% vs HTLD's -4.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +0.9% | +42.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +37.5% | +72.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +20.2% | -13.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +21.2% | -27.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +122.3% | -19.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +6.3% | -4.8% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — HUBG and HTLD each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
HUBG is the less volatile stock with a 1.21 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than HTLD's 1.37 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. HTLD currently trades 93.2% from its 52-week high vs HUBG's 80.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.21x | 1.37x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $53.26 | $13.92 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $31.52 | $7.00 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +80.8% | +93.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 58.7 | 63.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 723K | 398K |
Analyst Outlook
HUBG leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates HUBG as "Hold" and HTLD as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 3.1% upside for HUBG (target: $44) vs -7.6% for HTLD (target: $12). For income investors, HUBG offers the higher dividend yield at 1.15% vs HTLD's 0.62%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $44.33 | $12.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 31 | 22 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.2% | +0.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.49 | $0.08 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +3.0% | +1.0% |
HUBG leads in 4 of 6 categories — strongest in Income & Cash Flow and Profitability & Efficiency. 2 categories are tied.
HUBG vs HTLD: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is HUBG or HTLD a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Hub Group, Inc.
(HUBG) is the stronger pick with -6. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -23. 1% for Heartland Express, Inc. (HTLD). Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) offers the better valuation at 25. 3x trailing P/E (26. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) a "Hold" — based on 31 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — HUBG or HTLD?
Over the past 5 years, Hub Group, Inc.
(HUBG) delivered a total return of +21. 2%, compared to -27. 6% for Heartland Express, Inc. (HTLD). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: HUBG returned +122. 3% versus HTLD's -19. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — HUBG or HTLD?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Hub Group, Inc.
(HUBG) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 21β versus Heartland Express, Inc. 's 1. 37β — meaning HTLD is approximately 13% more volatile than HUBG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Heartland Express, Inc. (HTLD) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 21% versus 30% for Hub Group, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — HUBG or HTLD?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Hub Group, Inc.
(HUBG) is pulling ahead at -6. 1% versus -23. 1% for Heartland Express, Inc. (HTLD). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Hub Group, Inc. grew EPS -35. 1% year-over-year, compared to -76. 3% for Heartland Express, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, HUBG leads at -2. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — HUBG or HTLD?
Hub Group, Inc.
(HUBG) is the more profitable company, earning 2. 6% net margin versus -6. 5% for Heartland Express, Inc. — meaning it keeps 2. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: HUBG leads at 3. 6% versus -7. 7% for HTLD. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — HUBG leads at 85. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is HUBG or HTLD more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for HUBG: 3.
1% to $44. 33.
07Which pays a better dividend — HUBG or HTLD?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) offers the highest yield at 1. 2%, versus 0. 6% for Heartland Express, Inc. (HTLD).
08Is HUBG or HTLD better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Hub Group, Inc.
(HUBG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 21), 1. 2% yield, +122. 3% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (HUBG: +122. 3%, HTLD: -19. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between HUBG and HTLD?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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