Agricultural Inputs
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ICL vs SMG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Agricultural Inputs
ICL vs SMG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Agricultural Inputs | Agricultural Inputs |
| Market Cap | $7.25B | $3.65B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $7.05B | $3.35B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $369M | $90M |
| Gross Margin | 31.9% | 31.0% |
| Operating Margin | 10.6% | 11.7% |
| Forward P/E | 14.6x | 14.3x |
| Total Debt | $2.76B | $2.38B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $291M | $37M |
ICL vs SMG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICL Group Ltd (ICL) | 100 | 162.4 | +62.4% |
| The Scotts Miracle-… (SMG) | 100 | 44.1 | -55.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ICL vs SMG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ICL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.65, yield 3.1%
- Rev growth 4.6%, EPS growth -43.8%, 3Y rev CAGR -10.6%
- 86.6% 10Y total return vs SMG's 34.9%
SMG is the clearest fit if your priority is value and dividends.
- Lower P/E (14.3x vs 14.6x)
- 4.2% yield, vs ICL's 3.1%
- +19.3% vs ICL's -15.2%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.6% revenue growth vs SMG's -3.9% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (14.3x vs 14.6x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 5.2% margin vs SMG's 2.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.65 vs SMG's 1.10 | |
| Dividends | 4.2% yield, vs ICL's 3.1% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +19.3% vs ICL's -15.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 3.0% ROA vs SMG's 2.9%, ROIC 6.3% vs 13.3% |
ICL vs SMG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
ICL vs SMG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ICL leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ICL is the larger business by revenue, generating $7.1B annually — 2.1x SMG's $3.4B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 5.2% (ICL) to 2.7% (SMG). On growth, ICL holds the edge at +5.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $7.1B | $3.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.3B | $466M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $369M | $90M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $317M | $358M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +31.9% | +31.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +10.6% | +11.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +5.2% | +2.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +4.5% | +10.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +5.7% | -15.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -1.0% | -78.5% |
Valuation Metrics
SMG leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 25.4x trailing earnings, SMG trades at a 19% valuation discount to ICL's 31.2x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, ICL's 7.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than SMG's 13.8x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $7.3B | $3.6B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $9.7B | $6.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 31.22x | 25.45x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 14.61x | 14.34x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.55x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 7.37x | 13.82x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.01x | 1.07x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.16x | — |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 55.80x | 13.32x |
Profitability & Efficiency
SMG leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), SMG scores 7/9 vs ICL's 3/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +5.8% | — |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +3.0% | +2.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.3% | +13.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +7.7% | +17.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.44x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.5B | $2.3B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $291M | $37M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.8B | $2.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.71x | 3.08x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
ICL leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ICL five years ago would be worth $10,767 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,161 for SMG. Over the past 12 months, SMG leads with a +19.3% total return vs ICL's -15.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ICL at 0.5% vs SMG's -0.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -2.1% | +6.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -15.2% | +19.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +1.4% | -2.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +7.7% | -68.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +86.6% | +34.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +0.5% | -0.8% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — ICL and SMG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ICL is the less volatile stock with a 0.65 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SMG's 1.10 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SMG currently trades 86.9% from its 52-week high vs ICL's 76.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.65x | 1.10x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $7.35 | $72.35 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $4.76 | $52.00 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +76.5% | +86.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 61.3 | 41.3 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.6M | 948K |
Analyst Outlook
SMG leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ICL as "Hold" and SMG as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 14.6% upside for SMG (target: $72) vs 9.4% for ICL (target: $6). For income investors, SMG offers the higher dividend yield at 4.18% vs ICL's 3.09%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $6.15 | $72.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 4 | 17 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.1% | +4.2% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.17 | $2.63 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.5% |
SMG leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). ICL leads in 2 (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). 1 tied.
ICL vs SMG: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ICL or SMG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, ICL Group Ltd (ICL) is the stronger pick with 4.
6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -3. 9% for The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG). The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) offers the better valuation at 25. 4x trailing P/E (14. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) a "Buy" — based on 17 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — ICL or SMG?
On trailing P/E, The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) is the cheapest at 25.
4x versus ICL Group Ltd at 31. 2x. On forward P/E, The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company is actually cheaper at 14. 3x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — ICL or SMG?
Over the past 5 years, ICL Group Ltd (ICL) delivered a total return of +7.
7%, compared to -68. 4% for The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ICL returned +86. 6% versus SMG's +34. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — ICL or SMG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), ICL Group Ltd (ICL) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
65β versus The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company's 1. 10β — meaning SMG is approximately 68% more volatile than ICL relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — ICL or SMG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), ICL Group Ltd (ICL) is pulling ahead at 4.
6% versus -3. 9% for The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company grew EPS 504. 9% year-over-year, compared to -43. 8% for ICL Group Ltd. Over a 3-year CAGR, SMG leads at -4. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — ICL or SMG?
The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) is the more profitable company, earning 4.
3% net margin versus 3. 2% for ICL Group Ltd — meaning it keeps 4. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: SMG leads at 10. 5% versus 9. 8% for ICL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SMG leads at 30. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is ICL or SMG more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) trades at 14.
3x forward P/E versus 14. 6x for ICL Group Ltd — 0. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for SMG: 14. 6% to $72. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — ICL or SMG?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) offers the highest yield at 4. 2%, versus 3. 1% for ICL Group Ltd (ICL).
09Is ICL or SMG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, ICL Group Ltd (ICL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
65), 3. 1% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (ICL: +86. 6%, SMG: +34. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between ICL and SMG?
Both stocks operate in the Basic Materials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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