Food Confectioners
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2 / 10Stock Comparison
K vs CAG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaged Foods
K vs CAG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Food Confectioners | Packaged Foods |
| Market Cap | $29.03B | $6.73B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $12.64B | $11.18B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.33B | $13M |
| Gross Margin | 36.1% | 24.6% |
| Operating Margin | 14.7% | 13.1% |
| Forward P/E | 22.1x | 8.3x |
| Total Debt | $6.34B | $8.31B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $694M | $68M |
K vs CAG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | Dec 25 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kellanova (K) | 100 | 136.2 | +36.2% |
| Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) | 100 | 51.3 | -48.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: K vs CAG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
K carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth -2.8%, EPS growth 40.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 2.8%
- 48.3% 10Y total return vs CAG's -27.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.05, current ratio 0.81x
CAG is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and valuation efficiency.
- Dividend streak 6 yrs, beta 0.06, yield 9.9%
- PEG 1.19 vs K's 3.27
- Lower P/E (8.3x vs 22.1x), PEG 1.19 vs 3.27
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -2.8% revenue growth vs CAG's -4.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (8.3x vs 22.1x), PEG 1.19 vs 3.27 | |
| Quality / Margins | 10.6% margin vs CAG's 0.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.05 vs CAG's 0.06 | |
| Dividends | 9.9% yield, 6-year raise streak, vs K's 2.7% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +3.2% vs CAG's -33.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 8.4% ROA vs CAG's 0.1%, ROIC 14.7% vs 6.0% |
K vs CAG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
K vs CAG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
K leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
K and CAG operate at a comparable scale, with $12.6B and $11.2B in trailing revenue. K is the more profitable business, keeping 10.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to CAG's 0.1%. On growth, K holds the edge at +0.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $12.6B | $11.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2.2B | $1.9B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.3B | $13M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $650M | $634M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +36.1% | +24.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +14.7% | +13.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +10.6% | +0.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +5.1% | +5.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +0.3% | -6.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -15.0% | -3.4% |
Valuation Metrics
CAG leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 5.8x trailing earnings, CAG trades at a 73% valuation discount to K's 21.5x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), CAG offers better value at 0.84x vs K's 3.19x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $29.0B | $6.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $34.7B | $15.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 21.51x | 5.84x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 22.06x | 8.28x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 3.19x | 0.84x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 15.48x | 8.53x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.28x | 0.58x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 7.44x | 0.75x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 25.65x | 5.17x |
Profitability & Efficiency
K leads this category, winning 8 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
K delivers a 31.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $32 in annual profit, vs $0 for CAG. CAG carries lower financial leverage with a 0.93x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to K's 1.63x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), K scores 7/9 vs CAG's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +31.7% | +0.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +8.4% | +0.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +14.7% | +6.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +17.4% | +8.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.63x | 0.93x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $5.6B | $8.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $694M | $68M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $6.3B | $8.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 6.41x | 1.56x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
K leads this category, winning 5 of 5 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in K five years ago would be worth $14,843 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,463 for CAG. Over the past 12 months, K leads with a +3.2% total return vs CAG's -33.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors K at 10.3% vs CAG's -21.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | — | -14.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +3.2% | -33.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +34.4% | -51.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +48.4% | -45.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +48.3% | -27.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +10.3% | -21.5% |
Risk & Volatility
K leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
K is the less volatile stock with a 0.05 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CAG's 0.06 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. K currently trades 99.7% from its 52-week high vs CAG's 59.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.05x | 0.06x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $83.65 | $23.56 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $76.48 | $13.61 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +99.7% | +59.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 60.6 | 34.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 42.7M | 14.1M |
Analyst Outlook
CAG leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates K as "Hold" and CAG as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 24.7% upside for CAG (target: $18) vs -11.3% for K (target: $74). For income investors, CAG offers the higher dividend yield at 9.94% vs K's 2.69%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $74.03 | $17.55 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 34 | 25 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.7% | +9.9% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 6 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $2.24 | $1.40 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +1.0% |
K leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). CAG leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook).
K vs CAG: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is K or CAG a better buy right now?
Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) offers the better valuation at 5. 8x trailing P/E (8. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Kellanova (K) a "Hold" — based on 34 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — K or CAG?
On trailing P/E, Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) is the cheapest at 5. 8x versus Kellanova at 21. 5x. On forward P/E, Conagra Brands, Inc. is actually cheaper at 8. 3x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Conagra Brands, Inc. wins at 1. 19x versus Kellanova's 3. 27x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — K or CAG?
Over the past 5 years, Kellanova (K) delivered a total return of +48.
4%, compared to -45. 4% for Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: K returned +48. 3% versus CAG's -27. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — K or CAG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Kellanova (K) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
05β versus Conagra Brands, Inc. 's 0. 06β — meaning CAG is approximately 14% more volatile than K relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 93% versus 163% for Kellanova — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — K or CAG?
On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Kellanova grew EPS 40.
6% year-over-year, compared to 0. 0% for Conagra Brands, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, K leads at 2. 8% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — K or CAG?
Kellanova (K) is the more profitable company, earning 10.
5% net margin versus 9. 9% for Conagra Brands, Inc. — meaning it keeps 10. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: K leads at 14. 7% versus 11. 8% for CAG. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — K leads at 36. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is K or CAG more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 19x versus Kellanova's 3. 27x. A PEG below 1. 5 suggests fair-to-attractive pricing relative to expected growth. On forward earnings alone, Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) trades at 8. 3x forward P/E versus 22. 1x for Kellanova — 13. 8x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CAG: 24. 7% to $17. 55.
08Which pays a better dividend — K or CAG?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) offers the highest yield at 9. 9%, versus 2. 7% for Kellanova (K).
09Is K or CAG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Kellanova (K) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
05), 2. 7% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (K: +48. 3%, CAG: -27. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between K and CAG?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: K is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; CAG is a small-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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