Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
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KDP vs CELH
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
KDP vs CELH — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Beverages - Non-Alcoholic | Beverages - Non-Alcoholic |
| Market Cap | $38.80B | $8.43B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $16.94B | $2.52B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.83B | $108M |
| Gross Margin | 53.8% | 50.4% |
| Operating Margin | 21.3% | 8.8% |
| Forward P/E | 12.5x | 20.4x |
| Total Debt | $16.14B | $670M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.03B | $399M |
KDP vs CELH — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keurig Dr Pepper In… (KDP) | 100 | 102.3 | +2.3% |
| Celsius Holdings, I… (CELH) | 100 | 1061.5 | +961.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: KDP vs CELH
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
KDP carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 7 yrs, beta 0.15, yield 3.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.15, Low D/E 63.3%, current ratio 0.64x
- Beta 0.15, yield 3.2%, current ratio 0.64x
CELH is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 85.5%, EPS growth -44.4%, 3Y rev CAGR 56.7%
- 39.0% 10Y total return vs KDP's 8.4%
- PEG 0.44 vs KDP's 1.20
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 85.5% revenue growth vs KDP's 8.2% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (12.5x vs 20.4x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 10.8% margin vs CELH's 4.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.15 vs CELH's 1.29 | |
| Dividends | 3.2% yield, 7-year raise streak, vs CELH's 0.5% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -7.7% vs KDP's -13.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 3.1% ROA vs CELH's 2.7%, ROIC 6.7% vs 19.7% |
KDP vs CELH — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
KDP vs CELH — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — KDP and CELH each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
KDP is the larger business by revenue, generating $16.9B annually — 6.7x CELH's $2.5B. KDP is the more profitable business, keeping 10.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to CELH's 4.3%. On growth, CELH holds the edge at +117.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $16.9B | $2.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $3.9B | $251M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.8B | $108M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.6B | $323M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +53.8% | +50.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +21.3% | +8.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +10.8% | +4.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +9.3% | +12.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +9.4% | +117.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -47.4% | +130.8% |
Valuation Metrics
KDP leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 18.7x trailing earnings, KDP trades at a 86% valuation discount to CELH's 131.2x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), KDP offers better value at 1.78x vs CELH's 2.80x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $38.8B | $8.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $53.9B | $8.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 18.67x | 131.20x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 12.55x | 20.41x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 1.78x | 2.80x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 12.25x | 17.47x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.34x | 3.35x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.53x | 2.64x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 25.78x | 26.06x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CELH leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
KDP delivers a 7.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $7 in annual profit, vs $5 for CELH. CELH carries lower financial leverage with a 0.23x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to KDP's 0.63x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), KDP scores 7/9 vs CELH's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +7.0% | +4.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +3.1% | +2.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.7% | +19.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +7.9% | +17.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.63x | 0.23x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $15.1B | $271M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.0B | $399M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $16.1B | $670M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.68x | 3.28x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — KDP and CELH each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CELH five years ago would be worth $19,771 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $9,019 for KDP. Over the past 12 months, CELH leads with a -7.7% total return vs KDP's -13.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors KDP at -1.7% vs CELH's -2.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +4.7% | -31.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -13.6% | -7.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -4.9% | -7.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -9.8% | +97.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +842.9% | +3900.0% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -1.7% | -2.7% |
Risk & Volatility
KDP leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
KDP is the less volatile stock with a 0.15 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CELH's 1.29 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. KDP currently trades 79.5% from its 52-week high vs CELH's 49.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.15x | 1.29x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $35.94 | $66.74 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $24.88 | $31.80 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +79.5% | +49.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 62.1 | 41.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 11.0M | 6.9M |
Analyst Outlook
KDP leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates KDP as "Buy" and CELH as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 79.9% upside for CELH (target: $59) vs 13.2% for KDP (target: $32). For income investors, KDP offers the higher dividend yield at 3.21% vs CELH's 0.48%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $32.33 | $59.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 28 | 22 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.2% | +0.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 7 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.92 | $0.16 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.0% | +0.5% |
KDP leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Risk & Volatility). CELH leads in 1 (Profitability & Efficiency). 2 tied.
KDP vs CELH: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is KDP or CELH a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Celsius Holdings, Inc.
(CELH) is the stronger pick with 85. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 8. 2% for Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP). Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) offers the better valuation at 18. 7x trailing P/E (12. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) a "Buy" — based on 28 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — KDP or CELH?
On trailing P/E, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
(KDP) is the cheapest at 18. 7x versus Celsius Holdings, Inc. at 131. 2x. On forward P/E, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is actually cheaper at 12. 5x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Celsius Holdings, Inc. wins at 0. 44x versus Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. 's 1. 20x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — KDP or CELH?
Over the past 5 years, Celsius Holdings, Inc.
(CELH) delivered a total return of +97. 7%, compared to -9. 8% for Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CELH returned +39. 0% versus KDP's +842. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — KDP or CELH?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
(KDP) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 15β versus Celsius Holdings, Inc. 's 1. 29β — meaning CELH is approximately 737% more volatile than KDP relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Celsius Holdings, Inc. (CELH) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 23% versus 63% for Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — KDP or CELH?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Celsius Holdings, Inc.
(CELH) is pulling ahead at 85. 5% versus 8. 2% for Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. grew EPS 45. 7% year-over-year, compared to -44. 4% for Celsius Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CELH leads at 56. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — KDP or CELH?
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
(KDP) is the more profitable company, earning 12. 5% net margin versus 4. 3% for Celsius Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 12. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: KDP leads at 22. 0% versus 18. 6% for CELH. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — KDP leads at 52. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is KDP or CELH more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Celsius Holdings, Inc. (CELH) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 44x versus Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. 's 1. 20x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) trades at 12. 5x forward P/E versus 20. 4x for Celsius Holdings, Inc. — 7. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CELH: 79. 9% to $59. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — KDP or CELH?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) offers the highest yield at 3. 2%, versus 0. 5% for Celsius Holdings, Inc. (CELH).
09Is KDP or CELH better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
(KDP) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 15), 3. 2% yield, +842. 9% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (KDP: +842. 9%, CELH: +39. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between KDP and CELH?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: KDP is a mid-cap income-oriented stock; CELH is a small-cap high-growth stock. KDP pays a dividend while CELH does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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