Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
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KDP vs PEP
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
KDP vs PEP — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Beverages - Non-Alcoholic | Beverages - Non-Alcoholic |
| Market Cap | $38.80B | $213.14B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $16.94B | $93.92B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.83B | $8.24B |
| Gross Margin | 53.8% | 54.1% |
| Operating Margin | 21.3% | 12.2% |
| Forward P/E | 12.5x | 18.0x |
| Total Debt | $16.14B | $49.90B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.03B | $9.16B |
KDP vs PEP — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keurig Dr Pepper In… (KDP) | 100 | 102.3 | +2.3% |
| PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) | 100 | 118.6 | +18.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: KDP vs PEP
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
KDP is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 8.2%, EPS growth 45.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 5.7%
- 8.4% 10Y total return vs PEP's 89.5%
- PEG 1.20 vs PEP's 5.52
PEP carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 25 yrs, beta 0.03, yield 3.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.03, current ratio 0.85x
- Beta 0.03, yield 3.6%, current ratio 0.85x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 8.2% revenue growth vs PEP's 2.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (12.5x vs 18.0x), PEG 1.20 vs 5.52 | |
| Quality / Margins | 10.8% margin vs PEP's 8.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.03 vs KDP's 0.15 | |
| Dividends | 3.6% yield, 25-year raise streak, vs KDP's 3.2% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +23.6% vs KDP's -13.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 7.7% ROA vs KDP's 3.1%, ROIC 14.9% vs 6.7% |
KDP vs PEP — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
KDP vs PEP — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
KDP leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PEP is the larger business by revenue, generating $93.9B annually — 5.5x KDP's $16.9B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 10.8% (KDP) to 8.8% (PEP). On growth, KDP holds the edge at +9.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $16.9B | $93.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $3.9B | $14.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.8B | $8.2B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.6B | $7.7B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +53.8% | +54.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +21.3% | +12.2% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +10.8% | +8.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +9.3% | +8.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +9.4% | +5.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -47.4% | +66.7% |
Valuation Metrics
KDP leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 18.7x trailing earnings, KDP trades at a 28% valuation discount to PEP's 26.0x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), KDP offers better value at 1.78x vs PEP's 7.97x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $38.8B | $213.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $53.9B | $253.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 18.67x | 25.99x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 12.55x | 18.01x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 1.78x | 7.97x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 12.25x | 17.75x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.34x | 2.27x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.53x | 10.41x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 25.78x | 27.78x |
Profitability & Efficiency
PEP leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
PEP delivers a 40.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $40 in annual profit, vs $7 for KDP. KDP carries lower financial leverage with a 0.63x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to PEP's 2.43x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), KDP scores 7/9 vs PEP's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +7.0% | +40.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +3.1% | +7.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.7% | +14.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +7.9% | +16.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.63x | 2.43x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $15.1B | $40.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.0B | $9.2B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $16.1B | $49.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.68x | 10.34x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — KDP and PEP each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in PEP five years ago would be worth $12,437 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $9,019 for KDP. Over the past 12 months, PEP leads with a +23.6% total return vs KDP's -13.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors KDP at -1.7% vs PEP's -3.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +4.7% | +10.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -13.6% | +23.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -4.9% | -11.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -9.8% | +24.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +842.9% | +89.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -1.7% | -3.8% |
Risk & Volatility
PEP leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
PEP is the less volatile stock with a 0.03 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than KDP's 0.15 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. PEP currently trades 90.9% from its 52-week high vs KDP's 79.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.15x | 0.03x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $35.94 | $171.48 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $24.88 | $127.60 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +79.5% | +90.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 62.1 | 47.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 11.0M | 5.7M |
Analyst Outlook
PEP leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates KDP as "Buy" and PEP as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 13.2% upside for KDP (target: $32) vs 11.6% for PEP (target: $174). For income investors, PEP offers the higher dividend yield at 3.57% vs KDP's 3.21%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $32.33 | $174.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 28 | 45 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.2% | +3.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 7 | 25 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.92 | $5.57 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.0% | +0.5% |
PEP leads in 3 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Risk & Volatility). KDP leads in 2 (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
KDP vs PEP: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is KDP or PEP a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
(KDP) is the stronger pick with 8. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 2. 3% for PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP). Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) offers the better valuation at 18. 7x trailing P/E (12. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) a "Buy" — based on 28 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — KDP or PEP?
On trailing P/E, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
(KDP) is the cheapest at 18. 7x versus PepsiCo, Inc. at 26. 0x. On forward P/E, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is actually cheaper at 12. 5x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. wins at 1. 20x versus PepsiCo, Inc. 's 5. 52x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — KDP or PEP?
Over the past 5 years, PepsiCo, Inc.
(PEP) delivered a total return of +24. 4%, compared to -9. 8% for Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: KDP returned +842. 9% versus PEP's +89. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — KDP or PEP?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), PepsiCo, Inc.
(PEP) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 03β versus Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. 's 0. 15β — meaning KDP is approximately 386% more volatile than PEP relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 63% versus 2% for PepsiCo, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — KDP or PEP?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
(KDP) is pulling ahead at 8. 2% versus 2. 3% for PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. grew EPS 45. 7% year-over-year, compared to -13. 7% for PepsiCo, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, KDP leads at 5. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — KDP or PEP?
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
(KDP) is the more profitable company, earning 12. 5% net margin versus 8. 8% for PepsiCo, Inc. — meaning it keeps 12. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: KDP leads at 22. 0% versus 12. 2% for PEP. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — PEP leads at 54. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is KDP or PEP more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 20x versus PepsiCo, Inc. 's 5. 52x. A PEG below 1. 5 suggests fair-to-attractive pricing relative to expected growth. On forward earnings alone, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) trades at 12. 5x forward P/E versus 18. 0x for PepsiCo, Inc. — 5. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for KDP: 13. 2% to $32. 33.
08Which pays a better dividend — KDP or PEP?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) offers the highest yield at 3. 6%, versus 3. 2% for Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP).
09Is KDP or PEP better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
(KDP) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 15), 3. 2% yield, +842. 9% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (KDP: +842. 9%, PEP: +89. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between KDP and PEP?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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