Packaged Foods
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KHC vs SJM
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaged Foods
KHC vs SJM — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods |
| Market Cap | $28.05B | $10.58B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $24.99B | $8.93B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-5.76B | $-1.26B |
| Gross Margin | 33.9% | 33.6% |
| Operating Margin | -18.9% | -8.0% |
| Forward P/E | 11.6x | 11.0x |
| Total Debt | $21.22B | $7.76B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $2.62B | $70M |
KHC vs SJM — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Kraft Heinz Com… (KHC) | 100 | 77.6 | -22.4% |
| The J. M. Smucker C… (SJM) | 100 | 87.3 | -12.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: KHC vs SJM
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
KHC is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night and defensive.
- Lower volatility, beta 0.15, Low D/E 50.8%, current ratio 1.15x
- Beta 0.15, yield 6.8%, current ratio 1.15x
- 6.8% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs SJM's 4.3%
SJM carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 15 yrs, beta 0.04, yield 4.3%
- Rev growth 6.7%, EPS growth -262.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 2.9%
- 5.6% 10Y total return vs KHC's -50.2%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 6.7% revenue growth vs KHC's -3.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (11.0x vs 11.6x) | |
| Quality / Margins | -14.1% margin vs KHC's -23.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.04 vs KHC's 0.15 | |
| Dividends | 6.8% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs SJM's 4.3% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -7.5% vs KHC's -10.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -7.0% ROA vs SJM's -7.7%, ROIC -5.5% vs -3.4% |
KHC vs SJM — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
KHC vs SJM — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — KHC and SJM each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
KHC is the larger business by revenue, generating $25.0B annually — 2.8x SJM's $8.9B. SJM is the more profitable business, keeping -14.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to KHC's -23.0%. On growth, SJM holds the edge at +7.0% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $25.0B | $8.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$4.0B | -$595M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$5.8B | -$1.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $3.9B | $971M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +33.9% | +33.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -18.9% | -8.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -23.0% | -14.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +15.8% | +10.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +0.8% | +7.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +11.7% | -9.3% |
Valuation Metrics
KHC leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $28.1B | $10.6B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $46.7B | $18.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -4.80x | -8.59x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 11.63x | 11.01x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.12x | 1.21x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.67x | 1.74x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 7.66x | 12.96x |
Profitability & Efficiency
SJM leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
KHC delivers a -13.8% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-14 in annual profit, vs $-24 for SJM. KHC carries lower financial leverage with a 0.51x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to SJM's 1.28x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -13.8% | -24.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -7.0% | -7.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -5.5% | -3.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -6.1% | -4.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.51x | 1.28x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $18.6B | $7.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $2.6B | $70M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $21.2B | $7.8B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -6.02x | -1.88x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SJM leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SJM five years ago would be worth $8,802 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $7,281 for KHC. Over the past 12 months, SJM leads with a -7.5% total return vs KHC's -10.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SJM at -10.6% vs KHC's -11.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -1.4% | +4.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -10.5% | -7.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -30.7% | -28.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -27.2% | -12.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -50.2% | +5.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -11.5% | -10.6% |
Risk & Volatility
SJM leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SJM is the less volatile stock with a 0.04 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than KHC's 0.15 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.15x | 0.04x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $29.19 | $119.39 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $21.04 | $88.25 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +81.0% | +83.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 58.7 | 50.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 15.2M | 2.1M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — KHC and SJM each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates KHC as "Hold" and SJM as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 14.0% upside for SJM (target: $113) vs -1.2% for KHC (target: $23). For income investors, KHC offers the higher dividend yield at 6.76% vs SJM's 4.30%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $23.38 | $113.38 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 35 | 29 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +6.8% | +4.3% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 15 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.60 | $4.28 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.6% | +0.0% |
SJM leads in 3 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). KHC leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
KHC vs SJM: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is KHC or SJM a better buy right now?
For growth investors, The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) is the stronger pick with 6. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -3. 5% for The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC). Analysts rate The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) a "Hold" — based on 35 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — KHC or SJM?
Over the past 5 years, The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) delivered a total return of -12. 0%, compared to -27. 2% for The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SJM returned +5. 6% versus KHC's -50. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — KHC or SJM?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 04β versus The Kraft Heinz Company's 0. 15β — meaning KHC is approximately 244% more volatile than SJM relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 51% versus 128% for The J. M. Smucker Company — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — KHC or SJM?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) is pulling ahead at 6. 7% versus -3. 5% for The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: The J. M. Smucker Company grew EPS -262. 3% year-over-year, compared to -318. 1% for The Kraft Heinz Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, SJM leads at 2. 9% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — KHC or SJM?
The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) is the more profitable company, earning -14. 1% net margin versus -23. 4% for The Kraft Heinz Company — meaning it keeps -14. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: SJM leads at -7. 7% versus -18. 7% for KHC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SJM leads at 38. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is KHC or SJM more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) trades at 11. 0x forward P/E versus 11. 6x for The Kraft Heinz Company — 0. 6x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for SJM: 14. 0% to $113. 38.
07Which pays a better dividend — KHC or SJM?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) offers the highest yield at 6. 8%, versus 4. 3% for The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM).
08Is KHC or SJM better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 04), 4. 3% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (SJM: +5. 6%, KHC: -50. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between KHC and SJM?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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