Education & Training Services
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LINC vs LOPE
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Education & Training Services
LINC vs LOPE — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Education & Training Services | Education & Training Services |
| Market Cap | $1.42B | $4.47B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $518M | $817M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $20M | $220M |
| Gross Margin | 56.7% | 51.6% |
| Operating Margin | 5.9% | 38.0% |
| Forward P/E | 64.3x | 16.3x |
| Total Debt | $204M | $200M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $29M | $112M |
LINC vs LOPE — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Educational… (LINC) | 100 | 1153.8 | +1053.8% |
| Grand Canyon Educat… (LOPE) | 100 | 168.6 | +68.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: LINC vs LOPE
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
LINC is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 17.8%, EPS growth 103.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 14.2%
- 22.3% 10Y total return vs LOPE's 274.5%
- 17.8% revenue growth vs LOPE's 7.1%
LOPE carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.35
- Lower volatility, beta 0.35, Low D/E 26.8%, current ratio 3.65x
- Beta 0.35, current ratio 3.65x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 17.8% revenue growth vs LOPE's 7.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (16.3x vs 64.3x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 26.9% margin vs LINC's 3.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.35 vs LINC's 0.78, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +144.4% vs LOPE's -11.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 21.9% ROA vs LINC's 4.1%, ROIC 32.5% vs 6.8% |
LINC vs LOPE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
LINC vs LOPE — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — LINC and LOPE each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
LOPE is the larger business by revenue, generating $817M annually — 1.6x LINC's $518M. LOPE is the more profitable business, keeping 26.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to LINC's 3.9%. On growth, LINC holds the edge at +19.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $518M | $817M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $47M | $341M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $20M | $220M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$27M | $260M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +56.7% | +51.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +5.9% | +38.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +3.9% | +26.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -5.3% | +31.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +19.7% | -100.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +90.9% | +11.1% |
Valuation Metrics
LOPE leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 21.3x trailing earnings, LOPE trades at a 69% valuation discount to LINC's 69.2x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, LOPE's 13.3x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than LINC's 32.3x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.4B | $4.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.6B | $4.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 69.23x | 21.34x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 64.29x | 16.30x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 2.97x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 32.31x | 13.26x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.75x | 4.04x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 7.04x | 6.17x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 18.71x |
Profitability & Efficiency
LOPE leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
LOPE delivers a 29.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $30 in annual profit, vs $10 for LINC. LOPE carries lower financial leverage with a 0.27x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to LINC's 1.02x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +10.0% | +29.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +4.1% | +21.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.8% | +32.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +8.2% | +33.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.02x | 0.27x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $175M | $88M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $29M | $112M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $204M | $200M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 9.65x | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
LINC leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in LINC five years ago would be worth $65,312 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $18,326 for LOPE. Over the past 12 months, LINC leads with a +144.4% total return vs LOPE's -11.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors LINC at 94.0% vs LOPE's 13.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +93.1% | -0.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +144.4% | -11.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +630.5% | +47.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +553.1% | +83.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +2231.6% | +274.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +94.0% | +13.7% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — LINC and LOPE each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
LOPE is the less volatile stock with a 0.35 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than LINC's 0.78 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. LINC currently trades 98.9% from its 52-week high vs LOPE's 73.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.78x | 0.35x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $45.48 | $223.04 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $17.29 | $149.37 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +98.9% | +73.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 70.9 | 51.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 464K | 245K |
Analyst Outlook
LOPE leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates LINC as "Buy" and LOPE as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 10.8% upside for LOPE (target: $182) vs -13.8% for LINC (target: $39).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $38.80 | $182.33 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 15 | 18 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +5.9% |
LOPE leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). LINC leads in 1 (Total Returns). 2 tied.
LINC vs LOPE: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is LINC or LOPE a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) is the stronger pick with 17.
8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 7. 1% for Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE). Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) offers the better valuation at 21. 3x trailing P/E (16. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) a "Buy" — based on 15 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — LINC or LOPE?
On trailing P/E, Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
(LOPE) is the cheapest at 21. 3x versus Lincoln Educational Services Corporation at 69. 2x. On forward P/E, Grand Canyon Education, Inc. is actually cheaper at 16. 3x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — LINC or LOPE?
Over the past 5 years, Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) delivered a total return of +553.
1%, compared to +83. 3% for Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: LINC returned +22. 3% versus LOPE's +274. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — LINC or LOPE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
(LOPE) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 35β versus Lincoln Educational Services Corporation's 0. 78β — meaning LINC is approximately 120% more volatile than LOPE relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 27% versus 102% for Lincoln Educational Services Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — LINC or LOPE?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) is pulling ahead at 17.
8% versus 7. 1% for Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Lincoln Educational Services Corporation grew EPS 103. 1% year-over-year, compared to -0. 3% for Grand Canyon Education, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, LINC leads at 14. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — LINC or LOPE?
Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
(LOPE) is the more profitable company, earning 19. 5% net margin versus 3. 9% for Lincoln Educational Services Corporation — meaning it keeps 19. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: LOPE leads at 27. 5% versus 5. 8% for LINC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — LINC leads at 56. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is LINC or LOPE more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
(LOPE) trades at 16. 3x forward P/E versus 64. 3x for Lincoln Educational Services Corporation — 48. 0x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for LOPE: 10. 8% to $182. 33.
08Which pays a better dividend — LINC or LOPE?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is LINC or LOPE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
(LOPE) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 35), +274. 5% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (LOPE: +274. 5%, LINC: +22. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between LINC and LOPE?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: LINC is a small-cap high-growth stock; LOPE is a small-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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