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LNZA vs LYB
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Chemicals - Specialty
LNZA vs LYB — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Waste Management | Chemicals - Specialty |
| Market Cap | $53M | $23.04B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $40M | $22.48B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-76M | $-774M |
| Gross Margin | 29.0% | -19.3% |
| Operating Margin | -265.8% | -0.9% |
| Forward P/E | — | 9.9x |
| Total Debt | $82M | $15.96B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $43M | $3.45B |
LNZA vs LYB — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Sep 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| LanzaTech Global, I… (LNZA) | 100 | 2.3 | -97.7% |
| LyondellBasell Indu… (LYB) | 100 | 76.2 | -23.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: LNZA vs LYB
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
LNZA is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth -20.8%, EPS growth 11.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 24.9%
- -20.8% revenue growth vs LYB's -25.2%
LYB carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 0.38, yield 7.7%
- 48.6% 10Y total return vs LNZA's -97.7%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.38, current ratio 1.77x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -20.8% revenue growth vs LYB's -25.2% | |
| Quality / Margins | -3.4% margin vs LNZA's -190.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.38 vs LNZA's 1.64, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 7.7% yield; 2-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +37.2% vs LNZA's -5.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -3.0% ROA vs LNZA's -58.8%, ROIC -1.1% vs -147.7% |
LNZA vs LYB — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
LNZA vs LYB — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — LNZA and LYB each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
LYB is the larger business by revenue, generating $22.5B annually — 563.6x LNZA's $40M. LYB is the more profitable business, keeping -3.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to LNZA's -190.2%. On growth, LNZA holds the edge at -6.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $40M | $22.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$102M | $865M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$76M | -$774M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$81M | $3.1B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +29.0% | -19.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -2.7% | -0.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -190.2% | -3.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -2.0% | +13.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -6.7% | -100.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +103.4% | -100.0% |
Valuation Metrics
LYB leads this category, winning 3 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $53M | $23.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $91M | $35.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -0.32x | -30.43x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 9.92x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 33.44x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.06x | 0.76x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.33x | 2.26x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 59.99x |
Profitability & Efficiency
LYB leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
LYB delivers a -7.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-7 in annual profit, vs $-2 for LNZA. LYB carries lower financial leverage with a 1.56x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to LNZA's 6.09x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -2.2% | -7.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -58.8% | -3.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -147.7% | -1.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -60.8% | -1.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 6.09x | 1.56x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $38M | $12.5B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $43M | $3.4B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $82M | $16.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | -1.42x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
LYB leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in LYB five years ago would be worth $8,867 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $229 for LNZA. Over the past 12 months, LYB leads with a +37.2% total return vs LNZA's -5.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors LYB at -1.9% vs LNZA's -59.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +61.8% | +62.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -5.2% | +37.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -93.4% | -5.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -97.7% | -11.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -97.7% | +48.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -59.7% | -1.9% |
Risk & Volatility
LYB leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
LYB is the less volatile stock with a 0.38 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than LNZA's 1.64 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. LYB currently trades 85.2% from its 52-week high vs LNZA's 31.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.64x | 0.38x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $71.19 | $83.94 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $7.88 | $41.58 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +31.8% | +85.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 46.1 | 50.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 49K | 8.1M |
Analyst Outlook
LYB leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates LNZA as "Hold" and LYB as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 2.9% upside for LYB (target: $74) vs -75.7% for LNZA (target: $6). LYB is the only dividend payer here at 7.66% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $5.50 | $73.60 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 4 | 39 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +7.7% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $5.48 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.1% | +0.9% |
LYB leads in 5 of 6 categories — strongest in Valuation Metrics and Profitability & Efficiency. 1 category is tied.
LNZA vs LYB: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is LNZA or LYB a better buy right now?
For growth investors, LanzaTech Global, Inc.
(LNZA) is the stronger pick with -20. 8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -25. 2% for LyondellBasell Industries N. V. (LYB). Analysts rate LanzaTech Global, Inc. (LNZA) a "Hold" — based on 4 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — LNZA or LYB?
Over the past 5 years, LyondellBasell Industries N.
V. (LYB) delivered a total return of -11. 3%, compared to -97. 7% for LanzaTech Global, Inc. (LNZA). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: LYB returned +48. 6% versus LNZA's -97. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — LNZA or LYB?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), LyondellBasell Industries N.
V. (LYB) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 38β versus LanzaTech Global, Inc. 's 1. 64β — meaning LNZA is approximately 331% more volatile than LYB relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, LyondellBasell Industries N. V. (LYB) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 156% versus 6% for LanzaTech Global, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — LNZA or LYB?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), LanzaTech Global, Inc.
(LNZA) is pulling ahead at -20. 8% versus -25. 2% for LyondellBasell Industries N. V. (LYB). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: LanzaTech Global, Inc. grew EPS 11. 2% year-over-year, compared to -156. 6% for LyondellBasell Industries N. V.. Over a 3-year CAGR, LNZA leads at 24. 9% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — LNZA or LYB?
LyondellBasell Industries N.
V. (LYB) is the more profitable company, earning -2. 5% net margin versus -277. 7% for LanzaTech Global, Inc. — meaning it keeps -2. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: LYB leads at -1. 1% versus -219. 7% for LNZA. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — LNZA leads at 47. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is LNZA or LYB more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for LYB: 2.
9% to $73. 60.
07Which pays a better dividend — LNZA or LYB?
In this comparison, LYB (7.
7% yield) pays a dividend. LNZA does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is LNZA or LYB better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, LyondellBasell Industries N.
V. (LYB) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 38), 7. 7% yield). LanzaTech Global, Inc. (LNZA) carries a higher beta of 1. 64 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (LYB: +48. 6%, LNZA: -97. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between LNZA and LYB?
These companies operate in different sectors (LNZA (Industrials) and LYB (Basic Materials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: LNZA is a small-cap quality compounder stock; LYB is a mid-cap income-oriented stock. LYB pays a dividend while LNZA does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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