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LOCO vs SHAK
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Restaurants
LOCO vs SHAK — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Restaurants | Restaurants |
| Market Cap | $405M | $2.79B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $490M | $1.49B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $26M | $41M |
| Gross Margin | 28.6% | 7.5% |
| Operating Margin | 8.7% | 4.3% |
| Forward P/E | 13.9x | 50.2x |
| Total Debt | $240M | $902M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $6M | $360M |
LOCO vs SHAK — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| El Pollo Loco Holdi… (LOCO) | 100 | 97.4 | -2.6% |
| Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) | 100 | 124.7 | +24.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: LOCO vs SHAK
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
LOCO carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.83
- Lower volatility, beta 0.83, Low D/E 82.3%, current ratio 0.08x
- Beta 0.83, current ratio 0.08x
SHAK is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 15.4%, EPS growth 354.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 17.1%
- 98.2% 10Y total return vs LOCO's 28.2%
- 15.4% revenue growth vs LOCO's 3.6%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 15.4% revenue growth vs LOCO's 3.6% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (13.9x vs 50.2x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 5.4% margin vs SHAK's 2.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.83 vs SHAK's 1.75, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +52.1% vs SHAK's -32.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 4.4% ROA vs SHAK's 2.2%, ROIC 6.1% vs 6.0% |
LOCO vs SHAK — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
LOCO vs SHAK — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
LOCO leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SHAK is the larger business by revenue, generating $1.5B annually — 3.0x LOCO's $490M. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 5.4% (LOCO) to 2.8% (SHAK). On growth, SHAK holds the edge at +14.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $490M | $1.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $58M | $173M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $26M | $41M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $25M | $16M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +28.6% | +7.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +8.7% | +4.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +5.4% | +2.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +5.2% | +1.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +8.1% | +14.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +10.0% | -110.0% |
Valuation Metrics
LOCO leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 15.0x trailing earnings, LOCO trades at a 76% valuation discount to SHAK's 63.5x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, LOCO's 10.9x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than SHAK's 17.3x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $405M | $2.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $638M | $3.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 15.01x | 63.53x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 13.93x | 50.21x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 2.60x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 10.92x | 17.31x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.83x | 1.93x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.37x | 5.23x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 15.91x | 49.34x |
Profitability & Efficiency
LOCO leads this category, winning 8 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
LOCO delivers a 9.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $10 in annual profit, vs $8 for SHAK. LOCO carries lower financial leverage with a 0.82x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to SHAK's 1.63x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), LOCO scores 8/9 vs SHAK's 7/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +9.5% | +7.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +4.4% | +2.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.1% | +6.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +8.1% | +5.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.82x | 1.63x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $233M | $542M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $6M | $360M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $240M | $902M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 9.67x | 16.87x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
LOCO leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in LOCO five years ago would be worth $8,456 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $7,739 for SHAK. Over the past 12 months, LOCO leads with a +52.1% total return vs SHAK's -32.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors LOCO at 14.2% vs SHAK's 1.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +30.9% | -17.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +52.1% | -32.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +49.1% | +3.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -15.4% | -22.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +28.2% | +98.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +14.2% | +1.1% |
Risk & Volatility
LOCO leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
LOCO is the less volatile stock with a 0.83 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SHAK's 1.75 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. LOCO currently trades 93.2% from its 52-week high vs SHAK's 47.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.83x | 1.75x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $14.50 | $144.65 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $8.82 | $67.20 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +93.2% | +47.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 47.5 | 48.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 321K | 1.5M |
Analyst Outlook
LOCO leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates LOCO as "Hold" and SHAK as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 74.6% upside for SHAK (target: $121) vs -9.3% for LOCO (target: $12).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $12.25 | $120.89 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 12 | 35 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.5% | 0.0% |
LOCO leads in 6 of 6 categories — strongest in Income & Cash Flow and Valuation Metrics.
LOCO vs SHAK: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is LOCO or SHAK a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Shake Shack Inc.
(SHAK) is the stronger pick with 15. 4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 3. 6% for El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. (LOCO). El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. (LOCO) offers the better valuation at 15. 0x trailing P/E (13. 9x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. (LOCO) a "Hold" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — LOCO or SHAK?
On trailing P/E, El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
(LOCO) is the cheapest at 15. 0x versus Shake Shack Inc. at 63. 5x. On forward P/E, El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. is actually cheaper at 13. 9x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — LOCO or SHAK?
Over the past 5 years, El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
(LOCO) delivered a total return of -15. 4%, compared to -22. 6% for Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SHAK returned +98. 2% versus LOCO's +28. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — LOCO or SHAK?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
(LOCO) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 83β versus Shake Shack Inc. 's 1. 75β — meaning SHAK is approximately 112% more volatile than LOCO relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. (LOCO) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 82% versus 163% for Shake Shack Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — LOCO or SHAK?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Shake Shack Inc.
(SHAK) is pulling ahead at 15. 4% versus 3. 6% for El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. (LOCO). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Shake Shack Inc. grew EPS 354. 2% year-over-year, compared to 4. 7% for El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, SHAK leads at 17. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — LOCO or SHAK?
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
(LOCO) is the more profitable company, earning 5. 4% net margin versus 3. 2% for Shake Shack Inc. — meaning it keeps 5. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: LOCO leads at 8. 7% versus 5. 9% for SHAK. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — LOCO leads at 28. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is LOCO or SHAK more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
(LOCO) trades at 13. 9x forward P/E versus 50. 2x for Shake Shack Inc. — 36. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for SHAK: 74. 6% to $120. 89.
08Which pays a better dividend — LOCO or SHAK?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is LOCO or SHAK better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
(LOCO) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 83)). Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) carries a higher beta of 1. 75 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (LOCO: +28. 2%, SHAK: +98. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between LOCO and SHAK?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: LOCO is a small-cap deep-value stock; SHAK is a small-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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