Paper, Lumber & Forest Products
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LPX vs WFG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products
LPX vs WFG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Paper, Lumber & Forest Products | Paper, Lumber & Forest Products |
| Market Cap | $5.93B | $4.54B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.71B | $5.81B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $146M | $-1.46B |
| Gross Margin | 21.8% | 2.0% |
| Operating Margin | 8.3% | -12.8% |
| Forward P/E | 27.6x | — |
| Total Debt | $401M | $457M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $292M | $277M |
LPX vs WFG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana-Pacific C… (LPX) | 100 | 295.4 | +195.4% |
| West Fraser Timber … (WFG) | 100 | 221.7 | +121.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: LPX vs WFG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
LPX is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 324.3% 10Y total return vs WFG's 118.9%
- 5.4% margin vs WFG's -25.2%
- 5.6% ROA vs WFG's -15.2%, ROIC 11.0% vs -6.8%
WFG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 10 yrs, beta 0.66, yield 2.2%
- Rev growth 23.5%, EPS growth -222.8%, 3Y rev CAGR -7.7%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.66, Low D/E 5.7%, current ratio 2.13x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 23.5% revenue growth vs LPX's -7.9% | |
| Quality / Margins | 5.4% margin vs WFG's -25.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.66 vs LPX's 1.20, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 2.2% yield, 10-year raise streak, vs LPX's 1.6% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -17.8% vs LPX's -19.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 5.6% ROA vs WFG's -15.2%, ROIC 11.0% vs -6.8% |
LPX vs WFG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
LPX vs WFG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
LPX leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
WFG is the larger business by revenue, generating $5.8B annually — 2.1x LPX's $2.7B. LPX is the more profitable business, keeping 5.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to WFG's -25.2%. On growth, WFG holds the edge at -8.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.7B | $5.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $367M | -$139M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $146M | -$1.5B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $92M | -$632M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +21.8% | +2.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +8.3% | -12.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +5.4% | -25.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +3.4% | -10.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -16.6% | -8.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -112.4% | -5.6% |
Valuation Metrics
WFG leads this category, winning 3 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, LPX's 14.9x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than WFG's 66.1x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $5.9B | $4.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $6.0B | $4.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 33.53x | -4.91x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 27.60x | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 14.91x | 66.09x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.19x | 0.81x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.82x | 0.80x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 65.15x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
LPX leads this category, winning 7 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
LPX delivers a 8.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $8 in annual profit, vs $-20 for WFG. WFG carries lower financial leverage with a 0.06x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to LPX's 0.23x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +8.4% | -19.9% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +5.6% | -15.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +11.0% | -6.8% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +11.3% | -7.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.23x | 0.06x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $109M | $180M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $292M | $277M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $401M | $457M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 14.25x | -8.07x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
LPX leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in LPX five years ago would be worth $10,689 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $7,753 for WFG. Over the past 12 months, WFG leads with a -17.8% total return vs LPX's -19.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors LPX at 5.6% vs WFG's -5.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -14.3% | -4.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -19.0% | -17.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +17.9% | -15.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +6.9% | -22.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +324.3% | +118.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +5.6% | -5.4% |
Risk & Volatility
WFG leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
WFG is the less volatile stock with a 0.66 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than LPX's 1.20 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. WFG currently trades 76.0% from its 52-week high vs LPX's 67.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.20x | 0.66x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $102.86 | $78.55 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $68.63 | $57.34 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +67.8% | +76.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 38.9 | 31.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 973K | 174K |
Analyst Outlook
WFG leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates LPX as "Buy" and WFG as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 46.2% upside for LPX (target: $102) vs 35.1% for WFG (target: $81). For income investors, WFG offers the higher dividend yield at 2.19% vs LPX's 1.60%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $102.00 | $80.67 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 23 | 4 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.6% | +2.2% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 8 | 10 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.11 | $1.79 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.0% | +2.9% |
LPX leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). WFG leads in 3 (Valuation Metrics, Risk & Volatility).
LPX vs WFG: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is LPX or WFG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, West Fraser Timber Co.
Ltd. (WFG) is the stronger pick with 23. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -7. 9% for Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX). Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) offers the better valuation at 33. 5x trailing P/E (27. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) a "Buy" — based on 23 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — LPX or WFG?
Over the past 5 years, Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) delivered a total return of +6.
9%, compared to -22. 5% for West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. (WFG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: LPX returned +324. 3% versus WFG's +118. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — LPX or WFG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), West Fraser Timber Co.
Ltd. (WFG) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 66β versus Louisiana-Pacific Corporation's 1. 20β — meaning LPX is approximately 82% more volatile than WFG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. (WFG) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 6% versus 23% for Louisiana-Pacific Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — LPX or WFG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), West Fraser Timber Co.
Ltd. (WFG) is pulling ahead at 23. 5% versus -7. 9% for Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Louisiana-Pacific Corporation grew EPS -64. 7% year-over-year, compared to -222. 8% for West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd.. Over a 3-year CAGR, WFG leads at -7. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — LPX or WFG?
Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) is the more profitable company, earning 5.
4% net margin versus -17. 2% for West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. — meaning it keeps 5. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: LPX leads at 9. 6% versus -8. 7% for WFG. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — LPX leads at 21. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is LPX or WFG more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for LPX: 46.
2% to $102. 00.
07Which pays a better dividend — LPX or WFG?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. (WFG) offers the highest yield at 2. 2%, versus 1. 6% for Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX).
08Is LPX or WFG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, West Fraser Timber Co.
Ltd. (WFG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 66), 2. 2% yield, +118. 9% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (WFG: +118. 9%, LPX: +324. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between LPX and WFG?
Both stocks operate in the Basic Materials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: LPX is a small-cap quality compounder stock; WFG is a small-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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