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LUMN vs NFLX
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Entertainment
LUMN vs NFLX — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Telecommunications Services | Entertainment |
| Market Cap | $9.51B | $372.42B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $12.12B | $45.18B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-1.74B | $10.98B |
| Gross Margin | 12.5% | 48.5% |
| Operating Margin | 2.6% | 29.5% |
| Forward P/E | — | 24.7x |
| Total Debt | $17.71B | $14.46B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.00B | $9.03B |
LUMN vs NFLX — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lumen Technologies,… (LUMN) | 100 | 93.9 | -6.1% |
| Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) | 100 | 209.4 | +109.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: LUMN vs NFLX
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
LUMN is the clearest fit if your priority is value and dividends.
- Better valuation composite
- 0.0% yield; the other pay no meaningful dividend
- +118.2% vs NFLX's -22.5%
NFLX carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- beta 0.39
- Rev growth 15.9%, EPS growth 27.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 12.6%
- 8.8% 10Y total return vs LUMN's -32.9%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 15.9% revenue growth vs LUMN's -5.4% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 24.3% margin vs LUMN's -14.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.39 vs LUMN's 2.74 | |
| Dividends | 0.0% yield; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +118.2% vs NFLX's -22.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 19.8% ROA vs LUMN's -5.3%, ROIC 29.8% vs -0.8% |
LUMN vs NFLX — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
LUMN vs NFLX — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NFLX leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NFLX is the larger business by revenue, generating $45.2B annually — 3.7x LUMN's $12.1B. NFLX is the more profitable business, keeping 24.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to LUMN's -14.3%. On growth, NFLX holds the edge at +17.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $12.1B | $45.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $3.0B | $30.1B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$1.7B | $11.0B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $5.4B | $9.5B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +12.5% | +48.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +2.6% | +29.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -14.3% | +24.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +44.9% | +20.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -8.9% | +17.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | 0.0% | +31.1% |
Valuation Metrics
LUMN leads this category, winning 4 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, LUMN's 10.2x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than NFLX's 12.6x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $9.5B | $372.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $26.2B | $377.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -5.27x | 34.74x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 24.69x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.05x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 10.22x | 12.56x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.77x | 8.24x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | 14.26x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 25.62x | 39.36x |
Profitability & Efficiency
NFLX leads this category, winning 8 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NFLX delivers a 41.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $41 in annual profit, vs $-79 for LUMN. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NFLX scores 7/9 vs LUMN's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -79.4% | +41.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -5.3% | +19.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -0.8% | +29.8% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -0.6% | +30.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 0.54x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $16.7B | $5.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.0B | $9.0B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $17.7B | $14.5B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -1.12x | 17.33x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
LUMN leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NFLX five years ago would be worth $17,716 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $8,403 for LUMN. Over the past 12 months, LUMN leads with a +118.2% total return vs NFLX's -22.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors LUMN at 59.4% vs NFLX's 39.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +20.0% | -3.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +118.2% | -22.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +304.8% | +172.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -16.0% | +77.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -32.9% | +883.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +59.4% | +39.6% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — LUMN and NFLX each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NFLX is the less volatile stock with a 0.39 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than LUMN's 2.74 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. LUMN currently trades 77.2% from its 52-week high vs NFLX's 65.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.74x | 0.39x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $11.95 | $134.12 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $3.37 | $75.01 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +77.2% | +65.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 69.9 | 39.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 12.2M | 44.8M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates LUMN as "Hold" and NFLX as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 32.3% upside for NFLX (target: $116) vs -23.3% for LUMN (target: $7).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $7.08 | $116.29 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 28 | 99 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.0% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.00 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +2.5% |
NFLX leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). LUMN leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). 1 tied.
LUMN vs NFLX: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is LUMN or NFLX a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Netflix, Inc.
(NFLX) is the stronger pick with 15. 9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -5. 4% for Lumen Technologies, Inc. (LUMN). Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) offers the better valuation at 34. 7x trailing P/E (24. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) a "Buy" — based on 99 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — LUMN or NFLX?
Over the past 5 years, Netflix, Inc.
(NFLX) delivered a total return of +77. 2%, compared to -16. 0% for Lumen Technologies, Inc. (LUMN). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NFLX returned +883. 1% versus LUMN's -32. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — LUMN or NFLX?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Netflix, Inc.
(NFLX) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 39β versus Lumen Technologies, Inc. 's 2. 74β — meaning LUMN is approximately 605% more volatile than NFLX relative to the S&P 500.
04Which is growing faster — LUMN or NFLX?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Netflix, Inc.
(NFLX) is pulling ahead at 15. 9% versus -5. 4% for Lumen Technologies, Inc. (LUMN). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Netflix, Inc. grew EPS 27. 6% year-over-year, compared to -30. 4% for Lumen Technologies, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, NFLX leads at 12. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — LUMN or NFLX?
Netflix, Inc.
(NFLX) is the more profitable company, earning 24. 3% net margin versus -14. 0% for Lumen Technologies, Inc. — meaning it keeps 24. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NFLX leads at 29. 5% versus -1. 5% for LUMN. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NFLX leads at 48. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is LUMN or NFLX more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NFLX: 32.
3% to $116. 29.
07Which pays a better dividend — LUMN or NFLX?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is LUMN or NFLX better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Netflix, Inc.
(NFLX) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 39), +883. 1% 10Y return). Lumen Technologies, Inc. (LUMN) carries a higher beta of 2. 74 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (NFLX: +883. 1%, LUMN: -32. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between LUMN and NFLX?
Both stocks operate in the Communication Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: LUMN is a small-cap quality compounder stock; NFLX is a large-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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