Paper, Lumber & Forest Products
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MERC vs GEF vs CLW vs SON
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaging & Containers
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products
Packaging & Containers
MERC vs GEF vs CLW vs SON — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Paper, Lumber & Forest Products | Packaging & Containers | Paper, Lumber & Forest Products | Packaging & Containers |
| Market Cap | $74M | $3.22B | $221M | $5.10B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.85B | $3.35B | $1.54B | $7.49B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-528M | $971M | $-27M | $1.04B |
| Gross Margin | -3.5% | 22.6% | 5.1% | 20.9% |
| Operating Margin | -12.0% | 3.0% | -0.1% | 8.7% |
| Forward P/E | — | 17.3x | — | 8.8x |
| Total Debt | $1.61B | $1.57B | $422M | $4.85B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $187M | $257M | $31K | $378M |
MERC vs GEF vs CLW vs SON — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Internationa… (MERC) | 100 | 13.8 | -86.2% |
| Greif, Inc. (GEF) | 100 | 200.1 | +100.1% |
| Clearwater Paper Co… (CLW) | 100 | 47.2 | -52.8% |
| Sonoco Products Com… (SON) | 100 | 99.8 | -0.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MERC vs GEF vs CLW vs SON
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MERC is the clearest fit if your priority is defensive.
- Beta 2.06, yield 13.5%, current ratio 3.05x
- 13.5% yield, vs SON's 4.0%, (1 stock pays no dividend)
GEF carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 153.7% 10Y total return vs SON's 48.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.65, Low D/E 51.5%, current ratio 1.47x
- PEG 0.38 vs SON's 0.62
- Better valuation composite
CLW lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
SON is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and growth exposure is your priority.
- Dividend streak 30 yrs, beta 0.53, yield 4.0%
- Rev growth 41.7%, EPS growth 141.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 8.7%
- 41.7% revenue growth vs MERC's -8.6%
- Beta 0.53 vs MERC's 2.06, lower leverage
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 41.7% revenue growth vs MERC's -8.6% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 29.0% margin vs MERC's -28.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.53 vs MERC's 2.06, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 13.5% yield, vs SON's 4.0%, (1 stock pays no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +31.2% vs MERC's -64.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 16.5% ROA vs MERC's -24.3%, ROIC 4.7% vs -8.5% |
MERC vs GEF vs CLW vs SON — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
MERC vs GEF vs CLW vs SON — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
SON leads in 2 of 6 categories
CLW leads 2 • GEF leads 1 • MERC leads 0 • 1 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SON leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SON is the larger business by revenue, generating $7.5B annually — 4.9x CLW's $1.5B. GEF is the more profitable business, keeping 29.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MERC's -28.5%. On growth, SON holds the edge at -1.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.9B | $3.3B | $1.5B | $7.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$102M | $322M | $69M | $1.2B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$528M | $971M | -$27M | $1.0B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$156M | -$123M | -$54M | $266M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | -3.5% | +22.6% | +5.1% | +20.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -12.0% | +3.0% | -0.1% | +8.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -28.5% | +29.0% | -1.8% | +13.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -8.4% | -3.7% | -3.5% | +3.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -3.5% | -22.6% | -4.7% | -1.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -136.4% | -73.2% | -110.5% | +23.6% |
Valuation Metrics
CLW leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 4.5x trailing earnings, GEF trades at a 65% valuation discount to SON's 13.0x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), GEF offers better value at 0.10x vs SON's 0.92x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $74M | $3.2B | $221M | $5.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.5B | $4.5B | $642M | $9.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -0.15x | 4.53x | -11.04x | 12.99x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 17.35x | — | 8.84x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.10x | — | 0.92x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 8.20x | 5.76x | 7.77x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.04x | 0.75x | 0.14x | 0.68x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.09x | 1.06x | 0.27x | 1.42x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — | — | 12.99x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CLW leads this category, winning 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
GEF delivers a 33.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $34 in annual profit, vs $-2 for MERC. CLW carries lower financial leverage with a 0.51x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to MERC's 23.64x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CLW scores 7/9 vs MERC's 3/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -2.4% | +33.7% | -3.3% | +30.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -24.3% | +16.5% | -1.7% | +9.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -8.5% | +4.7% | +1.2% | +6.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -9.7% | +5.7% | +1.4% | +8.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 23.64x | 0.52x | 0.51x | 1.34x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.4B | $1.3B | $422M | $4.5B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $187M | $257M | $30,700 | $378M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.6B | $1.6B | $422M | $4.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -2.78x | 90.09x | -4.32x | 4.60x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
GEF leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in GEF five years ago would be worth $11,965 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,480 for MERC. Over the past 12 months, GEF leads with a +31.2% total return vs MERC's -64.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors GEF at 5.7% vs MERC's -42.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -43.4% | +0.2% | -22.7% | +17.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -64.8% | +31.2% | -47.4% | +21.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -80.4% | +18.1% | -58.2% | -3.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -85.2% | +19.6% | -56.3% | -9.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -48.2% | +153.7% | -77.2% | +48.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -42.0% | +5.7% | -25.2% | -1.1% |
Risk & Volatility
SON leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SON is the less volatile stock with a 0.53 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MERC's 2.06 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SON currently trades 88.5% from its 52-week high vs MERC's 24.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.06x | 0.65x | 1.31x | 0.53x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $4.47 | $77.14 | $30.96 | $58.43 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $1.00 | $53.35 | $11.73 | $38.65 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +24.8% | +88.2% | +44.2% | +88.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 42.3 | 53.6 | 49.7 | 50.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 440K | 207K | 198K | 1.1M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — MERC and SON each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: MERC as "Hold", GEF as "Hold", CLW as "Buy", SON as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 102.7% upside for MERC (target: $2) vs 10.8% for GEF (target: $75). For income investors, MERC offers the higher dividend yield at 13.51% vs GEF's 3.12%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $2.25 | $75.33 | $15.50 | $59.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 9 | 13 | 10 | 21 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +13.5% | +3.1% | — | +4.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 | — | 30 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.15 | $2.12 | — | $2.09 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.3% | +7.8% | +0.2% |
SON leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Risk & Volatility). CLW leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). 1 tied.
MERC vs GEF vs CLW vs SON: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MERC or GEF or CLW or SON a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Sonoco Products Company (SON) is the stronger pick with 41.
7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -8. 6% for Mercer International Inc. (MERC). Greif, Inc. (GEF) offers the better valuation at 4. 5x trailing P/E (17. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) a "Buy" — based on 10 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MERC or GEF or CLW or SON?
On trailing P/E, Greif, Inc.
(GEF) is the cheapest at 4. 5x versus Sonoco Products Company at 13. 0x. On forward P/E, Sonoco Products Company is actually cheaper at 8. 8x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Greif, Inc. wins at 0. 38x versus Sonoco Products Company's 0. 62x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MERC or GEF or CLW or SON?
Over the past 5 years, Greif, Inc.
(GEF) delivered a total return of +19. 6%, compared to -85. 2% for Mercer International Inc. (MERC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: GEF returned +153. 7% versus CLW's -77. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MERC or GEF or CLW or SON?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Sonoco Products Company (SON) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
53β versus Mercer International Inc. 's 2. 06β — meaning MERC is approximately 289% more volatile than SON relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 51% versus 24% for Mercer International Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — MERC or GEF or CLW or SON?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Sonoco Products Company (SON) is pulling ahead at 41.
7% versus -8. 6% for Mercer International Inc. (MERC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Greif, Inc. grew EPS 223. 3% year-over-year, compared to -485. 8% for Mercer International Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, SON leads at 8. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MERC or GEF or CLW or SON?
Greif, Inc.
(GEF) is the more profitable company, earning 19. 6% net margin versus -26. 7% for Mercer International Inc. — meaning it keeps 19. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: SON leads at 9. 5% versus -9. 7% for MERC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — GEF leads at 22. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MERC or GEF or CLW or SON more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Greif, Inc. (GEF) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 38x versus Sonoco Products Company's 0. 62x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Sonoco Products Company (SON) trades at 8. 8x forward P/E versus 17. 3x for Greif, Inc. — 8. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MERC: 102. 7% to $2. 25.
08Which pays a better dividend — MERC or GEF or CLW or SON?
In this comparison, MERC (13.
5% yield), SON (4. 0% yield), GEF (3. 1% yield) pay a dividend. CLW does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is MERC or GEF or CLW or SON better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Sonoco Products Company (SON) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
53), 4. 0% yield). Mercer International Inc. (MERC) carries a higher beta of 2. 06 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (SON: +48. 6%, MERC: -48. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MERC and GEF and CLW and SON?
These companies operate in different sectors (MERC (Basic Materials) and GEF (Consumer Cyclical) and CLW (Basic Materials) and SON (Consumer Cyclical)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: MERC is a small-cap income-oriented stock; GEF is a small-cap deep-value stock; CLW is a small-cap quality compounder stock; SON is a small-cap high-growth stock. MERC, GEF, SON pay a dividend while CLW does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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