Paper, Lumber & Forest Products
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MERC vs NTR
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Agricultural Inputs
MERC vs NTR — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Paper, Lumber & Forest Products | Agricultural Inputs |
| Market Cap | $74M | $35.51B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.87B | $26.90B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-498M | $2.27B |
| Gross Margin | -1.5% | 31.1% |
| Operating Margin | -9.7% | 13.4% |
| Forward P/E | — | 13.0x |
| Total Debt | $1.61B | $12.93B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $187M | $700M |
MERC vs NTR — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Internationa… (MERC) | 100 | 13.8 | -86.2% |
| Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) | 100 | 217.1 | +117.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MERC vs NTR
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MERC is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 2.06, yield 13.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 2.06, current ratio 3.05x
- Beta 2.06, yield 13.5%, current ratio 3.05x
NTR carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 5.3%, EPS growth 248.5%, 3Y rev CAGR -10.3%
- 64.0% 10Y total return vs MERC's -47.3%
- 5.3% revenue growth vs MERC's -8.6%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 5.3% revenue growth vs MERC's -8.6% | |
| Quality / Margins | 8.4% margin vs MERC's -26.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (51.1% vs 23.6%) | |
| Dividends | 13.5% yield, vs NTR's 3.0% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +34.6% vs MERC's -66.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 4.3% ROA vs MERC's -22.0%, ROIC 8.0% vs -8.5% |
MERC vs NTR — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
MERC vs NTR — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NTR leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NTR is the larger business by revenue, generating $26.9B annually — 14.4x MERC's $1.9B. NTR is the more profitable business, keeping 8.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MERC's -26.7%. On growth, NTR holds the edge at +6.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.9B | $26.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$22M | $6.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$498M | $2.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$80M | $2.0B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | -1.5% | +31.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -9.7% | +13.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -26.7% | +8.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -4.3% | +7.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -8.0% | +6.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -19.4% | +4.2% |
Valuation Metrics
MERC leads this category, winning 3 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $74M | $35.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.5B | $47.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -0.15x | 15.57x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 12.97x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.38x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 7.49x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.04x | 1.30x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.09x | 1.42x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 17.43x |
Profitability & Efficiency
NTR leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NTR delivers a 9.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $9 in annual profit, vs $-152 for MERC. NTR carries lower financial leverage with a 0.51x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to MERC's 23.64x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NTR scores 8/9 vs MERC's 3/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -151.9% | +9.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -22.0% | +4.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -8.5% | +8.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -9.7% | +9.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 8 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 23.64x | 0.51x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.4B | $12.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $187M | $700M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.6B | $12.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -1.33x | 5.44x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NTR leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NTR five years ago would be worth $14,121 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,471 for MERC. Over the past 12 months, NTR leads with a +34.6% total return vs MERC's -66.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NTR at 7.6% vs MERC's -42.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -43.4% | +17.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -66.7% | +34.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -80.4% | +24.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -85.3% | +41.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -47.3% | +64.0% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -42.0% | +7.6% |
Risk & Volatility
NTR leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NTR is the less volatile stock with a -0.07 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MERC's 2.06 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. NTR currently trades 86.5% from its 52-week high vs MERC's 24.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.06x | -0.07x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $4.47 | $85.36 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $1.00 | $53.03 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +24.8% | +86.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 39.2 | 59.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 438K | 3.7M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — MERC and NTR each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates MERC as "Hold" and NTR as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 102.7% upside for MERC (target: $2) vs 14.1% for NTR (target: $84). For income investors, MERC offers the higher dividend yield at 13.51% vs NTR's 3.01%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $2.25 | $84.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 9 | 33 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +13.5% | +3.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 8 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.15 | $2.22 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +1.6% |
NTR leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). MERC leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
MERC vs NTR: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MERC or NTR a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Nutrien Ltd.
(NTR) is the stronger pick with 5. 3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -8. 6% for Mercer International Inc. (MERC). Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) offers the better valuation at 15. 6x trailing P/E (13. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) a "Buy" — based on 33 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — MERC or NTR?
Over the past 5 years, Nutrien Ltd.
(NTR) delivered a total return of +41. 2%, compared to -85. 3% for Mercer International Inc. (MERC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NTR returned +64. 0% versus MERC's -47. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — MERC or NTR?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Nutrien Ltd.
(NTR) is the lower-risk stock at -0. 07β versus Mercer International Inc. 's 2. 06β — meaning MERC is approximately -2947% more volatile than NTR relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 51% versus 24% for Mercer International Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — MERC or NTR?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Nutrien Ltd.
(NTR) is pulling ahead at 5. 3% versus -8. 6% for Mercer International Inc. (MERC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Nutrien Ltd. grew EPS 248. 5% year-over-year, compared to -485. 8% for Mercer International Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, MERC leads at -6. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — MERC or NTR?
Nutrien Ltd.
(NTR) is the more profitable company, earning 8. 4% net margin versus -26. 7% for Mercer International Inc. — meaning it keeps 8. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NTR leads at 14. 5% versus -9. 7% for MERC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NTR leads at 31. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is MERC or NTR more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MERC: 102.
7% to $2. 25.
07Which pays a better dividend — MERC or NTR?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Mercer International Inc. (MERC) offers the highest yield at 13. 5%, versus 3. 0% for Nutrien Ltd. (NTR).
08Is MERC or NTR better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Nutrien Ltd.
(NTR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0. 07), 3. 0% yield). Mercer International Inc. (MERC) carries a higher beta of 2. 06 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (NTR: +64. 0%, MERC: -47. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between MERC and NTR?
Both stocks operate in the Basic Materials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: MERC is a small-cap income-oriented stock; NTR is a mid-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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