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MODG vs NKE
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Apparel - Footwear & Accessories
MODG vs NKE — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Leisure | Apparel - Footwear & Accessories |
| Market Cap | $2.32B | $52.89B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.06B | $46.51B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-1.50B | $2.52B |
| Gross Margin | 64.6% | 41.1% |
| Operating Margin | -31.0% | 6.5% |
| Forward P/E | — | 29.8x |
| Total Debt | $4.14B | $11.02B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $445M | $7.46B |
MODG vs NKE — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | Feb 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Topgolf Callaway Br… (MODG) | 100 | 82.2 | -17.8% |
| NIKE, Inc. (NKE) | 100 | 62.7 | -37.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MODG vs NKE
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MODG is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth -1.1%, EPS growth -17.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 10.6%
- 37.6% 10Y total return vs NKE's -5.2%
- -1.1% revenue growth vs NKE's -9.8%
NKE carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 23 yrs, beta 1.17, yield 3.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.17, Low D/E 83.4%, current ratio 2.21x
- Beta 1.17, yield 3.5%, current ratio 2.21x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -1.1% revenue growth vs NKE's -9.8% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 5.4% margin vs MODG's -37.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.17 vs MODG's 1.92, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 3.5% yield; 23-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +80.6% vs NKE's -21.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 6.7% ROA vs MODG's -19.9%, ROIC 16.7% vs -13.8% |
MODG vs NKE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
MODG vs NKE — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NKE leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NKE is the larger business by revenue, generating $46.5B annually — 11.5x MODG's $4.1B. NKE is the more profitable business, keeping 5.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MODG's -37.1%. On growth, NKE holds the edge at +0.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.1B | $46.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$989M | $3.7B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$1.5B | $2.5B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $35M | $2.5B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +64.6% | +41.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -31.0% | +6.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -37.1% | +5.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +0.8% | +5.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -7.8% | +0.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -3.1% | -30.8% |
Valuation Metrics
MODG leads this category, winning 3 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.3B | $52.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $6.0B | $56.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -1.60x | 20.56x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 29.83x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 3.32x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 12.52x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.55x | 1.14x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.96x | 5.00x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 26.73x | 16.18x |
Profitability & Efficiency
NKE leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NKE delivers a 17.9% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $18 in annual profit, vs $-61 for MODG. NKE carries lower financial leverage with a 0.83x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to MODG's 1.72x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), MODG scores 6/9 vs NKE's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -60.8% | +17.9% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -19.9% | +6.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -13.8% | +16.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -16.8% | +13.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.72x | 0.83x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $3.7B | $3.6B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $445M | $7.5B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $4.1B | $11.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -5.38x | 10.45x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MODG leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MODG five years ago would be worth $4,044 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,733 for NKE. Over the past 12 months, MODG leads with a +80.6% total return vs NKE's -21.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MODG at -16.8% vs NKE's -27.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +7.4% | -29.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +80.6% | -21.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -42.4% | -61.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -59.6% | -62.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +37.6% | -5.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -16.8% | -27.2% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — MODG and NKE each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NKE is the less volatile stock with a 1.17 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MODG's 1.92 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MODG currently trades 75.6% from its 52-week high vs NKE's 55.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.92x | 1.17x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $16.65 | $80.17 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $5.87 | $42.09 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +75.6% | +55.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 57.2 | 36.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 9.2M | 20.8M |
Analyst Outlook
NKE leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates MODG as "Buy" and NKE as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 57.4% upside for NKE (target: $70) vs 15.2% for MODG (target: $15). NKE is the only dividend payer here at 3.48% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $14.50 | $69.88 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 23 | 71 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +3.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 23 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $1.55 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.4% | +5.6% |
NKE leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). MODG leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). 1 tied.
MODG vs NKE: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MODG or NKE a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp.
(MODG) is the stronger pick with -1. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -9. 8% for NIKE, Inc. (NKE). NIKE, Inc. (NKE) offers the better valuation at 20. 6x trailing P/E (29. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. (MODG) a "Buy" — based on 23 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — MODG or NKE?
Over the past 5 years, Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp.
(MODG) delivered a total return of -59. 6%, compared to -62. 7% for NIKE, Inc. (NKE). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MODG returned +37. 6% versus NKE's -5. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — MODG or NKE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), NIKE, Inc.
(NKE) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 17β versus Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. 's 1. 92β — meaning MODG is approximately 64% more volatile than NKE relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, NIKE, Inc. (NKE) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 83% versus 172% for Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — MODG or NKE?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp.
(MODG) is pulling ahead at -1. 1% versus -9. 8% for NIKE, Inc. (NKE). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: NIKE, Inc. grew EPS -42. 1% year-over-year, compared to -1776. 6% for Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp.. Over a 3-year CAGR, MODG leads at 10. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — MODG or NKE?
NIKE, Inc.
(NKE) is the more profitable company, earning 7. 0% net margin versus -34. 1% for Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. — meaning it keeps 7. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NKE leads at 8. 0% versus -29. 7% for MODG. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MODG leads at 62. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is MODG or NKE more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NKE: 57.
4% to $69. 88.
07Which pays a better dividend — MODG or NKE?
In this comparison, NKE (3.
5% yield) pays a dividend. MODG does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is MODG or NKE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, NIKE, Inc.
(NKE) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 17), 3. 5% yield). Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. (MODG) carries a higher beta of 1. 92 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (NKE: -5. 2%, MODG: +37. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between MODG and NKE?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: MODG is a small-cap quality compounder stock; NKE is a mid-cap income-oriented stock. NKE pays a dividend while MODG does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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