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NAK vs ERO vs SCCO vs FCX
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Copper
Copper
Copper
NAK vs ERO vs SCCO vs FCX — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Industrial Materials | Copper | Copper | Copper |
| Market Cap | $1.14B | $3.06B | $156.78B | $98.32B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $0.00 | $925M | $13.42B | $26.42B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-40M | $292M | $4.33B | $2.73B |
| Gross Margin | — | 42.7% | 56.7% | 27.8% |
| Operating Margin | — | 34.5% | 52.2% | 27.8% |
| Forward P/E | — | 7.2x | 26.2x | 25.7x |
| Total Debt | $3M | $631M | $7.41B | $11.50B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $55M | $105M | $4.30B | $3.35B |
NAK vs ERO vs SCCO vs FCX — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jun 20 | Jun 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Dynasty Mi… (NAK) | 100 | 142.7 | +42.7% |
| Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) | 100 | 201.7 | +101.7% |
| Southern Copper Cor… (SCCO) | 100 | 501.3 | +401.3% |
| Freeport-McMoRan In… (FCX) | 100 | 591.3 | +491.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NAK vs ERO vs SCCO vs FCX
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NAK lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
ERO is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if growth exposure and valuation efficiency is your priority.
- Rev growth 70.0%, EPS growth 490.9%, 3Y rev CAGR 23.3%
- PEG 0.20 vs SCCO's 1.25
- 70.0% revenue growth vs FCX's 1.1%
- Lower P/E (7.2x vs 25.7x), PEG 0.20 vs 0.86
SCCO carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 2.31, yield 1.6%
- 7.6% 10Y total return vs NAK's 5.1%
- Beta 2.31, yield 1.6%, current ratio 3.89x
- 32.3% margin vs NAK's -0.3%
FCX is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night.
- Lower volatility, beta 2.19, Low D/E 37.4%, current ratio 2.29x
- Beta 2.19 vs NAK's 2.42
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 70.0% revenue growth vs FCX's 1.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (7.2x vs 25.7x), PEG 0.20 vs 0.86 | |
| Quality / Margins | 32.3% margin vs NAK's -0.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 2.19 vs NAK's 2.42 | |
| Dividends | 1.6% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs FCX's 0.9%, (2 stocks pay no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +104.8% vs NAK's +65.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 21.4% ROA vs NAK's -32.3%, ROIC 38.6% vs -68.7% |
NAK vs ERO vs SCCO vs FCX — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
Segment breakdown not available.
NAK vs ERO vs SCCO vs FCX — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
SCCO leads in 3 of 6 categories
ERO leads 1 • NAK leads 1 • FCX leads 1
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SCCO leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FCX and NAK operate at a comparable scale, with $26.4B and $0 in trailing revenue. SCCO is the more profitable business, keeping 32.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to FCX's 10.3%. On growth, ERO holds the edge at +107.5% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $0 | $925M | $13.4B | $26.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$22M | $473M | $7.9B | $9.6B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$40M | $292M | $4.3B | $2.7B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$23M | $121M | $3.4B | $6.2B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | — | +42.7% | +56.7% | +27.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | — | +34.5% | +52.2% | +27.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | — | +31.6% | +32.3% | +10.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | — | +13.0% | +25.5% | +23.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | +107.5% | +39.0% | +12.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +146.8% | +32.5% | +54.5% | +154.2% |
Valuation Metrics
ERO leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 11.4x trailing earnings, ERO trades at a 75% valuation discount to FCX's 45.0x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), ERO offers better value at 0.32x vs SCCO's 1.73x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.1B | $3.1B | $156.8B | $98.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.1B | $3.6B | $159.9B | $106.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -15.01x | 11.39x | 36.22x | 45.01x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 7.18x | 26.16x | 25.71x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.32x | 1.73x | 1.50x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 8.75x | 20.32x | 12.48x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | — | 3.83x | 11.68x | 3.82x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 88.49x | 3.27x | 14.33x | 3.21x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 33.60x | 45.75x | 88.10x |
Profitability & Efficiency
SCCO leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
SCCO delivers a 42.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $42 in annual profit, vs $-99 for NAK. NAK carries lower financial leverage with a 0.18x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ERO's 0.67x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ERO scores 8/9 vs NAK's 2/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -98.8% | +31.1% | +42.0% | +8.9% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -32.3% | +15.3% | +21.4% | +4.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -68.7% | +15.5% | +38.6% | +12.8% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -40.1% | +18.6% | +39.2% | +12.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.18x | 0.67x | 0.67x | 0.37x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$52M | $526M | $3.1B | $8.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $55M | $105M | $4.3B | $3.4B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $3M | $631M | $7.4B | $11.5B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -74.40x | 14.60x | 19.33x | 17.68x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NAK leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NAK five years ago would be worth $37,004 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $12,742 for ERO. Over the past 12 months, SCCO leads with a +104.8% total return vs NAK's +65.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NAK at 110.7% vs ERO's 15.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +4.6% | +1.2% | +29.7% | +32.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +65.9% | +87.6% | +104.8% | +67.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +834.9% | +55.7% | +197.7% | +85.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +270.0% | +27.4% | +230.7% | +80.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +514.1% | +656.3% | +762.4% | +589.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +110.7% | +15.9% | +43.8% | +22.9% |
Risk & Volatility
FCX leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
FCX is the less volatile stock with a 2.19 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NAK's 2.42 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. FCX currently trades 94.9% from its 52-week high vs NAK's 68.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.42x | 2.21x | 2.31x | 2.19x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $2.98 | $39.80 | $223.89 | $72.09 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $0.73 | $12.79 | $87.84 | $35.15 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +68.5% | +73.8% | +84.8% | +94.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 45.4 | 48.4 | 49.9 | 53.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 7.9M | 1.2M | 1.3M | 12.2M |
Analyst Outlook
SCCO leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: NAK as "Buy", ERO as "Hold", SCCO as "Hold", FCX as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 7.2% upside for ERO (target: $32) vs -36.3% for NAK (target: $1). For income investors, SCCO offers the higher dividend yield at 1.56% vs FCX's 0.88%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $1.30 | $31.50 | $156.17 | $71.44 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 5 | 3 | 30 | 41 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — | +1.6% | +0.9% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — | 1 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — | $2.96 | $0.60 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.1% |
SCCO leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). ERO leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
NAK vs ERO vs SCCO vs FCX: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NAK or ERO or SCCO or FCX a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Ero Copper Corp.
(ERO) is the stronger pick with 70. 0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 1% for Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX). Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) offers the better valuation at 11. 4x trailing P/E (7. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. (NAK) a "Buy" — based on 5 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — NAK or ERO or SCCO or FCX?
On trailing P/E, Ero Copper Corp.
(ERO) is the cheapest at 11. 4x versus Freeport-McMoRan Inc. at 45. 0x. On forward P/E, Ero Copper Corp. is actually cheaper at 7. 2x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Ero Copper Corp. wins at 0. 20x versus Southern Copper Corporation's 1. 25x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — NAK or ERO or SCCO or FCX?
Over the past 5 years, Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd.
(NAK) delivered a total return of +270. 0%, compared to +27. 4% for Ero Copper Corp. (ERO). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SCCO returned +762. 4% versus NAK's +514. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — NAK or ERO or SCCO or FCX?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Freeport-McMoRan Inc.
(FCX) is the lower-risk stock at 2. 19β versus Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. 's 2. 42β — meaning NAK is approximately 11% more volatile than FCX relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. (NAK) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 18% versus 67% for Ero Copper Corp. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — NAK or ERO or SCCO or FCX?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Ero Copper Corp.
(ERO) is pulling ahead at 70. 0% versus 1. 1% for Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Ero Copper Corp. grew EPS 490. 9% year-over-year, compared to -182. 7% for Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd.. Over a 3-year CAGR, ERO leads at 23. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — NAK or ERO or SCCO or FCX?
Ero Copper Corp.
(ERO) is the more profitable company, earning 33. 6% net margin versus 0. 0% for Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. — meaning it keeps 33. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: SCCO leads at 52. 2% versus 0. 0% for NAK. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SCCO leads at 56. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is NAK or ERO or SCCO or FCX more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 20x versus Southern Copper Corporation's 1. 25x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) trades at 7. 2x forward P/E versus 26. 2x for Southern Copper Corporation — 19. 0x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for ERO: 7. 2% to $31. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — NAK or ERO or SCCO or FCX?
In this comparison, SCCO (1.
6% yield), FCX (0. 9% yield) pay a dividend. NAK, ERO do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is NAK or ERO or SCCO or FCX better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (1.
6% yield, +762. 4% 10Y return). Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. (NAK) carries a higher beta of 2. 42 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (SCCO: +762. 4%, NAK: +514. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between NAK and ERO and SCCO and FCX?
Both stocks operate in the Basic Materials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: NAK is a small-cap quality compounder stock; ERO is a small-cap high-growth stock; SCCO is a mid-cap high-growth stock; FCX is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. SCCO, FCX pay a dividend while NAK, ERO do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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