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NATL vs NTCT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Software - Infrastructure
NATL vs NTCT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Software - Application | Software - Infrastructure |
| Market Cap | $3.26B | $2.77B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.38B | $861M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $174M | $96M |
| Gross Margin | 24.1% | 79.2% |
| Operating Margin | 5.7% | 12.8% |
| Forward P/E | 9.1x | 15.9x |
| Total Debt | $225M | $76M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $456M | $457M |
NATL vs NTCT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Dec 23 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCR Atleos Corporat… (NATL) | 100 | 182.2 | +82.2% |
| NetScout Systems, I… (NTCT) | 100 | 174.4 | +74.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NATL vs NTCT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NATL is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 0.9%, EPS growth 74.0%, 3Y rev CAGR 1.8%
- 99.0% 10Y total return vs NTCT's 66.6%
- 0.9% revenue growth vs NTCT's -0.8%
NTCT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- beta 1.12
- Lower volatility, beta 1.12, Low D/E 4.9%, current ratio 1.75x
- Beta 1.12, current ratio 1.75x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 0.9% revenue growth vs NTCT's -0.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (9.1x vs 15.9x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 11.1% margin vs NATL's 4.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.12 vs NATL's 1.16, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +80.5% vs NATL's +50.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 4.3% ROA vs NATL's 3.1%, ROIC -19.3% vs 23.4% |
NATL vs NTCT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
NATL vs NTCT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NTCT leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NATL is the larger business by revenue, generating $4.4B annually — 5.1x NTCT's $861M. NTCT is the more profitable business, keeping 11.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to NATL's 4.0%. On growth, NATL holds the edge at +6.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.4B | $861M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $357M | $171M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $174M | $96M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $82M | $275M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +24.1% | +79.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +5.7% | +12.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +4.0% | +11.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +1.9% | +32.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +6.4% | -0.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +26.1% | +11.9% |
Valuation Metrics
NTCT leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $3.3B | $2.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $3.0B | $2.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 20.68x | -7.57x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 9.14x | 15.87x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 4.02x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.75x | 3.36x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 8.32x | 1.78x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 13.66x | 13.11x |
Profitability & Efficiency
NTCT leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NATL delivers a 47.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $47 in annual profit, vs $6 for NTCT. NTCT carries lower financial leverage with a 0.05x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NATL's 0.56x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +47.0% | +6.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +3.1% | +4.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +23.4% | -19.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +12.5% | -18.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.56x | 0.05x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$231M | -$381M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $456M | $457M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $225M | $76M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.62x | 55.89x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NATL leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NATL five years ago would be worth $19,777 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $14,293 for NTCT. Over the past 12 months, NTCT leads with a +80.5% total return vs NATL's +50.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NATL at 25.5% vs NTCT's 9.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +18.9% | +42.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +50.3% | +80.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +97.8% | +30.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +97.8% | +42.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +99.0% | +66.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +25.5% | +9.2% |
Risk & Volatility
NTCT leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NTCT is the less volatile stock with a 1.12 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NATL's 1.16 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. NTCT currently trades 97.6% from its 52-week high vs NATL's 91.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.16x | 1.12x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $48.50 | $39.24 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $23.56 | $19.98 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +91.3% | +97.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 54.3 | 68.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.2M | 552K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates NATL as "Hold" and NTCT as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 13.9% upside for NATL (target: $50) vs -24.3% for NTCT (target: $29).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $50.40 | $29.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 4 | 21 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.9% | +0.9% |
NTCT leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). NATL leads in 1 (Total Returns).
NATL vs NTCT: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NATL or NTCT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL) is the stronger pick with 0.
9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -0. 8% for NetScout Systems, Inc. (NTCT). NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL) offers the better valuation at 20. 7x trailing P/E (9. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL) a "Hold" — based on 4 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — NATL or NTCT?
On forward P/E, NCR Atleos Corporation is actually cheaper at 9.
1x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — NATL or NTCT?
Over the past 5 years, NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL) delivered a total return of +97.
8%, compared to +42. 9% for NetScout Systems, Inc. (NTCT). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NATL returned +99. 0% versus NTCT's +66. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — NATL or NTCT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), NetScout Systems, Inc.
(NTCT) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 12β versus NCR Atleos Corporation's 1. 16β — meaning NATL is approximately 3% more volatile than NTCT relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, NetScout Systems, Inc. (NTCT) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 5% versus 56% for NCR Atleos Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — NATL or NTCT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL) is pulling ahead at 0.
9% versus -0. 8% for NetScout Systems, Inc. (NTCT). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: NCR Atleos Corporation grew EPS 74. 0% year-over-year, compared to -144. 4% for NetScout Systems, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, NATL leads at 1. 8% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — NATL or NTCT?
NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL) is the more profitable company, earning 3.
7% net margin versus -44. 6% for NetScout Systems, Inc. — meaning it keeps 3. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NATL leads at 11. 0% versus -44. 7% for NTCT. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NTCT leads at 78. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is NATL or NTCT more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL) trades at 9.
1x forward P/E versus 15. 9x for NetScout Systems, Inc. — 6. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NATL: 13. 9% to $50. 40.
08Which pays a better dividend — NATL or NTCT?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is NATL or NTCT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, NetScout Systems, Inc.
(NTCT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 12)). Both have compounded well over 10 years (NTCT: +66. 6%, NATL: +99. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between NATL and NTCT?
Both stocks operate in the Technology sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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