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NCDL vs OBDC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Financial - Credit Services
NCDL vs OBDC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Asset Management | Financial - Credit Services |
| Market Cap | $693M | $5.67B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $202M | $1.68B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $51M | $544M |
| Gross Margin | 84.9% | 75.3% |
| Operating Margin | 71.2% | 73.2% |
| Forward P/E | 8.5x | 8.3x |
| Total Debt | $1.12B | $9.30B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $9M | $10M |
NCDL vs OBDC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jan 24 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuveen Churchill Di… (NCDL) | 100 | 79.0 | -21.0% |
| Blue Owl Capital Co… (OBDC) | 100 | 77.0 | -23.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NCDL vs OBDC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NCDL is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.63, yield 14.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.63
- PEG 0.34 vs OBDC's 1.89
OBDC carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 52.6%, EPS growth -19.0%
- 41.1% 10Y total return vs NCDL's 3.2%
- NIM 7.3% vs NCDL's 5.7%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 52.6% NII/revenue growth vs NCDL's 8.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (8.3x vs 8.5x) | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 0.0% vs NCDL's 0.1% (lower = leaner) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.63 vs OBDC's 0.84 | |
| Dividends | 14.5% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs OBDC's 13.0% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +1.4% vs OBDC's -5.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 0.0% vs NCDL's 0.1% |
NCDL vs OBDC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
OBDC leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
OBDC is the larger business by revenue, generating $1.7B annually — 8.3x NCDL's $202M. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 37.4% (OBDC) to 32.5% (NCDL).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $202M | $1.7B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $96M | $701M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $51M | $544M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $79M | $2.1B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +84.9% | +75.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +71.2% | +73.2% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +32.5% | +37.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +43.9% | +103.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -100.0% | -110.2% |
Valuation Metrics
OBDC leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 9.2x trailing earnings, OBDC trades at a 15% valuation discount to NCDL's 10.8x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), NCDL offers better value at 0.44x vs OBDC's 2.09x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $693M | $5.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.8B | $15.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 10.79x | 9.20x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 8.46x | 8.32x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.44x | 2.09x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 12.53x | 12.06x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.43x | 3.37x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.81x | 0.78x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 7.81x | 3.25x |
Profitability & Efficiency
OBDC leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
OBDC delivers a 7.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $7 in annual profit, vs $6 for NCDL. OBDC carries lower financial leverage with a 1.26x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NCDL's 1.27x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NCDL scores 6/9 vs OBDC's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +5.8% | +7.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.5% | +3.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.3% | +6.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +6.8% | +7.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.27x | 1.26x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.1B | $9.3B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $9M | $10M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.1B | $9.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.30x | 1.25x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
OBDC leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in OBDC five years ago would be worth $13,285 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $10,325 for NCDL. Over the past 12 months, NCDL leads with a +1.4% total return vs OBDC's -5.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors OBDC at 9.0% vs NCDL's 1.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +7.0% | -6.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +1.4% | -5.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +3.2% | +29.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +3.2% | +32.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +3.2% | +41.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +1.1% | +9.0% |
Risk & Volatility
NCDL leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NCDL is the less volatile stock with a 0.63 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than OBDC's 0.84 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. NCDL currently trades 81.2% from its 52-week high vs OBDC's 75.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.63x | 0.84x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $17.27 | $15.19 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $12.43 | $10.52 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +81.2% | +75.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 61.4 | 57.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 226K | 5.5M |
Analyst Outlook
NCDL leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates NCDL as "Hold" and OBDC as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 27.1% upside for OBDC (target: $15) vs 10.5% for NCDL (target: $16). For income investors, NCDL offers the higher dividend yield at 14.49% vs OBDC's 13.04%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $15.50 | $14.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 5 | 13 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +14.5% | +13.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $2.03 | $1.49 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +9.5% | +2.6% |
OBDC leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). NCDL leads in 2 (Risk & Volatility, Analyst Outlook).
NCDL vs OBDC: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NCDL or OBDC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) is the stronger pick with 52.
6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 8. 5% for Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL). Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) offers the better valuation at 9. 2x trailing P/E (8. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) a "Buy" — based on 13 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — NCDL or OBDC?
On trailing P/E, Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) is the cheapest at 9.
2x versus Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. at 10. 8x. On forward P/E, Blue Owl Capital Corporation is actually cheaper at 8. 3x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. wins at 0. 34x versus Blue Owl Capital Corporation's 1. 89x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — NCDL or OBDC?
Over the past 5 years, Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) delivered a total return of +32.
9%, compared to +3. 2% for Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: OBDC returned +41. 1% versus NCDL's +3. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — NCDL or OBDC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.
(NCDL) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 63β versus Blue Owl Capital Corporation's 0. 84β — meaning OBDC is approximately 33% more volatile than NCDL relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 126% versus 127% for Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — NCDL or OBDC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) is pulling ahead at 52.
6% versus 8. 5% for Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Blue Owl Capital Corporation grew EPS -19. 0% year-over-year, compared to -39. 5% for Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — NCDL or OBDC?
Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) is the more profitable company, earning 37.
4% net margin versus 32. 5% for Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. — meaning it keeps 37. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: OBDC leads at 73. 2% versus 71. 2% for NCDL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NCDL leads at 84. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is NCDL or OBDC more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 34x versus Blue Owl Capital Corporation's 1. 89x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) trades at 8. 3x forward P/E versus 8. 5x for Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. — 0. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for OBDC: 27. 1% to $14. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — NCDL or OBDC?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) offers the highest yield at 14. 5%, versus 13. 0% for Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC).
09Is NCDL or OBDC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.
(NCDL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 63), 14. 5% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (NCDL: +3. 2%, OBDC: +41. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between NCDL and OBDC?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: NCDL is a small-cap deep-value stock; OBDC is a small-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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