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NCDL vs OBDC vs ARCC vs FSK
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Financial - Credit Services
Asset Management
Asset Management
NCDL vs OBDC vs ARCC vs FSK — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Asset Management | Financial - Credit Services | Asset Management | Asset Management |
| Market Cap | $693M | $5.67B | $13.61B | $3.06B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $202M | $1.68B | $3.15B | $1.17B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $51M | $544M | $1.15B | $11M |
| Gross Margin | 84.9% | 75.3% | 75.7% | 69.6% |
| Operating Margin | 71.2% | 73.2% | 69.7% | 49.5% |
| Forward P/E | 8.5x | 8.3x | 9.9x | 6.4x |
| Total Debt | $1.12B | $9.30B | $15.99B | $7.63B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $9M | $10M | $924M | $181M |
NCDL vs OBDC vs ARCC vs FSK — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jan 24 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuveen Churchill Di… (NCDL) | 100 | 79.0 | -21.0% |
| Blue Owl Capital Co… (OBDC) | 100 | 77.0 | -23.0% |
| Ares Capital Corpor… (ARCC) | 100 | 93.7 | -6.3% |
| FS KKR Capital Corp. (FSK) | 100 | 53.3 | -46.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NCDL vs OBDC vs ARCC vs FSK
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NCDL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.63, yield 14.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.63
- PEG 0.34 vs OBDC's 1.89
- Beta 0.63, yield 14.5%
OBDC is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if growth exposure is your priority.
- Rev growth 52.6%, EPS growth -19.0%
- 52.6% NII/revenue growth vs FSK's 5.5%
- Efficiency ratio 0.0% vs FSK's 0.2% (lower = leaner)
- Efficiency ratio 0.0% vs FSK's 0.2%
ARCC is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 139.2% 10Y total return vs OBDC's 41.1%
FSK is the clearest fit if your priority is bank quality.
- NIM 7.4% vs ARCC's 3.6%
- Lower P/E (6.4x vs 9.9x)
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 52.6% NII/revenue growth vs FSK's 5.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (6.4x vs 9.9x) | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 0.0% vs FSK's 0.2% (lower = leaner) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.63 vs FSK's 0.87, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 14.5% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs FSK's 25.6% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +1.4% vs FSK's -30.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 0.0% vs FSK's 0.2% |
NCDL vs OBDC vs ARCC vs FSK — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
ARCC leads in 2 of 6 categories
NCDL leads 1 • OBDC leads 0 • FSK leads 0 • 3 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — OBDC and ARCC each lead in 2 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ARCC is the larger business by revenue, generating $3.1B annually — 15.6x NCDL's $202M. ARCC is the more profitable business, keeping 41.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to FSK's 0.9%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $202M | $1.7B | $3.1B | $1.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $96M | $701M | $2.0B | $237M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $51M | $544M | $1.1B | $11M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $79M | $2.1B | $1.1B | $1M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +84.9% | +75.3% | +75.7% | +69.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +71.2% | +73.2% | +69.7% | +49.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +32.5% | +37.4% | +41.3% | +0.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +43.9% | +103.7% | +36.3% | +50.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -100.0% | -110.2% | -63.9% | -178.8% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — OBDC and FSK each lead in 3 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 9.2x trailing earnings, OBDC trades at a 97% valuation discount to FSK's 278.4x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), NCDL offers better value at 0.44x vs OBDC's 2.09x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $693M | $5.7B | $13.6B | $3.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.8B | $15.0B | $28.7B | $10.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 10.79x | 9.20x | 10.19x | 278.37x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 8.46x | 8.32x | 9.92x | 6.43x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.44x | 2.09x | 0.99x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 12.53x | 12.06x | 13.09x | 13.87x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.43x | 3.37x | 4.33x | 2.62x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.81x | 0.78x | 0.93x | 0.52x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 7.81x | 3.25x | 11.92x | 5.18x |
Profitability & Efficiency
ARCC leads this category, winning 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ARCC delivers a 8.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $8 in annual profit, vs $0 for FSK. ARCC carries lower financial leverage with a 1.12x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to FSK's 1.31x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NCDL scores 6/9 vs ARCC's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +5.8% | +7.3% | +8.1% | +0.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.5% | +3.2% | +3.8% | +0.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.3% | +6.1% | +5.7% | +3.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +6.8% | +7.9% | +7.5% | +4.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.27x | 1.26x | 1.12x | 1.31x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.1B | $9.3B | $15.1B | $7.5B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $9M | $10M | $924M | $181M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.1B | $9.3B | $16.0B | $7.6B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.30x | 1.25x | 2.98x | 0.30x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
ARCC leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ARCC five years ago would be worth $14,704 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $10,325 for NCDL. Over the past 12 months, NCDL leads with a +1.4% total return vs FSK's -30.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ARCC at 10.3% vs FSK's 0.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +7.0% | -6.3% | -4.9% | -23.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +1.4% | -5.8% | +0.4% | -30.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +3.2% | +29.4% | +34.2% | +1.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +3.2% | +32.9% | +47.0% | +16.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +3.2% | +41.1% | +139.2% | +11.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +1.1% | +9.0% | +10.3% | +0.4% |
Risk & Volatility
NCDL leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NCDL is the less volatile stock with a 0.63 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FSK's 0.87 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. NCDL currently trades 81.2% from its 52-week high vs FSK's 48.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.63x | 0.84x | 0.77x | 0.87x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $17.27 | $15.19 | $23.42 | $22.68 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $12.43 | $10.52 | $17.40 | $9.72 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +81.2% | +75.1% | +81.0% | +48.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 61.4 | 57.4 | 56.7 | 58.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 226K | 5.5M | 7.5M | 4.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — NCDL and FSK each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: NCDL as "Hold", OBDC as "Buy", ARCC as "Buy", FSK as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 50.8% upside for FSK (target: $17) vs 10.5% for NCDL (target: $16). For income investors, FSK offers the higher dividend yield at 25.59% vs ARCC's 2.02%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $15.50 | $14.50 | $21.88 | $16.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 5 | 13 | 32 | 13 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +14.5% | +13.0% | +2.0% | +25.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $2.03 | $1.49 | $0.38 | $2.80 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +9.5% | +2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
ARCC leads in 2 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). NCDL leads in 1 (Risk & Volatility). 3 tied.
NCDL vs OBDC vs ARCC vs FSK: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NCDL or OBDC or ARCC or FSK a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) is the stronger pick with 52.
6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 5. 5% for FS KKR Capital Corp. (FSK). Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) offers the better valuation at 9. 2x trailing P/E (8. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) a "Buy" — based on 13 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — NCDL or OBDC or ARCC or FSK?
On trailing P/E, Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) is the cheapest at 9.
2x versus FS KKR Capital Corp. at 278. 4x. On forward P/E, FS KKR Capital Corp. is actually cheaper at 6. 4x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. wins at 0. 34x versus Blue Owl Capital Corporation's 1. 89x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — NCDL or OBDC or ARCC or FSK?
Over the past 5 years, Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) delivered a total return of +47.
0%, compared to +3. 2% for Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ARCC returned +139. 2% versus NCDL's +3. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — NCDL or OBDC or ARCC or FSK?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.
(NCDL) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 63β versus FS KKR Capital Corp. 's 0. 87β — meaning FSK is approximately 38% more volatile than NCDL relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 112% versus 131% for FS KKR Capital Corp. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — NCDL or OBDC or ARCC or FSK?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) is pulling ahead at 52.
6% versus 5. 5% for FS KKR Capital Corp. (FSK). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Blue Owl Capital Corporation grew EPS -19. 0% year-over-year, compared to -98. 1% for FS KKR Capital Corp.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — NCDL or OBDC or ARCC or FSK?
Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) is the more profitable company, earning 41.
3% net margin versus 0. 9% for FS KKR Capital Corp. — meaning it keeps 41. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: OBDC leads at 73. 2% versus 49. 5% for FSK. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NCDL leads at 84. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is NCDL or OBDC or ARCC or FSK more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 34x versus Blue Owl Capital Corporation's 1. 89x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, FS KKR Capital Corp. (FSK) trades at 6. 4x forward P/E versus 9. 9x for Ares Capital Corporation — 3. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for FSK: 50. 8% to $16. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — NCDL or OBDC or ARCC or FSK?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
FS KKR Capital Corp. (FSK) offers the highest yield at 25. 6%, versus 2. 0% for Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC).
09Is NCDL or OBDC or ARCC or FSK better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.
(NCDL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 63), 14. 5% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (NCDL: +3. 2%, FSK: +11. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between NCDL and OBDC and ARCC and FSK?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: NCDL is a small-cap deep-value stock; OBDC is a small-cap high-growth stock; ARCC is a mid-cap high-growth stock; FSK is a small-cap income-oriented stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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