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NGD vs PAAS
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Silver
NGD vs PAAS — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Gold | Silver |
| Market Cap | $7.19B | $23.85B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.46B | $3.64B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $856M | $985M |
| Gross Margin | 51.8% | 38.6% |
| Operating Margin | 43.5% | 32.7% |
| Forward P/E | 6.6x | 12.1x |
| Total Debt | $396M | $935M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $330M | $1.21B |
NGD vs PAAS — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | Mar 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Gold Inc. (NGD) | 100 | 750.4 | +650.4% |
| Pan American Silver… (PAAS) | 100 | 234.5 | +134.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NGD vs PAAS
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NGD carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure.
- Rev growth 59.7%, EPS growth 6.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 34.7%
- 59.7% revenue growth vs PAAS's 30.6%
- Lower P/E (6.6x vs 12.1x)
PAAS is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 0.74, yield 0.8%
- 293.8% 10Y total return vs NGD's 97.4%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.74, Low D/E 13.4%, current ratio 2.69x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 59.7% revenue growth vs PAAS's 30.6% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (6.6x vs 12.1x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 58.6% margin vs PAAS's 27.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.74 vs NGD's 0.97, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 0.8% yield; 2-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +128.2% vs NGD's +116.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 33.8% ROA vs PAAS's 11.8%, ROIC 29.5% vs 15.7% |
NGD vs PAAS — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
NGD vs PAAS — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NGD leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PAAS is the larger business by revenue, generating $3.6B annually — 2.5x NGD's $1.5B. NGD is the more profitable business, keeping 58.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to PAAS's 27.1%. On growth, NGD holds the edge at +89.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.5B | $3.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $874M | $1.7B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $856M | $985M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $279M | $1.1B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +51.8% | +38.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +43.5% | +32.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +58.6% | +27.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +19.1% | +29.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +89.2% | +46.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +11.1% | +2.6% |
Valuation Metrics
PAAS leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 21.7x trailing earnings, PAAS trades at a 67% valuation discount to NGD's 64.9x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, PAAS's 13.7x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than NGD's 17.7x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $7.2B | $23.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $7.5B | $23.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 64.86x | 21.68x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 6.62x | 12.12x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.86x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 17.69x | 13.70x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 7.78x | 6.48x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 6.49x | 3.09x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 59.07x | 22.05x |
Profitability & Efficiency
NGD leads this category, winning 6 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NGD delivers a 64.8% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $65 in annual profit, vs $17 for PAAS. PAAS carries lower financial leverage with a 0.13x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NGD's 0.21x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +64.8% | +16.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +33.8% | +11.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +29.5% | +15.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +28.5% | +15.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.21x | 0.13x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $66M | -$277M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $330M | $1.2B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $396M | $935M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 24.33x | 20.75x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — NGD and PAAS each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NGD five years ago would be worth $49,890 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $16,906 for PAAS. Over the past 12 months, PAAS leads with a +128.2% total return vs NGD's +116.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NGD at 85.6% vs PAAS's 47.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +6.1% | +11.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +116.2% | +128.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +539.4% | +223.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +398.9% | +69.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +97.4% | +293.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +85.6% | +47.8% |
Risk & Volatility
PAAS leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
PAAS is the less volatile stock with a 0.74 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NGD's 0.97 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. PAAS currently trades 80.9% from its 52-week high vs NGD's 66.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.97x | 0.74x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $13.63 | $69.99 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $3.67 | $22.08 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +66.6% | +80.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 35.6 | 36.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 12.6M | 6.2M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates NGD as "Buy" and PAAS as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 36.3% upside for NGD (target: $12) vs 32.5% for PAAS (target: $75). PAAS is the only dividend payer here at 0.82% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $12.38 | $75.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 18 | 24 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.47 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.2% |
NGD leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). PAAS leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Risk & Volatility). 1 tied.
NGD vs PAAS: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NGD or PAAS a better buy right now?
For growth investors, New Gold Inc.
(NGD) is the stronger pick with 59. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 30. 6% for Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS). Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) offers the better valuation at 21. 7x trailing P/E (12. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate New Gold Inc. (NGD) a "Buy" — based on 18 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — NGD or PAAS?
On trailing P/E, Pan American Silver Corp.
(PAAS) is the cheapest at 21. 7x versus New Gold Inc. at 64. 9x. On forward P/E, New Gold Inc. is actually cheaper at 6. 6x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — NGD or PAAS?
Over the past 5 years, New Gold Inc.
(NGD) delivered a total return of +398. 9%, compared to +69. 1% for Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: PAAS returned +293. 8% versus NGD's +97. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — NGD or PAAS?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Pan American Silver Corp.
(PAAS) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 74β versus New Gold Inc. 's 0. 97β — meaning NGD is approximately 32% more volatile than PAAS relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 13% versus 21% for New Gold Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — NGD or PAAS?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), New Gold Inc.
(NGD) is pulling ahead at 59. 7% versus 30. 6% for Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Pan American Silver Corp. grew EPS 741. 9% year-over-year, compared to 671. 4% for New Gold Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, PAAS leads at 35. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — NGD or PAAS?
New Gold Inc.
(NGD) is the more profitable company, earning 58. 1% net margin versus 27. 0% for Pan American Silver Corp. — meaning it keeps 58. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NGD leads at 44. 4% versus 32. 3% for PAAS. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NGD leads at 53. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is NGD or PAAS more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, New Gold Inc.
(NGD) trades at 6. 6x forward P/E versus 12. 1x for Pan American Silver Corp. — 5. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NGD: 36. 3% to $12. 38.
08Which pays a better dividend — NGD or PAAS?
In this comparison, PAAS (0.
8% yield) pays a dividend. NGD does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is NGD or PAAS better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Pan American Silver Corp.
(PAAS) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 74), 0. 8% yield, +293. 8% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (PAAS: +293. 8%, NGD: +97. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between NGD and PAAS?
Both stocks operate in the Basic Materials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
PAAS pays a dividend while NGD does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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