Regulated Electric
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NGG vs DUK
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Regulated Electric
NGG vs DUK — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Regulated Electric | Regulated Electric |
| Market Cap | $87.35B | $97.70B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $36.80B | $33.29B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $4.68B | $5.14B |
| Gross Margin | 100.0% | 58.4% |
| Operating Margin | 24.3% | 27.0% |
| Forward P/E | 22.1x | 18.7x |
| Total Debt | $47.54B | $90.87B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.18B | $245M |
NGG vs DUK — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Grid plc (NGG) | 100 | 153.8 | +53.8% |
| Duke Energy Corpora… (DUK) | 100 | 146.6 | +46.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NGG vs DUK
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NGG is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night and defensive.
- Lower volatility, beta 0.08, current ratio 1.35x
- Beta 0.08, yield 2.4%, current ratio 1.35x
- Lower D/E ratio (125.7% vs 171.4%)
DUK carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta -0.24, yield 3.4%
- Rev growth 6.2%, EPS growth 10.5%, 3Y rev CAGR 3.9%
- 106.8% 10Y total return vs NGG's 63.2%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 6.2% revenue growth vs NGG's -7.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (18.7x vs 22.1x), PEG 0.63 vs 2.13 | |
| Quality / Margins | 15.4% margin vs NGG's 12.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (125.7% vs 171.4%) | |
| Dividends | 3.4% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs NGG's 2.4% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +25.8% vs DUK's +5.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 4.5% ROA vs DUK's 2.6%, ROIC 4.6% vs 4.6% |
NGG vs DUK — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
NGG vs DUK — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
DUK leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NGG and DUK operate at a comparable scale, with $36.8B and $33.3B in trailing revenue. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 15.4% (DUK) to 12.7% (NGG). On growth, DUK holds the edge at +11.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $36.8B | $33.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $12.5B | $15.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $4.7B | $5.1B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$4.8B | $6.6B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +100.0% | +58.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +24.3% | +27.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +12.7% | +15.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -13.1% | +19.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -11.3% | +11.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -7.1% | +11.9% |
Valuation Metrics
DUK leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 19.9x trailing earnings, DUK trades at a 9% valuation discount to NGG's 21.9x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), DUK offers better value at 0.67x vs NGG's 2.11x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $87.3B | $97.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $150.4B | $188.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 21.91x | 19.90x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 22.09x | 18.74x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 2.11x | 0.67x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 15.56x | 12.64x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.50x | 3.03x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.68x | 1.84x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
NGG leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NGG delivers a 12.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $13 in annual profit, vs $10 for DUK. NGG carries lower financial leverage with a 1.26x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to DUK's 1.71x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NGG scores 7/9 vs DUK's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +12.6% | +9.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +4.5% | +2.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +4.6% | +4.6% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.4% | +5.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.26x | 1.71x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $46.4B | $90.6B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.2B | $245M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $47.5B | $90.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.73x | 2.57x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — NGG and DUK each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NGG five years ago would be worth $16,639 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $14,516 for DUK. Over the past 12 months, NGG leads with a +25.8% total return vs DUK's +5.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors DUK at 11.8% vs NGG's 11.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +11.6% | +7.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +25.8% | +5.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +39.1% | +39.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +66.4% | +45.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +63.2% | +106.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +11.6% | +11.8% |
Risk & Volatility
DUK leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
DUK is the less volatile stock with a -0.24 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NGG's 0.08 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.08x | -0.24x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $94.64 | $134.49 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $67.08 | $111.22 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +92.8% | +93.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 51.0 | 46.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.1M | 3.6M |
Analyst Outlook
DUK leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates NGG as "Buy" and DUK as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 7.9% upside for DUK (target: $135) vs -2.7% for NGG (target: $86). For income investors, DUK offers the higher dividend yield at 3.38% vs NGG's 2.41%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $85.50 | $135.44 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 20 | 31 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.4% | +3.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.56 | $4.25 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.0% | 0.0% |
DUK leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). NGG leads in 1 (Profitability & Efficiency). 1 tied.
NGG vs DUK: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NGG or DUK a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is the stronger pick with 6.
2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -7. 4% for National Grid plc (NGG). Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) offers the better valuation at 19. 9x trailing P/E (18. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate National Grid plc (NGG) a "Buy" — based on 20 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — NGG or DUK?
On trailing P/E, Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is the cheapest at 19.
9x versus National Grid plc at 21. 9x. On forward P/E, Duke Energy Corporation is actually cheaper at 18. 7x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Duke Energy Corporation wins at 0. 63x versus National Grid plc's 2. 13x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — NGG or DUK?
Over the past 5 years, National Grid plc (NGG) delivered a total return of +66.
4%, compared to +45. 2% for Duke Energy Corporation (DUK). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: DUK returned +106. 8% versus NGG's +63. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — NGG or DUK?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
24β versus National Grid plc's 0. 08β — meaning NGG is approximately -133% more volatile than DUK relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, National Grid plc (NGG) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 126% versus 171% for Duke Energy Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — NGG or DUK?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is pulling ahead at 6.
2% versus -7. 4% for National Grid plc (NGG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Duke Energy Corporation grew EPS 10. 5% year-over-year, compared to 7. 3% for National Grid plc. Over a 3-year CAGR, DUK leads at 3. 9% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — NGG or DUK?
National Grid plc (NGG) is the more profitable company, earning 15.
8% net margin versus 15. 4% for Duke Energy Corporation — meaning it keeps 15. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NGG leads at 26. 8% versus 26. 6% for DUK. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NGG leads at 77. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is NGG or DUK more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 63x versus National Grid plc's 2. 13x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) trades at 18. 7x forward P/E versus 22. 1x for National Grid plc — 3. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for DUK: 7. 9% to $135. 44.
08Which pays a better dividend — NGG or DUK?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) offers the highest yield at 3. 4%, versus 2. 4% for National Grid plc (NGG).
09Is NGG or DUK better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
24), 3. 4% yield, +106. 8% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (DUK: +106. 8%, NGG: +63. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between NGG and DUK?
Both stocks operate in the Utilities sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: NGG is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; DUK is a mid-cap income-oriented stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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