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NWN vs ATO
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Regulated Gas
NWN vs ATO — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Regulated Gas | Regulated Gas |
| Market Cap | $2.11B | $30.09B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.29B | $4.88B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $123M | $1.35B |
| Gross Margin | 22.4% | 32.9% |
| Operating Margin | 26.9% | 35.9% |
| Forward P/E | 16.4x | 21.9x |
| Total Debt | $2.76B | $9.30B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $41M | $204M |
NWN vs ATO — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northwest Natural H… (NWN) | 100 | 78.1 | -21.9% |
| Atmos Energy Corpor… (ATO) | 100 | 176.9 | +76.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NWN vs ATO
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NWN is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 7 yrs, beta -0.05, yield 3.8%
- Rev growth 11.8%, EPS growth 36.5%, 3Y rev CAGR 7.5%
- Lower volatility, beta -0.05, current ratio 0.72x
ATO carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding and valuation efficiency.
- 179.6% 10Y total return vs NWN's 22.0%
- PEG 2.48 vs NWN's 4.55
- 12.9% revenue growth vs NWN's 11.8%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 12.9% revenue growth vs NWN's 11.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (16.4x vs 21.9x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 27.6% margin vs NWN's 9.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (68.6% vs 187.0%) | |
| Dividends | 3.8% yield, 7-year raise streak, vs ATO's 1.9% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +18.4% vs ATO's +14.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 4.5% ROA vs NWN's 2.0%, ROIC 5.5% vs 8.1% |
NWN vs ATO — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
NWN vs ATO — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ATO leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ATO is the larger business by revenue, generating $4.9B annually — 3.8x NWN's $1.3B. ATO is the more profitable business, keeping 27.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to NWN's 9.6%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.3B | $4.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $496M | $2.5B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $123M | $1.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$333M | -$2.0B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +22.4% | +32.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +26.9% | +35.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +9.6% | +27.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -25.9% | -40.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -0.8% | +0.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -100.0% | +14.5% |
Valuation Metrics
NWN leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 18.1x trailing earnings, NWN trades at a 26% valuation discount to ATO's 24.4x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), ATO offers better value at 2.77x vs NWN's 5.01x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.1B | $30.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $4.8B | $39.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 18.07x | 24.38x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 16.43x | 21.88x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 5.01x | 2.77x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 7.92x | 17.08x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.63x | 6.40x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.39x | 2.15x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
NWN leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NWN delivers a 8.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $8 in annual profit, vs $8 for ATO. ATO carries lower financial leverage with a 0.69x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NWN's 1.87x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +8.3% | +7.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.0% | +4.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +8.1% | +5.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +8.1% | +6.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.87x | 0.69x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.7B | $9.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $41M | $204M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.8B | $9.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.39x | 9.61x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
ATO leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ATO five years ago would be worth $19,174 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $10,855 for NWN. Over the past 12 months, NWN leads with a +18.4% total return vs ATO's +14.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ATO at 17.7% vs NWN's 6.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +9.2% | +8.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +18.4% | +14.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +19.6% | +62.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +8.5% | +91.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +22.0% | +179.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +6.2% | +17.7% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — NWN and ATO each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NWN is the less volatile stock with a -0.05 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ATO's -0.00 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ATO currently trades 94.5% from its 52-week high vs NWN's 89.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | -0.05x | -0.00x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $55.99 | $192.51 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $39.10 | $149.98 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +89.4% | +94.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 23.4 | 46.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 258K | 854K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — NWN and ATO each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates NWN as "Hold" and ATO as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 13.9% upside for NWN (target: $57) vs -1.6% for ATO (target: $179). For income investors, NWN offers the higher dividend yield at 3.77% vs ATO's 1.90%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $57.00 | $179.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 8 | 20 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.8% | +1.9% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 7 | 28 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.89 | $3.45 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
ATO leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). NWN leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). 2 tied.
NWN vs ATO: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NWN or ATO a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) is the stronger pick with 12.
9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 11. 8% for Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN). Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) offers the better valuation at 18. 1x trailing P/E (16. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) a "Hold" — based on 8 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — NWN or ATO?
On trailing P/E, Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) is the cheapest at 18.
1x versus Atmos Energy Corporation at 24. 4x. On forward P/E, Northwest Natural Holding Company is actually cheaper at 16. 4x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Atmos Energy Corporation wins at 2. 48x versus Northwest Natural Holding Company's 4. 55x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — NWN or ATO?
Over the past 5 years, Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) delivered a total return of +91.
7%, compared to +8. 5% for Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ATO returned +179. 6% versus NWN's +22. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — NWN or ATO?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
05β versus Atmos Energy Corporation's -0. 00β — meaning ATO is approximately -94% more volatile than NWN relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 69% versus 187% for Northwest Natural Holding Company — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — NWN or ATO?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) is pulling ahead at 12.
9% versus 11. 8% for Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Northwest Natural Holding Company grew EPS 36. 5% year-over-year, compared to 9. 2% for Atmos Energy Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, NWN leads at 7. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — NWN or ATO?
Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) is the more profitable company, earning 25.
5% net margin versus 8. 8% for Northwest Natural Holding Company — meaning it keeps 25. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ATO leads at 33. 2% versus 31. 4% for NWN. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ATO leads at 52. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is NWN or ATO more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 2. 48x versus Northwest Natural Holding Company's 4. 55x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) trades at 16. 4x forward P/E versus 21. 9x for Atmos Energy Corporation — 5. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NWN: 13. 9% to $57. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — NWN or ATO?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) offers the highest yield at 3. 8%, versus 1. 9% for Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO).
09Is NWN or ATO better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
00), 1. 9% yield, +179. 6% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (ATO: +179. 6%, NWN: +22. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between NWN and ATO?
Both stocks operate in the Utilities sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: NWN is a small-cap income-oriented stock; ATO is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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