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NXDR vs BMBL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Software - Application
NXDR vs BMBL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Internet Content & Information | Software - Application |
| Market Cap | $744M | $403M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $265M | $931M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-44M | $-661M |
| Gross Margin | 83.9% | 71.8% |
| Operating Margin | -22.7% | -15.6% |
| Forward P/E | — | 3.5x |
| Total Debt | $56M | $588M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $63M | $176M |
NXDR vs BMBL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Mar 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nextdoor Holdings, … (NXDR) | 100 | 19.0 | -81.0% |
| Bumble Inc. (BMBL) | 100 | 5.5 | -94.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NXDR vs BMBL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NXDR carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 4.2%, EPS growth 44.0%, 3Y rev CAGR 6.6%
- -80.8% 10Y total return vs BMBL's -95.1%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.48, Low D/E 12.9%, current ratio 14.03x
BMBL is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and defensive.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 1.43
- Beta 1.43, current ratio 2.21x
- Better valuation composite
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.2% revenue growth vs BMBL's -9.9% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | -16.5% margin vs BMBL's -71.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.43 vs NXDR's 1.48 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +27.2% vs BMBL's -21.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -9.1% ROA vs BMBL's -36.5%, ROIC -12.4% vs 13.4% |
NXDR vs BMBL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
NXDR vs BMBL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — NXDR and BMBL each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BMBL is the larger business by revenue, generating $931M annually — 3.5x NXDR's $265M. NXDR is the more profitable business, keeping -16.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to BMBL's -71.0%. On growth, NXDR holds the edge at +13.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $265M | $931M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$61M | -$125M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$44M | -$661M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $7M | $272M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +83.9% | +71.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -22.7% | -15.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -16.5% | -71.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +2.5% | +29.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +13.8% | -14.1% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +47.5% | +2.3% |
Valuation Metrics
BMBL leads this category, winning 3 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $744M | $403M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $737M | $816M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -13.71x | -0.52x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 3.55x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 2.91x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.89x | 0.42x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.72x | 0.54x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 126.36x | 1.69x |
Profitability & Efficiency
NXDR leads this category, winning 6 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NXDR delivers a -10.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-10 in annual profit, vs $-77 for BMBL. NXDR carries lower financial leverage with a 0.13x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to BMBL's 0.88x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NXDR scores 5/9 vs BMBL's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -10.3% | -76.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -9.1% | -36.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -12.4% | +13.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -15.3% | +13.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.13x | 0.88x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$8M | $413M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $63M | $176M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $56M | $588M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | -35.17x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NXDR leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NXDR five years ago would be worth $1,893 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $597 for BMBL. Over the past 12 months, NXDR leads with a +27.2% total return vs BMBL's -21.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NXDR at -2.2% vs BMBL's -41.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -7.7% | -4.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +27.2% | -21.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -6.3% | -80.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -81.1% | -94.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -80.8% | -95.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -2.2% | -41.6% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — NXDR and BMBL each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
BMBL is the less volatile stock with a 1.43 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NXDR's 1.48 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. NXDR currently trades 51.6% from its 52-week high vs BMBL's 40.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.48x | 1.43x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $3.72 | $8.64 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $1.32 | $2.61 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +51.6% | +40.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 60.1 | 35.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 3.6M | 4.2M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates NXDR as "Hold" and BMBL as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 69.3% upside for NXDR (target: $3) vs 22.8% for BMBL (target: $4).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $3.25 | $4.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 5 | 23 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +2.5% | +7.1% |
NXDR leads in 2 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). BMBL leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
NXDR vs BMBL: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NXDR or BMBL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Nextdoor Holdings, Inc.
(NXDR) is the stronger pick with 4. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -9. 9% for Bumble Inc. (BMBL). Analysts rate Nextdoor Holdings, Inc. (NXDR) a "Hold" — based on 5 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — NXDR or BMBL?
Over the past 5 years, Nextdoor Holdings, Inc.
(NXDR) delivered a total return of -81. 1%, compared to -94. 0% for Bumble Inc. (BMBL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NXDR returned -80. 8% versus BMBL's -95. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — NXDR or BMBL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Bumble Inc.
(BMBL) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 43β versus Nextdoor Holdings, Inc. 's 1. 48β — meaning NXDR is approximately 4% more volatile than BMBL relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Nextdoor Holdings, Inc. (NXDR) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 13% versus 88% for Bumble Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — NXDR or BMBL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Nextdoor Holdings, Inc.
(NXDR) is pulling ahead at 4. 2% versus -9. 9% for Bumble Inc. (BMBL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Nextdoor Holdings, Inc. grew EPS 44. 0% year-over-year, compared to -44. 9% for Bumble Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, NXDR leads at 6. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — NXDR or BMBL?
Nextdoor Holdings, Inc.
(NXDR) is the more profitable company, earning -21. 0% net margin versus -72. 7% for Bumble Inc. — meaning it keeps -21. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: BMBL leads at 26. 3% versus -27. 9% for NXDR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NXDR leads at 84. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is NXDR or BMBL more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NXDR: 69.
3% to $3. 25.
07Which pays a better dividend — NXDR or BMBL?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is NXDR or BMBL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Bumble Inc.
(BMBL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding. Both have compounded well over 10 years (BMBL: -95. 1%, NXDR: -80. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between NXDR and BMBL?
These companies operate in different sectors (NXDR (Communication Services) and BMBL (Technology)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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- Sector: Communication Services
- Market Cap > $100B
- Revenue Growth > 6%
- Gross Margin > 50%
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