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OTF vs HTGC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Asset Management
OTF vs HTGC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Asset Management | Asset Management |
| Market Cap | $5.13B | $3.07B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.07B | $547M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $814M | $289M |
| Gross Margin | 72.6% | 87.2% |
| Operating Margin | 67.9% | 66.7% |
| Forward P/E | 8.6x | 8.4x |
| Total Debt | $6.29B | $2.30B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $667K | $57M |
OTF vs HTGC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jun 25 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Owl Technology… (OTF) | 100 | 72.3 | -27.7% |
| Hercules Capital, I… (HTGC) | 100 | 89.7 | -10.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: OTF vs HTGC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
OTF carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.72, yield 8.7%
- Rev growth 99.8%, EPS growth 15.8%
- 99.8% NII/revenue growth vs HTGC's 27.0%
HTGC is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 171.6% 10Y total return vs OTF's -24.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.69, current ratio 1.44x
- Beta 0.69, yield 8.6%, current ratio 1.44x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 99.8% NII/revenue growth vs HTGC's 27.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (8.4x vs 8.6x) | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 0.0% vs HTGC's 0.2% (lower = leaner) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.69 vs OTF's 0.72 | |
| Dividends | 8.7% yield, vs HTGC's 8.6% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +6.6% vs OTF's -24.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 0.0% vs HTGC's 0.2% |
OTF vs HTGC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
OTF leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
OTF is the larger business by revenue, generating $1.1B annually — 2.0x HTGC's $547M. OTF is the more profitable business, keeping 67.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to HTGC's 62.1%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.1B | $547M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $975M | $381M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $814M | $289M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$396M | -$352M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +72.6% | +87.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +67.9% | +66.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +67.1% | +62.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +86.1% | -77.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -2.4% | -20.7% |
Valuation Metrics
OTF leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 6.3x trailing earnings, OTF trades at a 29% valuation discount to HTGC's 8.9x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, HTGC's 14.5x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than OTF's 15.7x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $5.1B | $3.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $11.4B | $5.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 6.27x | 8.86x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 8.58x | 8.41x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.27x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 15.67x | 14.54x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 4.78x | 5.61x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.56x | 1.44x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 5.55x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
HTGC leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
HTGC delivers a 13.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $13 in annual profit, vs $10 for OTF. OTF carries lower financial leverage with a 0.78x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to HTGC's 1.04x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), OTF scores 6/9 vs HTGC's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +10.3% | +13.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +5.8% | +6.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.2% | +6.6% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +6.8% | +8.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.78x | 1.04x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $6.3B | $2.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $667,000 | $57M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $6.3B | $2.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.58x | 4.34x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
HTGC leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in HTGC five years ago would be worth $14,683 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $7,597 for OTF. Over the past 12 months, HTGC leads with a +6.6% total return vs OTF's -24.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors HTGC at 17.9% vs OTF's -8.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -19.5% | -10.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -24.0% | +6.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -24.0% | +63.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -24.0% | +46.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -24.0% | +171.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -8.8% | +17.9% |
Risk & Volatility
HTGC leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
HTGC is the less volatile stock with a 0.69 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than OTF's 0.72 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. HTGC currently trades 83.4% from its 52-week high vs OTF's 51.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.72x | 0.69x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $21.62 | $19.67 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $10.67 | $13.70 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +51.0% | +83.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 52.5 | 64.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.2M | 2.5M |
Analyst Outlook
OTF leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates OTF as "Buy" and HTGC as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 45.1% upside for OTF (target: $16) vs 15.4% for HTGC (target: $19). For income investors, OTF offers the higher dividend yield at 8.72% vs HTGC's 8.64%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $16.00 | $18.92 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 4 | 31 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +8.7% | +8.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.96 | $1.42 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.4% | +0.2% |
OTF leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). HTGC leads in 3 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns).
OTF vs HTGC: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is OTF or HTGC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.
(OTF) is the stronger pick with 99. 8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 27. 0% for Hercules Capital, Inc. (HTGC). Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) offers the better valuation at 6. 3x trailing P/E (8. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) a "Buy" — based on 4 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — OTF or HTGC?
On trailing P/E, Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.
(OTF) is the cheapest at 6. 3x versus Hercules Capital, Inc. at 8. 9x. On forward P/E, Hercules Capital, Inc. is actually cheaper at 8. 4x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — OTF or HTGC?
Over the past 5 years, Hercules Capital, Inc.
(HTGC) delivered a total return of +46. 8%, compared to -24. 0% for Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: HTGC returned +171. 6% versus OTF's -24. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — OTF or HTGC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Hercules Capital, Inc.
(HTGC) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 69β versus Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. 's 0. 72β — meaning OTF is approximately 4% more volatile than HTGC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 78% versus 104% for Hercules Capital, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — OTF or HTGC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.
(OTF) is pulling ahead at 99. 8% versus 27. 0% for Hercules Capital, Inc. (HTGC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. grew EPS 15. 8% year-over-year, compared to 14. 9% for Hercules Capital, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — OTF or HTGC?
Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.
(OTF) is the more profitable company, earning 67. 1% net margin versus 62. 1% for Hercules Capital, Inc. — meaning it keeps 67. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: OTF leads at 67. 9% versus 66. 7% for HTGC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — HTGC leads at 87. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is OTF or HTGC more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Hercules Capital, Inc.
(HTGC) trades at 8. 4x forward P/E versus 8. 6x for Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. — 0. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for OTF: 45. 1% to $16. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — OTF or HTGC?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) offers the highest yield at 8. 7%, versus 8. 6% for Hercules Capital, Inc. (HTGC).
09Is OTF or HTGC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Hercules Capital, Inc.
(HTGC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 69), 8. 6% yield, +171. 6% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (HTGC: +171. 6%, OTF: -24. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between OTF and HTGC?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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